Climate impact of stratospheric ozone recovery
International audience Past stratospheric ozone depletion has acted to cool the Earth's surface. As the result of the phase-out of anthropogenic halogenated compounds emissions, stratospheric ozone is projected to recover and its radiative forcing (RF-O 3 ~ -0.05 W/m 2 presently) might therefor...
Published in: | Geophysical Research Letters |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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HAL CCSD
2013
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Online Access: | https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252/file/Bekki_et_al-2013-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50358 |
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Archive ouverte HAL (Hyper Article en Ligne, CCSD - Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe) |
op_collection_id |
ftccsdartic |
language |
English |
topic |
Climate Stratospheric ozone [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-AO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics [physics.ao-ph] [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes |
spellingShingle |
Climate Stratospheric ozone [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-AO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics [physics.ao-ph] [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes Bekki, Slimane Rap, Alexandru Poulain, Virginie Dhomse, Sandip Marchand, Marion Lefèvre, Franck Forster, Piers M. Laval-Szopa, Sophie Chipperfield, Martyn P. Climate impact of stratospheric ozone recovery |
topic_facet |
Climate Stratospheric ozone [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-AO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics [physics.ao-ph] [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes |
description |
International audience Past stratospheric ozone depletion has acted to cool the Earth's surface. As the result of the phase-out of anthropogenic halogenated compounds emissions, stratospheric ozone is projected to recover and its radiative forcing (RF-O 3 ~ -0.05 W/m 2 presently) might therefore be expected to decay in line with ozone recovery itself. Using results from chemistry-climate models, we find that, although model projections using a standard greenhouse gas scenario broadly agree on the future evolution of global ozone, they strongly disagree on RF-O 3 because of a large model spread in ozone changes in a narrow (several km thick) layer, in the northern lowermost stratosphere. Clearly, future changes in global stratospheric ozone cannot be considered an indicator of its overall RF. The multi-model mean RF-O 3 estimate for 2100 is +0.06 W/m 2 but with a range such that it could remain negative throughout this century or change sign and reach up to ~0.25 W/m 2 . |
author2 |
STRATO - LATMOS Laboratoire Atmosphères, Milieux, Observations Spatiales (LATMOS) Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science Leeds (ICAS) School of Earth and Environment Leeds (SEE) University of Leeds-University of Leeds Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ) Modélisation du climat (CLIM) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ) European Commission U.K. Natural Environment Research Council European Project: 226365,EC:FP7:ENV,FP7-ENV-2008-1,RECONCILE(2009) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Bekki, Slimane Rap, Alexandru Poulain, Virginie Dhomse, Sandip Marchand, Marion Lefèvre, Franck Forster, Piers M. Laval-Szopa, Sophie Chipperfield, Martyn P. |
author_facet |
Bekki, Slimane Rap, Alexandru Poulain, Virginie Dhomse, Sandip Marchand, Marion Lefèvre, Franck Forster, Piers M. Laval-Szopa, Sophie Chipperfield, Martyn P. |
author_sort |
Bekki, Slimane |
title |
Climate impact of stratospheric ozone recovery |
title_short |
Climate impact of stratospheric ozone recovery |
title_full |
Climate impact of stratospheric ozone recovery |
title_fullStr |
Climate impact of stratospheric ozone recovery |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate impact of stratospheric ozone recovery |
title_sort |
climate impact of stratospheric ozone recovery |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252/file/Bekki_et_al-2013-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50358 |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
ISSN: 0094-8276 EISSN: 1944-8007 Geophysical Research Letters https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252 Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union, 2013, 40 (11), pp.2796-2800. ⟨10.1002/grl.50358⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1002/grl.50358 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/226365/EU/Reconciliation of essential process parameters for an enhanced predictability of arctic stratospheric ozone loss and its climate interactions./RECONCILE hal-00802252 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252/file/Bekki_et_al-2013-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf doi:10.1002/grl.50358 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50358 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
container_volume |
40 |
container_issue |
11 |
container_start_page |
2796 |
op_container_end_page |
2800 |
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1766301642785816576 |
spelling |
ftccsdartic:oai:HAL:hal-00802252v1 2023-05-15T14:27:45+02:00 Climate impact of stratospheric ozone recovery Bekki, Slimane Rap, Alexandru Poulain, Virginie Dhomse, Sandip Marchand, Marion Lefèvre, Franck Forster, Piers M. Laval-Szopa, Sophie Chipperfield, Martyn P. STRATO - LATMOS Laboratoire Atmosphères, Milieux, Observations Spatiales (LATMOS) Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science Leeds (ICAS) School of Earth and Environment Leeds (SEE) University of Leeds-University of Leeds Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ) Modélisation du climat (CLIM) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ) European Commission U.K. Natural Environment Research Council European Project: 226365,EC:FP7:ENV,FP7-ENV-2008-1,RECONCILE(2009) 2013 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252/file/Bekki_et_al-2013-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50358 en eng HAL CCSD American Geophysical Union info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1002/grl.50358 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/226365/EU/Reconciliation of essential process parameters for an enhanced predictability of arctic stratospheric ozone loss and its climate interactions./RECONCILE hal-00802252 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252/document https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252/file/Bekki_et_al-2013-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf doi:10.1002/grl.50358 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 0094-8276 EISSN: 1944-8007 Geophysical Research Letters https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00802252 Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union, 2013, 40 (11), pp.2796-2800. ⟨10.1002/grl.50358⟩ Climate Stratospheric ozone [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-AO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics [physics.ao-ph] [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2013 ftccsdartic https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50358 2021-12-19T02:46:52Z International audience Past stratospheric ozone depletion has acted to cool the Earth's surface. As the result of the phase-out of anthropogenic halogenated compounds emissions, stratospheric ozone is projected to recover and its radiative forcing (RF-O 3 ~ -0.05 W/m 2 presently) might therefore be expected to decay in line with ozone recovery itself. Using results from chemistry-climate models, we find that, although model projections using a standard greenhouse gas scenario broadly agree on the future evolution of global ozone, they strongly disagree on RF-O 3 because of a large model spread in ozone changes in a narrow (several km thick) layer, in the northern lowermost stratosphere. Clearly, future changes in global stratospheric ozone cannot be considered an indicator of its overall RF. The multi-model mean RF-O 3 estimate for 2100 is +0.06 W/m 2 but with a range such that it could remain negative throughout this century or change sign and reach up to ~0.25 W/m 2 . Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Archive ouverte HAL (Hyper Article en Ligne, CCSD - Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe) Geophysical Research Letters 40 11 2796 2800 |