Population living on permafrost in the Arctic
Permafrost thaw is a challenge in many Arctic regions, one that modifies ecosystems and affects infrastructure and livelihoods. To date, there have been no demographic studies of the population on permafrost. We present the first estimates of the number of inhabitants on permafrost in the Arctic Cir...
Published in: | Population and Environment |
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2021
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Online Access: | https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/54598/ https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/54598/1/Population_living_on_permafrost_in_the_Arctic.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-020-00370-6 https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.c86e1aa4-5cac-419d-a017-3877fb7bcc8c |
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ftawi:oai:epic.awi.de:54598 2024-05-19T07:33:23+00:00 Population living on permafrost in the Arctic Ramage, Justine Jungsberg, Leneisja Wang, Shinan Westermann, Sebastian Lantuit, Hugues Heleniak, Timothy 2021-01-06 application/pdf https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/54598/ https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/54598/1/Population_living_on_permafrost_in_the_Arctic.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-020-00370-6 https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.c86e1aa4-5cac-419d-a017-3877fb7bcc8c unknown https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/54598/1/Population_living_on_permafrost_in_the_Arctic.pdf Ramage, J. , Jungsberg, L. , Wang, S. , Westermann, S. , Lantuit, H. orcid:0000-0003-1497-6760 and Heleniak, T. (2021) Population living on permafrost in the Arctic , Population and Environment, 43 (1), pp. 22-38 . doi:10.1007/s11111-020-00370-6 <https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-020-00370-6> , hdl:10013/epic.c86e1aa4-5cac-419d-a017-3877fb7bcc8c EPIC3Population and Environment, 43(1), pp. 22-38, ISSN: 0199-0039 Article isiRev 2021 ftawi https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-020-00370-6 2024-04-23T23:38:07Z Permafrost thaw is a challenge in many Arctic regions, one that modifies ecosystems and affects infrastructure and livelihoods. To date, there have been no demographic studies of the population on permafrost. We present the first estimates of the number of inhabitants on permafrost in the Arctic Circumpolar Permafrost Region (ACPR) and project changes as a result of permafrost thaw. We combine current and projected populations at settlement level with permafrost extent. Key findings indicate that there are 1162 permafrost settlements in the ACPR, accommodating 5 million inhabitants, of whom 1 million live along a coast. Climate-driven permafrost projections suggest that by 2050, 42% of the permafrost settlements will become permafrost-free due to thawing. Among the settlements remaining on permafrost, 42% are in high hazard zones, where the consequences of permafrost thaw will be most severe. In total, 3.3 million people in the ACPR live currently in settlements where permafrost will degrade and ultimately disappear by 2050. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic permafrost Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center) Population and Environment 43 1 22 38 |
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Open Polar |
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Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center) |
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ftawi |
language |
unknown |
description |
Permafrost thaw is a challenge in many Arctic regions, one that modifies ecosystems and affects infrastructure and livelihoods. To date, there have been no demographic studies of the population on permafrost. We present the first estimates of the number of inhabitants on permafrost in the Arctic Circumpolar Permafrost Region (ACPR) and project changes as a result of permafrost thaw. We combine current and projected populations at settlement level with permafrost extent. Key findings indicate that there are 1162 permafrost settlements in the ACPR, accommodating 5 million inhabitants, of whom 1 million live along a coast. Climate-driven permafrost projections suggest that by 2050, 42% of the permafrost settlements will become permafrost-free due to thawing. Among the settlements remaining on permafrost, 42% are in high hazard zones, where the consequences of permafrost thaw will be most severe. In total, 3.3 million people in the ACPR live currently in settlements where permafrost will degrade and ultimately disappear by 2050. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Ramage, Justine Jungsberg, Leneisja Wang, Shinan Westermann, Sebastian Lantuit, Hugues Heleniak, Timothy |
spellingShingle |
Ramage, Justine Jungsberg, Leneisja Wang, Shinan Westermann, Sebastian Lantuit, Hugues Heleniak, Timothy Population living on permafrost in the Arctic |
author_facet |
Ramage, Justine Jungsberg, Leneisja Wang, Shinan Westermann, Sebastian Lantuit, Hugues Heleniak, Timothy |
author_sort |
Ramage, Justine |
title |
Population living on permafrost in the Arctic |
title_short |
Population living on permafrost in the Arctic |
title_full |
Population living on permafrost in the Arctic |
title_fullStr |
Population living on permafrost in the Arctic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Population living on permafrost in the Arctic |
title_sort |
population living on permafrost in the arctic |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/54598/ https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/54598/1/Population_living_on_permafrost_in_the_Arctic.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-020-00370-6 https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.c86e1aa4-5cac-419d-a017-3877fb7bcc8c |
genre |
Arctic Arctic permafrost |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic permafrost |
op_source |
EPIC3Population and Environment, 43(1), pp. 22-38, ISSN: 0199-0039 |
op_relation |
https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/54598/1/Population_living_on_permafrost_in_the_Arctic.pdf Ramage, J. , Jungsberg, L. , Wang, S. , Westermann, S. , Lantuit, H. orcid:0000-0003-1497-6760 and Heleniak, T. (2021) Population living on permafrost in the Arctic , Population and Environment, 43 (1), pp. 22-38 . doi:10.1007/s11111-020-00370-6 <https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-020-00370-6> , hdl:10013/epic.c86e1aa4-5cac-419d-a017-3877fb7bcc8c |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-020-00370-6 |
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Population and Environment |
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43 |
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1 |
container_start_page |
22 |
op_container_end_page |
38 |
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1799471436517081088 |