Polar Ocean Observations: A Critical Gap in the Observing System and Its Effect on Environmental Predictions From Hours to a Season
There is a growing need for operational oceanographic predictions in both the Arctic and Antarctic polar regions. In the former, this is driven by a declining ice cover accompanied by an increase in maritime traffic and exploitation of marine resources. Oceanographic predictions in the Antarctic are...
Published in: | Frontiers in Marine Science |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | unknown |
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2019
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Online Access: | https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/51979/ https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00429 https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.bcd2006c-eec0-4f54-85dd-2ad2a995bfa9 |
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ftawi:oai:epic.awi.de:51979 |
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Open Polar |
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Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center) |
op_collection_id |
ftawi |
language |
unknown |
description |
There is a growing need for operational oceanographic predictions in both the Arctic and Antarctic polar regions. In the former, this is driven by a declining ice cover accompanied by an increase in maritime traffic and exploitation of marine resources. Oceanographic predictions in the Antarctic are also important, both to support Antarctic operations and also to help elucidate processes governing sea ice and ice shelf stability. However, a significant gap exists in the ocean observing system in polar regions, compared to most areas of the global ocean, hindering the reliability of ocean and sea ice forecasts. This gap can also be seen from the spread in ocean and sea ice reanalyses for polar regions which provide an estimate of their uncertainty. The reduced reliability of polar predictions may affect the quality of various applications including search and rescue, coupling with numerical weather and seasonal predictions, historical reconstructions (reanalysis), aquaculture and environmental management including environmental emergency response. Here, we outline the status of existing near-real time ocean observational efforts in polar regions, discuss gaps, and explore perspectives for the future. Specific recommendations include a renewed call for open access to data, especially real-time data, as a critical capability for improved sea ice and weather forecasting and other environmental prediction needs. Dedicated efforts are also needed to make use of additional observations made as part of the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP; 2017–2019) to inform optimal observing system design. To provide a polar extension to the Argo network, it is recommended that a network of ice-borne sea ice and upper-ocean observing buoys be deployed and supported operationally in ice-covered areas together with autonomous profiling floats and gliders (potentially with ice detection capability) in seasonally ice covered seas. Finally, additional efforts to better measure and parameterize surface exchanges in polar regions are much ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Smith, Gregory C. Allard, Richard Babin, Marcel Bertino, Laurent Chevallier, Matthieu Corlett, Gary Crout, Julia Davidson, Fraser Delille, Bruno Gille, Sarah T. Hebert, David Hyder, Patrick Intrieri, Janet Lagunas, José Larnicol, Gilles Kaminski, Thomas Kater, Belinda Kauker, Frank Marec, Claudie Mazloff, Matthew Metzger, E. Joseph Mordy, Calvin O’Carroll, Anne Olsen, Steffen M. Phelps, Michael Posey, Pamela Prandi, Pierre Rehm, Eric Reid, Phillip Rigor, Ignatius Sandven, Stein Shupe, Matthew Swart, Sebastiaan Smedstad, Ole Martin Solomon, Amy Storto, Andrea Thibaut, Pierre Toole, John Wood, Kevin Xie, Jiping Yang, Qinghua WWRP PPP Steering Group, Members |
spellingShingle |
Smith, Gregory C. Allard, Richard Babin, Marcel Bertino, Laurent Chevallier, Matthieu Corlett, Gary Crout, Julia Davidson, Fraser Delille, Bruno Gille, Sarah T. Hebert, David Hyder, Patrick Intrieri, Janet Lagunas, José Larnicol, Gilles Kaminski, Thomas Kater, Belinda Kauker, Frank Marec, Claudie Mazloff, Matthew Metzger, E. Joseph Mordy, Calvin O’Carroll, Anne Olsen, Steffen M. Phelps, Michael Posey, Pamela Prandi, Pierre Rehm, Eric Reid, Phillip Rigor, Ignatius Sandven, Stein Shupe, Matthew Swart, Sebastiaan Smedstad, Ole Martin Solomon, Amy Storto, Andrea Thibaut, Pierre Toole, John Wood, Kevin Xie, Jiping Yang, Qinghua WWRP PPP Steering Group, Members Polar Ocean Observations: A Critical Gap in the Observing System and Its Effect on Environmental Predictions From Hours to a Season |
author_facet |
