Solar activity over nine millennia: A consistent multi-proxy reconstruction
International audience Aims. The solar activity in the past millennia can only be reconstructed from cosmogenic radionuclide proxy records in terrestrial archives. However, because of the diversity of the proxy archives, it is difficult to build a homogeneous reconstruction. All previous studies wer...
Published in: | Astronomy & Astrophysics |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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HAL CCSD
2018
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Online Access: | https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494/file/wu_aa_2018.pdf https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201731892 |
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Archive ouverte HAL (Hyper Article en Ligne, CCSD - Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe) |
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English |
topic |
Sun: activity solar-terrestrial relations sunspots [SDU.ASTR]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Astrophysics [astro-ph] |
spellingShingle |
Sun: activity solar-terrestrial relations sunspots [SDU.ASTR]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Astrophysics [astro-ph] Wu, C., Usoskin, I. Krivova, N. Kovaltsov, G., Baroni, M. Bard, E. Solanki, S. Solar activity over nine millennia: A consistent multi-proxy reconstruction |
topic_facet |
Sun: activity solar-terrestrial relations sunspots [SDU.ASTR]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Astrophysics [astro-ph] |
description |
International audience Aims. The solar activity in the past millennia can only be reconstructed from cosmogenic radionuclide proxy records in terrestrial archives. However, because of the diversity of the proxy archives, it is difficult to build a homogeneous reconstruction. All previous studies were based on individual, sometimes statistically averaged, proxy datasets. Here we aim to provide a new consistent multi-proxy reconstruction of the solar activity over the last 9000 yr, using all available long-span datasets of 10 Be and 14 C in terrestrial archives. Methods. A new method, based on a Bayesian approach, was applied for the first time to solar activity reconstruction. A Monte Carlo search (using the χ 2 statistic) for the most probable value of the modulation potential was performed to match data from different datasets for a given time. This provides a straightforward estimate of the related uncertainties. We used six 10 Be series of different lengths (from 500-10 000 yr) from Greenland and Antarctica, and the global 14 C production series. The 10 Be series were resampled to match wiggles related to the grand minima in the 14 C reference dataset. The stability of the long data series was tested. Results. The Greenland Ice-core Project (GRIP) and the Antarctic EDML (EPICA Dronning Maud Land) 10 Be series diverge from each other during the second half of the Holocene, while the 14 C series lies in between them. A likely reason for the discrepancy is the insufficiently precise beryllium transport and deposition model for Greenland, which leads to an undercorrection of the GRIP series for the geomagnetic shielding effect. A slow 6-7 millennia variability with lows at ca. 5500 BC and 1500 AD in the long-term evolution of solar activity is found. Two components of solar activity can be statistically distinguished: the main component, corresponding to the "normal" moderate level, and a component corresponding to grand minima. A possible existence of a component representing grand maxima is indicated, but it ... |
author2 |
Sodankylä Geophysical Observatory University of Oulu Max-Planck-Institut für Sonnensystemforschung (MPS) Max-Planck-Gesellschaft A.F. Ioffe Physical-Technical Institute Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow (RAS) Laboratoire d'Ecologie Alpine (LECA ) Université Savoie Mont Blanc (USMB Université de Savoie Université de Chambéry )-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes 2016-2019 (UGA 2016-2019 ) Chaire Evolution du climat et de l'océan Centre européen de recherche et d'enseignement des géosciences de l'environnement (CEREGE) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) Academy of Finland 272157 International Max Planck Research School for Solar System Science; BK21 plus program through the National Research Foundation (NRF) - Ministry of Education of Korea |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Wu, C., Usoskin, I. Krivova, N. Kovaltsov, G., Baroni, M. Bard, E. Solanki, S. |
author_facet |
Wu, C., Usoskin, I. Krivova, N. Kovaltsov, G., Baroni, M. Bard, E. Solanki, S. |
author_sort |
Wu, C., |
title |
Solar activity over nine millennia: A consistent multi-proxy reconstruction |
title_short |
Solar activity over nine millennia: A consistent multi-proxy reconstruction |
title_full |
Solar activity over nine millennia: A consistent multi-proxy reconstruction |
title_fullStr |
Solar activity over nine millennia: A consistent multi-proxy reconstruction |
title_full_unstemmed |
Solar activity over nine millennia: A consistent multi-proxy reconstruction |
title_sort |
solar activity over nine millennia: a consistent multi-proxy reconstruction |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494/file/wu_aa_2018.pdf https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201731892 |
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Antarctic Dronning Maud Land Greenland The Antarctic |
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Antarctic Dronning Maud Land Greenland The Antarctic |
