Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios
Mesopelagic fish (meso-fish) are central species within the Southern Ocean (SO). However, their ecosystem role and adaptive capacity to climate change are rarely integrated into marine protected area (MPAs) assessments. This is a pity given their importance as crucial prey and predators in food webs...
Published in: | Marine Life Science & Technology |
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Springer Nature
2023
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Online Access: | https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58291/ https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58291/5/LiuEtAl2023_CorrVersion.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9 https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.3d107446-d987-4289-a506-9c1f173717fa |
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ftawi:oai:epic.awi.de:58291 2024-05-19T07:28:57+00:00 Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios Liu, Shuhao Liu, Yang Teschke, Katharina Hindell, Mark A Downey, Rachel Woods, Briannyn Kang, Bin Ma, Shuyang Zhang, Chi Li, Jianchao Ye, Zhenjiang Sun, Peng He, Jianfeng Tian, Yongjun 2023-01-01 application/pdf https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58291/ https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58291/5/LiuEtAl2023_CorrVersion.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9 https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.3d107446-d987-4289-a506-9c1f173717fa unknown Springer Nature https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58291/5/LiuEtAl2023_CorrVersion.pdf Liu, S. , Liu, Y. , Teschke, K. orcid:0000-0001-9595-7443 , Hindell, M. A. , Downey, R. , Woods, B. , Kang, B. , Ma, S. , Zhang, C. , Li, J. , Ye, Z. , Sun, P. , He, J. and Tian, Y. (2023) Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios , Marine Life Science & Technology, pp. 1-16 . doi:10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9 <https://doi.org/10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9> , hdl:10013/epic.3d107446-d987-4289-a506-9c1f173717fa EPIC3Marine Life Science & Technology, Springer Nature, pp. 1-16, ISSN: 2096-6490 Article peerRev 2023 ftawi https://doi.org/10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9 2024-04-30T23:35:56Z Mesopelagic fish (meso-fish) are central species within the Southern Ocean (SO). However, their ecosystem role and adaptive capacity to climate change are rarely integrated into marine protected area (MPAs) assessments. This is a pity given their importance as crucial prey and predators in food webs, coupled with the impacts of climate change. Here, we estimate the habitat distribution of nine meso-fish using an ensemble model approach (MAXENT, random forest, and boosted regression tree). Four climate model simulations were used to project their distribution under two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for short-term (2006–2055) and long-term (2050–2099) periods. In addition, we assess the ecological representativeness of established and proposed MPAs under climate change scenarios using meso-fish as indicator species. Our models show that all species shift poleward in the future. Lanternfishes (family Myctophidae) are predicted to migrate poleward more than other families (Paralepididae, Nototheniidae, Bathylagidae, and Gonostomatidae). In comparison, lanternfishes were projected to increase habitat area in the eastern SO but lose area in the western SO; the opposite was projected for species in other families. Important areas (IAs) of meso-fish are mainly distributed near the Antarctic Peninsula and East Antarctica. Proposed MPAs cover 23% of IAs at present and 38% of IAs in the future (RCP8.5, long-term future). Many IAs of meso-fish still need to be included in MPA proposals, such as the Prydz Bay and the seas around the Antarctic Peninsula. Our results provide a framework for designing new MPAs incorporating climate change adaptation strategies for MPA management. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Antarctic Peninsula Antarctica East Antarctica Prydz Bay Southern Ocean Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center) Marine Life Science & Technology 6 1 68 83 |
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Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center) |
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ftawi |
language |
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description |
Mesopelagic fish (meso-fish) are central species within the Southern Ocean (SO). However, their ecosystem role and adaptive capacity to climate change are rarely integrated into marine protected area (MPAs) assessments. This is a pity given their importance as crucial prey and predators in food webs, coupled with the impacts of climate change. Here, we estimate the habitat distribution of nine meso-fish using an ensemble model approach (MAXENT, random forest, and boosted regression tree). Four climate model simulations were used to project their distribution under two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for short-term (2006–2055) and long-term (2050–2099) periods. In addition, we assess the ecological representativeness of established and proposed MPAs under climate change scenarios using meso-fish as indicator species. Our models show that all species shift poleward in the future. Lanternfishes (family Myctophidae) are predicted to migrate poleward more than other families (Paralepididae, Nototheniidae, Bathylagidae, and Gonostomatidae). In comparison, lanternfishes were projected to increase habitat area in the eastern SO but lose area in the western SO; the opposite was projected for species in other families. Important areas (IAs) of meso-fish are mainly distributed near the Antarctic Peninsula and East Antarctica. Proposed MPAs cover 23% of IAs at present and 38% of IAs in the future (RCP8.5, long-term future). Many IAs of meso-fish still need to be included in MPA proposals, such as the Prydz Bay and the seas around the Antarctic Peninsula. Our results provide a framework for designing new MPAs incorporating climate change adaptation strategies for MPA management. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Liu, Shuhao Liu, Yang Teschke, Katharina Hindell, Mark A Downey, Rachel Woods, Briannyn Kang, Bin Ma, Shuyang Zhang, Chi Li, Jianchao Ye, Zhenjiang Sun, Peng He, Jianfeng Tian, Yongjun |
spellingShingle |
Liu, Shuhao Liu, Yang Teschke, Katharina Hindell, Mark A Downey, Rachel Woods, Briannyn Kang, Bin Ma, Shuyang Zhang, Chi Li, Jianchao Ye, Zhenjiang Sun, Peng He, Jianfeng Tian, Yongjun Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios |
author_facet |
Liu, Shuhao Liu, Yang Teschke, Katharina Hindell, Mark A Downey, Rachel Woods, Briannyn Kang, Bin Ma, Shuyang Zhang, Chi Li, Jianchao Ye, Zhenjiang Sun, Peng He, Jianfeng Tian, Yongjun |
author_sort |
Liu, Shuhao |
title |
Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios |
title_short |
Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios |
title_full |
Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios |
title_fullStr |
Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios |
title_full_unstemmed |
Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios |
title_sort |
incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios |
publisher |
Springer Nature |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58291/ https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58291/5/LiuEtAl2023_CorrVersion.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9 https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.3d107446-d987-4289-a506-9c1f173717fa |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctic Peninsula Antarctica East Antarctica Prydz Bay Southern Ocean |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctic Peninsula Antarctica East Antarctica Prydz Bay Southern Ocean |
op_source |
EPIC3Marine Life Science & Technology, Springer Nature, pp. 1-16, ISSN: 2096-6490 |
op_relation |
https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/58291/5/LiuEtAl2023_CorrVersion.pdf Liu, S. , Liu, Y. , Teschke, K. orcid:0000-0001-9595-7443 , Hindell, M. A. , Downey, R. , Woods, B. , Kang, B. , Ma, S. , Zhang, C. , Li, J. , Ye, Z. , Sun, P. , He, J. and Tian, Y. (2023) Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios , Marine Life Science & Technology, pp. 1-16 . doi:10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9 <https://doi.org/10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9> , hdl:10013/epic.3d107446-d987-4289-a506-9c1f173717fa |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9 |
container_title |
Marine Life Science & Technology |
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6 |
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68 |
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83 |
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1799476740027842560 |