Evaluating the dominant components of warming in Pliocene climate simulations
International audience The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) is the first coordinated climate model comparison for a warmer palaeoclimate with atmospheric CO 2 significantly higher than pre-industrial concentrations. The simulations of the mid-Pliocene warm period show global warming...
Published in: | Climate of the Past |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
HAL CCSD
2014
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978/document https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978/file/cp-10-79-2014.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-79-2014 |
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English |
topic |
[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology |
spellingShingle |
[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology Hill, D.J. Haywood, A. M. Lunt, D. J. Hunter, S. J. Bragg, F.J. Coutoux, C. Stepanek, C. Sohl, L. Rosenbloom, N. A. Chan, W.L. Kamae, Y. Zhang, Zhongkai Abe-Ouchi, A. Chandler, M. A. Jost, A. Lohmann, G. Otto-Bliesner, B. L. Ramstein, G. Ueda, H. Evaluating the dominant components of warming in Pliocene climate simulations |
topic_facet |
[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology |
description |
International audience The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) is the first coordinated climate model comparison for a warmer palaeoclimate with atmospheric CO 2 significantly higher than pre-industrial concentrations. The simulations of the mid-Pliocene warm period show global warming of between 1.8 and 3.6 • C above pre-industrial surface air temperatures, with significant polar amplification. Here we perform energy balance calculations on all eight of the coupled ocean–atmosphere simulations within PlioMIP Experiment 2 to evaluate the causes of the increased temperatures and differences between the models. In the tropics simulated warming is dominated by greenhouse gas increases, with the cloud component of planetary albedo enhancing the warming in most of the models, but by widely varying amounts. The responses to mid-Pliocene climate forcing in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes are substantially different between the climate models, with the only consistent response being a warming due to increased greenhouse gases. In the high latitudes all the energy balance components become important, but the dominant warming influence comes from the clear sky albedo, only partially offset by the increases in the cooling impact of cloud albedo. This demonstrates the importance of specified ice sheet and high latitude vegetation boundary conditions and simulated sea ice and snow albedo feedbacks. The largest components in the overall uncertainty are associated with clouds in the tropics and polar clear sky albedo, particularly in sea ice regions. These simulations show that albedo feedbacks, particularly those of sea ice and ice sheets, provide the most significant enhancements to high latitude warming in the Pliocene. |
author2 |
University of Leeds British Geological Survey (BGS) University of Bristol Bristol Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ) Structure et fonctionnement des systèmes hydriques continentaux (SISYPHE) Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-École pratique des hautes études (EPHE) Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-MINES ParisTech - École nationale supérieure des mines de Paris Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Alfred-Wegener-Institut, Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung (AWI) NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder (NCAR) The University of Tokyo (UTokyo) Université de Tsukuba = University of Tsukuba Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (BCCR) Department of Biological Sciences Bergen (BIO / UiB) University of Bergen (UiB)-University of Bergen (UiB) Nansen-Zhu International Research Center (NZC) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Beijing (IAP) Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS)-Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS) Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) Modélisation du climat (CLIM) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hill, D.J. Haywood, A. M. Lunt, D. J. Hunter, S. J. Bragg, F.J. Coutoux, C. Stepanek, C. Sohl, L. Rosenbloom, N. A. Chan, W.L. Kamae, Y. Zhang, Zhongkai Abe-Ouchi, A. Chandler, M. A. Jost, A. Lohmann, G. Otto-Bliesner, B. L. Ramstein, G. Ueda, H. |
author_facet |
Hill, D.J. Haywood, A. M. Lunt, D. J. Hunter, S. J. Bragg, F.J. Coutoux, C. Stepanek, C. Sohl, L. Rosenbloom, N. A. Chan, W.L. Kamae, Y. Zhang, Zhongkai Abe-Ouchi, A. Chandler, M. A. Jost, A. Lohmann, G. Otto-Bliesner, B. L. Ramstein, G. Ueda, H. |
author_sort |
Hill, D.J. |
title |
Evaluating the dominant components of warming in Pliocene climate simulations |
title_short |
Evaluating the dominant components of warming in Pliocene climate simulations |
title_full |
Evaluating the dominant components of warming in Pliocene climate simulations |
title_fullStr |
Evaluating the dominant components of warming in Pliocene climate simulations |
title_full_unstemmed |
Evaluating the dominant components of warming in Pliocene climate simulations |
title_sort |
evaluating the dominant components of warming in pliocene climate simulations |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978/document https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978/file/cp-10-79-2014.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-79-2014 |