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Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Dronning Maud Land EPICA Greenland Greenland ice core Greenland Ice core Project GRIP ice core |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Dronning Maud Land EPICA Greenland Greenland ice core Greenland Ice core Project GRIP ice core |
op_source |
ISSN: 0004-6361 EISSN: 1432-0756 Astronomy and Astrophysics - A&A https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494 Astronomy and Astrophysics - A&A, EDP Sciences, 2018, 615, pp.A93. ⟨10.1051/0004-6361/201731892⟩ |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1051/0004-6361/201731892 hal-02117494 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494/file/wu_aa_2018.pdf doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201731892 PRODINRA: 450179 WOS: 000439526600002 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201731892 |
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Astronomy & Astrophysics |
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615 |
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A93 |
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spelling |
ftccsdartic:oai:HAL:hal-02117494v1 2023-05-15T13:37:28+02:00 Solar activity over nine millennia: A consistent multi-proxy reconstruction Wu, C., Usoskin, I. Krivova, N. Kovaltsov, G., Baroni, M. Bard, E. Solanki, S. Sodankylä Geophysical Observatory University of Oulu Max-Planck-Institut für Sonnensystemforschung (MPS) Max-Planck-Gesellschaft A.F. Ioffe Physical-Technical Institute Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow (RAS) Laboratoire d'Ecologie Alpine (LECA ) Université Savoie Mont Blanc (USMB Université de Savoie Université de Chambéry )-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes 2016-2019 (UGA 2016-2019 ) Chaire Evolution du climat et de l'océan Centre européen de recherche et d'enseignement des géosciences de l'environnement (CEREGE) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) Academy of Finland 272157 International Max Planck Research School for Solar System Science; BK21 plus program through the National Research Foundation (NRF) - Ministry of Education of Korea 2018-07 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494/file/wu_aa_2018.pdf https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201731892 en eng HAL CCSD EDP Sciences info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1051/0004-6361/201731892 hal-02117494 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494/file/wu_aa_2018.pdf doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201731892 PRODINRA: 450179 WOS: 000439526600002 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 0004-6361 EISSN: 1432-0756 Astronomy and Astrophysics - A&A https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02117494 Astronomy and Astrophysics - A&A, EDP Sciences, 2018, 615, pp.A93. ⟨10.1051/0004-6361/201731892⟩ Sun: activity solar-terrestrial relations sunspots [SDU.ASTR]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Astrophysics [astro-ph] info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2018 ftccsdartic https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201731892 2021-11-07T01:59:30Z International audience Aims. The solar activity in the past millennia can only be reconstructed from cosmogenic radionuclide proxy records in terrestrial archives. However, because of the diversity of the proxy archives, it is difficult to build a homogeneous reconstruction. All previous studies were based on individual, sometimes statistically averaged, proxy datasets. Here we aim to provide a new consistent multi-proxy reconstruction of the solar activity over the last 9000 yr, using all available long-span datasets of 10 Be and 14 C in terrestrial archives. Methods. A new method, based on a Bayesian approach, was applied for the first time to solar activity reconstruction. A Monte Carlo search (using the χ 2 statistic) for the most probable value of the modulation potential was performed to match data from different datasets for a given time. This provides a straightforward estimate of the related uncertainties. We used six 10 Be series of different lengths (from 500-10 000 yr) from Greenland and Antarctica, and the global 14 C production series. The 10 Be series were resampled to match wiggles related to the grand minima in the 14 C reference dataset. The stability of the long data series was tested. Results. The Greenland Ice-core Project (GRIP) and the Antarctic EDML (EPICA Dronning Maud Land) 10 Be series diverge from each other during the second half of the Holocene, while the 14 C series lies in between them. A likely reason for the discrepancy is the insufficiently precise beryllium transport and deposition model for Greenland, which leads to an undercorrection of the GRIP series for the geomagnetic shielding effect. A slow 6-7 millennia variability with lows at ca. 5500 BC and 1500 AD in the long-term evolution of solar activity is found. Two components of solar activity can be statistically distinguished: the main component, corresponding to the "normal" moderate level, and a component corresponding to grand minima. A possible existence of a component representing grand maxima is indicated, but it ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Dronning Maud Land EPICA Greenland Greenland ice core Greenland Ice core Project GRIP ice core Archive ouverte HAL (Hyper Article en Ligne, CCSD - Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe) Antarctic Dronning Maud Land Greenland The Antarctic Astronomy & Astrophysics 615 A93 |