Geoengineering as a design problem
Understanding the climate impacts of solar geoengineering is essential for evaluating its benefits and risks. Most previous simulations have prescribed a particular strategy and evaluated its modeled effects. Here we turn this approach around by first choosing example climate objectives and then des...
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ftcaltechauth:oai:authors.library.caltech.edu:69449 2023-05-15T15:05:30+02:00 Geoengineering as a design problem Kravitz, Ben MacMartin, Douglas G. Wang, Hailong Rasch, Philip J. 2016-05-24 application/pdf https://authors.library.caltech.edu/69449/ https://authors.library.caltech.edu/69449/1/esd-7-469-2016.pdf https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20160804-132109803 en eng European Geosciences Union https://authors.library.caltech.edu/69449/1/esd-7-469-2016.pdf Kravitz, Ben and MacMartin, Douglas G. and Wang, Hailong and Rasch, Philip J. (2016) Geoengineering as a design problem. Earth System Dynamics, 7 (2). pp. 469-497. ISSN 2190-4987. doi:10.5194/esd-7-469-2016. https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20160804-132109803 <https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20160804-132109803> cc_by CC-BY Article PeerReviewed 2016 ftcaltechauth https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-469-2016 2021-11-18T18:38:36Z Understanding the climate impacts of solar geoengineering is essential for evaluating its benefits and risks. Most previous simulations have prescribed a particular strategy and evaluated its modeled effects. Here we turn this approach around by first choosing example climate objectives and then designing a strategy to meet those objectives in climate models. There are four essential criteria for designing a strategy: (i) an explicit specification of the objectives, (ii) defining what climate forcing agents to modify so the objectives are met, (iii) a method for managing uncertainties, and (iv) independent verification of the strategy in an evaluation model. We demonstrate this design perspective through two multi-objective examples. First, changes in Arctic temperature and the position of tropical precipitation due to CO_2 increases are offset by adjusting high-latitude insolation in each hemisphere independently. Second, three different latitude-dependent patterns of insolation are modified to offset CO_2-induced changes in global mean temperature, interhemispheric temperature asymmetry, and the Equator-to-pole temperature gradient. In both examples, the "design" and "evaluation" models are state-of-the-art fully coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation models. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Caltech Authors (California Institute of Technology) Arctic Earth System Dynamics 7 2 469 497 |
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Understanding the climate impacts of solar geoengineering is essential for evaluating its benefits and risks. Most previous simulations have prescribed a particular strategy and evaluated its modeled effects. Here we turn this approach around by first choosing example climate objectives and then designing a strategy to meet those objectives in climate models. There are four essential criteria for designing a strategy: (i) an explicit specification of the objectives, (ii) defining what climate forcing agents to modify so the objectives are met, (iii) a method for managing uncertainties, and (iv) independent verification of the strategy in an evaluation model. We demonstrate this design perspective through two multi-objective examples. First, changes in Arctic temperature and the position of tropical precipitation due to CO_2 increases are offset by adjusting high-latitude insolation in each hemisphere independently. Second, three different latitude-dependent patterns of insolation are modified to offset CO_2-induced changes in global mean temperature, interhemispheric temperature asymmetry, and the Equator-to-pole temperature gradient. In both examples, the "design" and "evaluation" models are state-of-the-art fully coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation models. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Kravitz, Ben MacMartin, Douglas G. Wang, Hailong Rasch, Philip J. |
spellingShingle |
Kravitz, Ben MacMartin, Douglas G. Wang, Hailong Rasch, Philip J. Geoengineering as a design problem |
author_facet |
Kravitz, Ben MacMartin, Douglas G. Wang, Hailong Rasch, Philip J. |
author_sort |
Kravitz, Ben |
title |
Geoengineering as a design problem |
title_short |
Geoengineering as a design problem |
title_full |
Geoengineering as a design problem |
title_fullStr |
Geoengineering as a design problem |
title_full_unstemmed |
Geoengineering as a design problem |
title_sort |
geoengineering as a design problem |
publisher |
European Geosciences Union |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://authors.library.caltech.edu/69449/ https://authors.library.caltech.edu/69449/1/esd-7-469-2016.pdf https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20160804-132109803 |
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Arctic |
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Arctic |
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Arctic |
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Arctic |
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https://authors.library.caltech.edu/69449/1/esd-7-469-2016.pdf Kravitz, Ben and MacMartin, Douglas G. and Wang, Hailong and Rasch, Philip J. (2016) Geoengineering as a design problem. Earth System Dynamics, 7 (2). pp. 469-497. ISSN 2190-4987. doi:10.5194/esd-7-469-2016. https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20160804-132109803 <https://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechAUTHORS:20160804-132109803> |
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cc_by |
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CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-469-2016 |
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Earth System Dynamics |
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7 |
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469 |
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497 |
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1766337194421649408 |