Climate change impact on wave climate in coastal area, using dynamical downscaling : application to the Aquitanian coast, France.
The Aquitanian coast, as well as most coastal regions, is influenced by several hydrodynamical factors. Those factors can be modified by climate change. This study aims at studying climate change impact mainly on wave conditions which affect the Aquitanian coast.Using dynamical downscaling, waves ar...
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Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Doctoral or Postdoctoral Thesis |
Language: | French |
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HAL CCSD
2012
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hal.science/tel-01280874 https://hal.science/tel-01280874/document https://hal.science/tel-01280874/file/Charles_Memoire_These_2012.pdf |
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ftbrgm:oai:HAL:tel-01280874v1 |
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record_format |
openpolar |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
BRGM: HAL (Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières) |
op_collection_id |
ftbrgm |
language |
French |
topic |
waves climate change projection modelling dynamical downscaling Aquitanian coast Bay of Biscay multi-decadal trends interannual variability teleconnection patterns weather regimes vague changement climatique modélisation régionalisation dynamique côte aquitaine Golfe de Gascogne tendances multi-décennales variabilité interannuelle modes de téléconnexion régimes de temps [SDU.STU.OC]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean Atmosphere [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-AO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics [physics.ao-ph] [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-DATA-AN]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Data Analysis Statistics and Probability [physics.data-an] |
spellingShingle |
waves climate change projection modelling dynamical downscaling Aquitanian coast Bay of Biscay multi-decadal trends interannual variability teleconnection patterns weather regimes vague changement climatique modélisation régionalisation dynamique côte aquitaine Golfe de Gascogne tendances multi-décennales variabilité interannuelle modes de téléconnexion régimes de temps [SDU.STU.OC]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean Atmosphere [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-AO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics [physics.ao-ph] [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-DATA-AN]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Data Analysis Statistics and Probability [physics.data-an] Charles, Elodie Climate change impact on wave climate in coastal area, using dynamical downscaling : application to the Aquitanian coast, France. |
topic_facet |
waves climate change projection modelling dynamical downscaling Aquitanian coast Bay of Biscay multi-decadal trends interannual variability teleconnection patterns weather regimes vague changement climatique modélisation régionalisation dynamique côte aquitaine Golfe de Gascogne tendances multi-décennales variabilité interannuelle modes de téléconnexion régimes de temps [SDU.STU.OC]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean Atmosphere [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-AO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics [physics.ao-ph] [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-DATA-AN]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Data Analysis Statistics and Probability [physics.data-an] |
description |
The Aquitanian coast, as well as most coastal regions, is influenced by several hydrodynamical factors. Those factors can be modified by climate change. This study aims at studying climate change impact mainly on wave conditions which affect the Aquitanian coast.Using dynamical downscaling, waves are modelled from the North Atlantic Ocean towards the Bay of Biscay at a 10 km spatial resolution exclusively from wind fields. Waves are simulated with WAVEWATCH III spectral wave model, for the present climate (wind fields issued from the ERA-40 reanalysis) and for a control scenario and three future greenhouse gas emission scenarios (A2, A1B, B1) (wind fields issued from the RETIC simulations of ARPEGE-Climat). The database calibration and validation are based on local buoy measurements. Wind fields issued from climate model present systematic biases, therefore, a quantile-quantile correction is applied to wave projections.Wave climate evolution analysis is done in two steps. Firstly, present wave climate (1958-2001) is investigated regarding multi-decadal trends and interannual variability. A significant increase of summer wave height is identified on the period 1970-2001 (0.54 cm/y at the Biscay buoy). Concerning largest wave heights, a significant shift of directions is noticed for autumn (up to −0.47°/y from 1974 to 2001 at the Biscay buoy) and spring (0.3°/y from 1958 to 2001 at the Biscay buoy). The strong interannual variability of wave conditions is correlated to several general atmospheric circulation preferential modes (teleconnexion patterns and weather regimes). This underlines a strong link between local wave conditions and climate. For instance, the winter wave height and direction anomalies within the Bay of Biscay are strongly correlated to the North Atlantic Oscillation and the East Atlantic teleconnection pattern indices. Secondly, wave condition changes between present climate (1961-2000) and future scenarios (2061-2100) are investigated and analysed. A general decrease of wave heights is noticed ... |
author2 |
Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières (BRGM) Centre national de recherches météorologiques (CNRM) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Bourse de doctorat du Fonds AXA pour la Recherche Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier Pascale Delecluse, CNRM/Météo-France, St-Mandé Déborah Idier, BRGM, Orléans |
