Modern temperatures in central–north Greenland warmest in past millennium
The Greenland Ice Sheet has a central role in the global climate system owing to its size, radiative effects and freshwater storage, and as a potential tipping point1. Weather stations show that the coastal regions are warming2, but the imprint of global warming in the central part of the ice sheet...
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Springer Nature
2023
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Online Access: | https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58425/ https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58425/1/Modern%20temperatures%20in%20central-north%20Greenland%20warmest%20in%20past%20millennium.pdf https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05517-z https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.79b1b843-88a7-41f8-9826-e5b1c4b1f666 |
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ftawi:oai:epic.awi.de:58425 2024-05-19T07:40:56+00:00 Modern temperatures in central–north Greenland warmest in past millennium Hörhold, M Münch, T Weißbach, S Kipfstuhl, S Freitag, J Sasgen, I Lohmann, G Vinther, B Laepple, T 2023-01-19 application/pdf https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58425/ https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58425/1/Modern%20temperatures%20in%20central-north%20Greenland%20warmest%20in%20past%20millennium.pdf https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05517-z https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.79b1b843-88a7-41f8-9826-e5b1c4b1f666 unknown Springer Nature https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58425/1/Modern%20temperatures%20in%20central-north%20Greenland%20warmest%20in%20past%20millennium.pdf Hörhold, M. orcid:0000-0002-9110-0909 , Münch, T. orcid:0000-0002-5492-7544 , Weißbach, S. , Kipfstuhl, S. , Freitag, J. orcid:0000-0003-2654-9440 , Sasgen, I. orcid:0000-0002-8993-0989 , Lohmann, G. orcid:0000-0003-2089-733X , Vinther, B. and Laepple, T. orcid:0000-0001-8108-7520 (2023) Modern temperatures in central–north Greenland warmest in past millennium , Nature, 613 (7944), pp. 503-507 . doi:10.1038/s41586-022-05517-z <https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05517-z> , hdl:10013/epic.79b1b843-88a7-41f8-9826-e5b1c4b1f666 EPIC3Nature, Springer Nature, 613(7944), pp. 503-507, ISSN: 0028-0836 Article peerRev 2023 ftawi https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05517-z 2024-04-30T23:35:56Z The Greenland Ice Sheet has a central role in the global climate system owing to its size, radiative effects and freshwater storage, and as a potential tipping point1. Weather stations show that the coastal regions are warming2, but the imprint of global warming in the central part of the ice sheet is unclear, owing to missing long-term observations. Current ice-core-based temperature reconstructions3–5 are ambiguous with respect to isolating global warming signatures from natural variability, because they are too noisy and do not include the most recent decades. By systematically redrilling ice cores, we created a high-quality reconstruction of central and north Greenland temperatures from ad 1000 until 2011. Here we show that the warming in the recent reconstructed decade exceeds the range of the pre-industrial temperature variability in the past millennium with virtual certainty (P < 0.001) and is on average 1.5 ± 0.4 degrees Celsius (1 standard error) warmer than the twentieth century. Our findings suggest that these exceptional temperatures arise from the superposition of natural variability with a long-term warming trend, apparent since ad 1800. The disproportionate warming is accompanied by enhanced Greenland meltwater run-off, implying that anthropogenic influence has also arrived in central and north Greenland, which might further accelerate the overall Greenland mass loss. Article in Journal/Newspaper Greenland ice core Ice Sheet North Greenland Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center) Nature 613 7944 503 507 |
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Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center) |
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ftawi |
language |
unknown |
description |
The Greenland Ice Sheet has a central role in the global climate system owing to its size, radiative effects and freshwater storage, and as a potential tipping point1. Weather stations show that the coastal regions are warming2, but the imprint of global warming in the central part of the ice sheet is unclear, owing to missing long-term observations. Current ice-core-based temperature reconstructions3–5 are ambiguous with respect to isolating global warming signatures from natural variability, because they are too noisy and do not include the most recent decades. By systematically redrilling ice cores, we created a high-quality reconstruction of central and north Greenland temperatures from ad 1000 until 2011. Here we show that the warming in the recent reconstructed decade exceeds the range of the pre-industrial temperature variability in the past millennium with virtual certainty (P < 0.001) and is on average 1.5 ± 0.4 degrees Celsius (1 standard error) warmer than the twentieth century. Our findings suggest that these exceptional temperatures arise from the superposition of natural variability with a long-term warming trend, apparent since ad 1800. The disproportionate warming is accompanied by enhanced Greenland meltwater run-off, implying that anthropogenic influence has also arrived in central and north Greenland, which might further accelerate the overall Greenland mass loss. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hörhold, M Münch, T Weißbach, S Kipfstuhl, S Freitag, J Sasgen, I Lohmann, G Vinther, B Laepple, T |
spellingShingle |
Hörhold, M Münch, T Weißbach, S Kipfstuhl, S Freitag, J Sasgen, I Lohmann, G Vinther, B Laepple, T Modern temperatures in central–north Greenland warmest in past millennium |
author_facet |
Hörhold, M Münch, T Weißbach, S Kipfstuhl, S Freitag, J Sasgen, I Lohmann, G Vinther, B Laepple, T |
author_sort |
Hörhold, M |
title |
Modern temperatures in central–north Greenland warmest in past millennium |
title_short |
Modern temperatures in central–north Greenland warmest in past millennium |
title_full |
Modern temperatures in central–north Greenland warmest in past millennium |
title_fullStr |
Modern temperatures in central–north Greenland warmest in past millennium |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modern temperatures in central–north Greenland warmest in past millennium |
title_sort |
modern temperatures in central–north greenland warmest in past millennium |
publisher |
Springer Nature |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58425/ https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58425/1/Modern%20temperatures%20in%20central-north%20Greenland%20warmest%20in%20past%20millennium.pdf https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05517-z https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.79b1b843-88a7-41f8-9826-e5b1c4b1f666 |
genre |
Greenland ice core Ice Sheet North Greenland |
genre_facet |
Greenland ice core Ice Sheet North Greenland |
op_source |
EPIC3Nature, Springer Nature, 613(7944), pp. 503-507, ISSN: 0028-0836 |
op_relation |
https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58425/1/Modern%20temperatures%20in%20central-north%20Greenland%20warmest%20in%20past%20millennium.pdf Hörhold, M. orcid:0000-0002-9110-0909 , Münch, T. orcid:0000-0002-5492-7544 , Weißbach, S. , Kipfstuhl, S. , Freitag, J. orcid:0000-0003-2654-9440 , Sasgen, I. orcid:0000-0002-8993-0989 , Lohmann, G. orcid:0000-0003-2089-733X , Vinther, B. and Laepple, T. orcid:0000-0001-8108-7520 (2023) Modern temperatures in central–north Greenland warmest in past millennium , Nature, 613 (7944), pp. 503-507 . doi:10.1038/s41586-022-05517-z <https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05517-z> , hdl:10013/epic.79b1b843-88a7-41f8-9826-e5b1c4b1f666 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05517-z |
container_title |
Nature |
container_volume |
613 |
container_issue |
7944 |
container_start_page |
503 |
op_container_end_page |
507 |
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1799480504625397760 |