genre |
Ice Sheet Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Ice Sheet Sea ice |
op_source |
ISSN: 1814-9324 EISSN: 1814-9332 Climate of the Past https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978 Climate of the Past, European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2014, 10 (1), pp.79-90. ⟨10.5194/cp-10-79-2014⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/cp-10-79-2014 hal-01312978 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978/document https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978/file/cp-10-79-2014.pdf doi:10.5194/cp-10-79-2014 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-79-2014 |
container_title |
Climate of the Past |
container_volume |
10 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
79 |
op_container_end_page |
90 |
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1766031686152224768 |
spelling |
ftccsdartic:oai:HAL:hal-01312978v1 2023-05-15T16:41:15+02:00 Evaluating the dominant components of warming in Pliocene climate simulations Hill, D.J. Haywood, A. M. Lunt, D. J. Hunter, S. J. Bragg, F.J. Coutoux, C. Stepanek, C. Sohl, L. Rosenbloom, N. A. Chan, W.L. Kamae, Y. Zhang, Zhongkai Abe-Ouchi, A. Chandler, M. A. Jost, A. Lohmann, G. Otto-Bliesner, B. L. Ramstein, G. Ueda, H. University of Leeds British Geological Survey (BGS) University of Bristol Bristol Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ) Structure et fonctionnement des systèmes hydriques continentaux (SISYPHE) Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-École pratique des hautes études (EPHE) Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-MINES ParisTech - École nationale supérieure des mines de Paris Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Alfred-Wegener-Institut, Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung (AWI) NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder (NCAR) The University of Tokyo (UTokyo) Université de Tsukuba = University of Tsukuba Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (BCCR) Department of Biological Sciences Bergen (BIO / UiB) University of Bergen (UiB)-University of Bergen (UiB) Nansen-Zhu International Research Center (NZC) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Beijing (IAP) Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS)-Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS) Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) Modélisation du climat (CLIM) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ) 2014 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978/document https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978/file/cp-10-79-2014.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-79-2014 en eng HAL CCSD European Geosciences Union (EGU) info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/cp-10-79-2014 hal-01312978 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978/document https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978/file/cp-10-79-2014.pdf doi:10.5194/cp-10-79-2014 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 1814-9324 EISSN: 1814-9332 Climate of the Past https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01312978 Climate of the Past, European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2014, 10 (1), pp.79-90. ⟨10.5194/cp-10-79-2014⟩ [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2014 ftccsdartic https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-79-2014 2021-12-19T02:46:18Z International audience The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) is the first coordinated climate model comparison for a warmer palaeoclimate with atmospheric CO 2 significantly higher than pre-industrial concentrations. The simulations of the mid-Pliocene warm period show global warming of between 1.8 and 3.6 • C above pre-industrial surface air temperatures, with significant polar amplification. Here we perform energy balance calculations on all eight of the coupled ocean–atmosphere simulations within PlioMIP Experiment 2 to evaluate the causes of the increased temperatures and differences between the models. In the tropics simulated warming is dominated by greenhouse gas increases, with the cloud component of planetary albedo enhancing the warming in most of the models, but by widely varying amounts. The responses to mid-Pliocene climate forcing in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes are substantially different between the climate models, with the only consistent response being a warming due to increased greenhouse gases. In the high latitudes all the energy balance components become important, but the dominant warming influence comes from the clear sky albedo, only partially offset by the increases in the cooling impact of cloud albedo. This demonstrates the importance of specified ice sheet and high latitude vegetation boundary conditions and simulated sea ice and snow albedo feedbacks. The largest components in the overall uncertainty are associated with clouds in the tropics and polar clear sky albedo, particularly in sea ice regions. These simulations show that albedo feedbacks, particularly those of sea ice and ice sheets, provide the most significant enhancements to high latitude warming in the Pliocene. Article in Journal/Newspaper Ice Sheet Sea ice Archive ouverte HAL (Hyper Article en Ligne, CCSD - Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe) Climate of the Past 10 1 79 90 |