format |
Doctoral or Postdoctoral Thesis |
author |
Charles, Elodie |
author_facet |
Charles, Elodie |
author_sort |
Charles, Elodie |
title |
Climate change impact on wave climate in coastal area, using dynamical downscaling : application to the Aquitanian coast, France. |
title_short |
Climate change impact on wave climate in coastal area, using dynamical downscaling : application to the Aquitanian coast, France. |
title_full |
Climate change impact on wave climate in coastal area, using dynamical downscaling : application to the Aquitanian coast, France. |
title_fullStr |
Climate change impact on wave climate in coastal area, using dynamical downscaling : application to the Aquitanian coast, France. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate change impact on wave climate in coastal area, using dynamical downscaling : application to the Aquitanian coast, France. |
title_sort |
climate change impact on wave climate in coastal area, using dynamical downscaling : application to the aquitanian coast, france. |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
https://hal.science/tel-01280874 https://hal.science/tel-01280874/document https://hal.science/tel-01280874/file/Charles_Memoire_These_2012.pdf |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
https://hal.science/tel-01280874 Océanographie. Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier, 2012. Français. ⟨NNT : ⟩ |
op_relation |
tel-01280874 https://hal.science/tel-01280874 https://hal.science/tel-01280874/document https://hal.science/tel-01280874/file/Charles_Memoire_These_2012.pdf |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
_version_ |
1799485073228038144 |
spelling |
ftbrgm:oai:HAL:tel-01280874v1 2024-05-19T07:45:07+00:00 Climate change impact on wave climate in coastal area, using dynamical downscaling : application to the Aquitanian coast, France. Impact du changement climatique sur le climat de vagues en zone côtière, par régionalisation dynamique : application à la côte aquitaine Charles, Elodie Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières (BRGM) Centre national de recherches météorologiques (CNRM) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Bourse de doctorat du Fonds AXA pour la Recherche Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier Pascale Delecluse, CNRM/Météo-France, St-Mandé Déborah Idier, BRGM, Orléans 2012-02-06 https://hal.science/tel-01280874 https://hal.science/tel-01280874/document https://hal.science/tel-01280874/file/Charles_Memoire_These_2012.pdf fr fre HAL CCSD tel-01280874 https://hal.science/tel-01280874 https://hal.science/tel-01280874/document https://hal.science/tel-01280874/file/Charles_Memoire_These_2012.pdf info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess https://hal.science/tel-01280874 Océanographie. Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier, 2012. Français. ⟨NNT : ⟩ waves climate change projection modelling dynamical downscaling Aquitanian coast Bay of Biscay multi-decadal trends interannual variability teleconnection patterns weather regimes vague changement climatique modélisation régionalisation dynamique côte aquitaine Golfe de Gascogne tendances multi-décennales variabilité interannuelle modes de téléconnexion régimes de temps [SDU.STU.OC]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean Atmosphere [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-AO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics [physics.ao-ph] [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-DATA-AN]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Data Analysis Statistics and Probability [physics.data-an] info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis Theses 2012 ftbrgm 2024-05-02T00:21:57Z The Aquitanian coast, as well as most coastal regions, is influenced by several hydrodynamical factors. Those factors can be modified by climate change. This study aims at studying climate change impact mainly on wave conditions which affect the Aquitanian coast.Using dynamical downscaling, waves are modelled from the North Atlantic Ocean towards the Bay of Biscay at a 10 km spatial resolution exclusively from wind fields. Waves are simulated with WAVEWATCH III spectral wave model, for the present climate (wind fields issued from the ERA-40 reanalysis) and for a control scenario and three future greenhouse gas emission scenarios (A2, A1B, B1) (wind fields issued from the RETIC simulations of ARPEGE-Climat). The database calibration and validation are based on local buoy measurements. Wind fields issued from climate model present systematic biases, therefore, a quantile-quantile correction is applied to wave projections.Wave climate evolution analysis is done in two steps. Firstly, present wave climate (1958-2001) is investigated regarding multi-decadal trends and interannual variability. A significant increase of summer wave height is identified on the period 1970-2001 (0.54 cm/y at the Biscay buoy). Concerning largest wave heights, a significant shift of directions is noticed for autumn (up to −0.47°/y from 1974 to 2001 at the Biscay buoy) and spring (0.3°/y from 1958 to 2001 at the Biscay buoy). The strong interannual variability of wave conditions is correlated to several general atmospheric circulation preferential modes (teleconnexion patterns and weather regimes). This underlines a strong link between local wave conditions and climate. For instance, the winter wave height and direction anomalies within the Bay of Biscay are strongly correlated to the North Atlantic Oscillation and the East Atlantic teleconnection pattern indices. Secondly, wave condition changes between present climate (1961-2000) and future scenarios (2061-2100) are investigated and analysed. A general decrease of wave heights is noticed ... Doctoral or Postdoctoral Thesis North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation BRGM: HAL (Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières) |