Effects of climate change on an emperor penguin population: analysis of coupled demographic and climate models

• Published in: Global Change Biology
• Main Authors: Jenouvrier, Stéphanie, Holland, Marika, Stroeve, Julienne, Barbraud, Christophe, Weimerskirch, Henri, Serreze, Mark, Caswell, Hal
• Other Authors: Centre d'Études Biologiques de Chizé (CEBC), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Biology Department (WHOI), Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI), Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado Boulder -National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Oceanography Section Boulder, National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder (NCAR), National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), University of Colorado Boulder, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR), Max-Planck-Gesellschaft
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: HAL CCSD 2012
• Subjects: IPCC; sea ice; seabirds; stochastic climate forecast; stochastic matrix population model; uncertainties; [SDE]Environmental Sciences; Antarctic; Terre Adélie; Terre-Adélie; The Antarctic; Antarc*; Antarctica; Aptenodytes forsteri; Sea ice
• Online Access: https://hal.science/hal-00706728; https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02744.x

International audience Sea ice conditions in the Antarctic affect the life cycle of the emperor penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri). We present a population projection for the emperor penguin population of Terre Adélie, Antarctica, by linking demographic models (stage-structured, seasonal, nonlinear, two...