Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses
Future increases in the concentration of greenhouse gases and water vapor are likely to cool the stratosphere further and increase the amount of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs). Future Arctic PSC areas have been extrapolated using highly significant trends from 1958-2001. Using a tight correlation...
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ftawi:oai:epic.awi.de:8867 2023-09-05T13:15:48+02:00 Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses Knudsen, B. M. Andersen, S. B. Christiansen, B. Larsen, N. Rex, Markus Harris, N. R. P. Naujokat, B. 2004 https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/8867/ https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.19390 unknown Knudsen, B. M. , Andersen, S. B. , Christiansen, B. , Larsen, N. , Rex, M. orcid:0000-0001-7847-8221 , Harris, N. R. P. and Naujokat, B. (2004) Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses , Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 4 , pp. 1849-1856 . hdl:10013/epic.19390 EPIC3Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 4, pp. 1849-1856 Article isiRev 2004 ftawi 2023-08-22T19:47:40Z Future increases in the concentration of greenhouse gases and water vapor are likely to cool the stratosphere further and increase the amount of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs). Future Arctic PSC areas have been extrapolated using highly significant trends from 1958-2001. Using a tight correlation between PSCs and the total vortex ozone depletion and taking the decreasing amounts of ozone depleting substances into account we attempt to predict ozone losses in the future. The result is that ozone losses increase until 2010-2020 and only decrease slightly up to 2030. This result constitutes an alternative prediction different from those of chemistry-climate models, which do not include some important processes affecting the ozone layer and do not agree on the fate of the Arctic ozone layer. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center) Arctic |
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Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center) |
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ftawi |
language |
unknown |
description |
Future increases in the concentration of greenhouse gases and water vapor are likely to cool the stratosphere further and increase the amount of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs). Future Arctic PSC areas have been extrapolated using highly significant trends from 1958-2001. Using a tight correlation between PSCs and the total vortex ozone depletion and taking the decreasing amounts of ozone depleting substances into account we attempt to predict ozone losses in the future. The result is that ozone losses increase until 2010-2020 and only decrease slightly up to 2030. This result constitutes an alternative prediction different from those of chemistry-climate models, which do not include some important processes affecting the ozone layer and do not agree on the fate of the Arctic ozone layer. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Knudsen, B. M. Andersen, S. B. Christiansen, B. Larsen, N. Rex, Markus Harris, N. R. P. Naujokat, B. |
spellingShingle |
Knudsen, B. M. Andersen, S. B. Christiansen, B. Larsen, N. Rex, Markus Harris, N. R. P. Naujokat, B. Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses |
author_facet |
Knudsen, B. M. Andersen, S. B. Christiansen, B. Larsen, N. Rex, Markus Harris, N. R. P. Naujokat, B. |
author_sort |
Knudsen, B. M. |
title |
Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses |
title_short |
Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses |
title_full |
Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses |
title_fullStr |
Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses |
title_full_unstemmed |
Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses |
title_sort |
extrapolating future arctic ozone losses |
publishDate |
2004 |
url |
https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/8867/ https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.19390 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic |
op_source |
EPIC3Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 4, pp. 1849-1856 |
op_relation |
Knudsen, B. M. , Andersen, S. B. , Christiansen, B. , Larsen, N. , Rex, M. orcid:0000-0001-7847-8221 , Harris, N. R. P. and Naujokat, B. (2004) Extrapolating future Arctic ozone losses , Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 4 , pp. 1849-1856 . hdl:10013/epic.19390 |
_version_ |
1776197621169258496 |