Smith, Gregory C. Allard, Richard Babin, Marcel Bertino, Laurent Chevallier, Matthieu Corlett, Gary Crout, Julia Davidson, Fraser Delille, Bruno Gille, Sarah T. Hebert, David Hyder, Patrick Intrieri, Janet Lagunas, José Larnicol, Gilles Kaminski, Thomas Kater, Belinda Kauker, Frank Marec, Claudie Mazloff, Matthew Metzger, E. Joseph Mordy, Calvin O’Carroll, Anne Olsen, Steffen M. Phelps, Michael Posey, Pamela Prandi, Pierre Rehm, Eric Reid, Phillip Rigor, Ignatius Sandven, Stein Shupe, Matthew Swart, Sebastiaan Smedstad, Ole Martin Solomon, Amy Storto, Andrea Thibaut, Pierre Toole, John Wood, Kevin Xie, Jiping Yang, Qinghua WWRP PPP Steering Group, Members |
author_sort |
Smith, Gregory C. |
title |
Polar Ocean Observations: A Critical Gap in the Observing System and Its Effect on Environmental Predictions From Hours to a Season |
title_short |
Polar Ocean Observations: A Critical Gap in the Observing System and Its Effect on Environmental Predictions From Hours to a Season |
title_full |
Polar Ocean Observations: A Critical Gap in the Observing System and Its Effect on Environmental Predictions From Hours to a Season |
title_fullStr |
Polar Ocean Observations: A Critical Gap in the Observing System and Its Effect on Environmental Predictions From Hours to a Season |
title_full_unstemmed |
Polar Ocean Observations: A Critical Gap in the Observing System and Its Effect on Environmental Predictions From Hours to a Season |
title_sort |
polar ocean observations: a critical gap in the observing system and its effect on environmental predictions from hours to a season |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/51979/ https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00429 https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.bcd2006c-eec0-4f54-85dd-2ad2a995bfa9 |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Shelf Sea ice ice covered areas |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Shelf Sea ice ice covered areas |
op_source |
EPIC3Frontiers in Marine Science, 6(429), ISSN: 2296-7745 |
op_relation |
Smith, G. C. , Allard, R. , Babin, M. , Bertino, L. , Chevallier, M. , Corlett, G. , Crout, J. , Davidson, F. , Delille, B. , Gille, S. T. , Hebert, D. , Hyder, P. , Intrieri, J. , Lagunas, J. , Larnicol, G. , Kaminski, T. , Kater, B. , Kauker, F. orcid:0000-0002-7976-3005 , Marec, C. , Mazloff, M. , Metzger, E. J. , Mordy, C. , O’Carroll, A. , Olsen, S. M. , Phelps, M. , Posey, P. , Prandi, P. , Rehm, E. , Reid, P. , Rigor, I. , Sandven, S. , Shupe, M. , Swart, S. , Smedstad, O. M. , Solomon, A. , Storto, A. , Thibaut, P. , Toole, J. , Wood, K. , Xie, J. , Yang, Q. and WWRP PPP Steering Group, M. (2019) Polar Ocean Observations: A Critical Gap in the Observing System and Its Effect on Environmental Predictions From Hours to a Season , Frontiers in Marine Science, 6 (429) . doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00429 <https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00429> , hdl:10013/epic.bcd2006c-eec0-4f54-85dd-2ad2a995bfa9 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00429 |
container_title |
Frontiers in Marine Science |
container_volume |
6 |
_version_ |
1810488806979141632 |
spelling |
ftawi:oai:epic.awi.de:51979 2024-09-15T17:42:17+00:00 Polar Ocean Observations: A Critical Gap in the Observing System and Its Effect on Environmental Predictions From Hours to a Season Smith, Gregory C. Allard, Richard Babin, Marcel Bertino, Laurent Chevallier, Matthieu Corlett, Gary Crout, Julia Davidson, Fraser Delille, Bruno Gille, Sarah T. Hebert, David Hyder, Patrick Intrieri, Janet Lagunas, José Larnicol, Gilles Kaminski, Thomas Kater, Belinda Kauker, Frank Marec, Claudie Mazloff, Matthew Metzger, E. Joseph Mordy, Calvin O’Carroll, Anne Olsen, Steffen M. Phelps, Michael Posey, Pamela Prandi, Pierre Rehm, Eric Reid, Phillip Rigor, Ignatius Sandven, Stein Shupe, Matthew Swart, Sebastiaan Smedstad, Ole Martin Solomon, Amy Storto, Andrea Thibaut, Pierre Toole, John Wood, Kevin Xie, Jiping Yang, Qinghua WWRP PPP Steering Group, Members 2019-08-06 https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/51979/ https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00429 https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.bcd2006c-eec0-4f54-85dd-2ad2a995bfa9 unknown Smith, G. C. , Allard, R. , Babin, M. , Bertino, L. , Chevallier, M. , Corlett, G. , Crout, J. , Davidson, F. , Delille, B. , Gille, S. T. , Hebert, D. , Hyder, P. , Intrieri, J. , Lagunas, J. , Larnicol, G. , Kaminski, T. , Kater, B. , Kauker, F. orcid:0000-0002-7976-3005 , Marec, C. , Mazloff, M. , Metzger, E. J. , Mordy, C. , O’Carroll, A. , Olsen, S. M. , Phelps, M. , Posey, P. , Prandi, P. , Rehm, E. , Reid, P. , Rigor, I. , Sandven, S. , Shupe, M. , Swart, S. , Smedstad, O. M. , Solomon, A. , Storto, A. , Thibaut, P. , Toole, J. , Wood, K. , Xie, J. , Yang, Q. and WWRP PPP Steering Group, M. (2019) Polar Ocean Observations: A Critical Gap in the Observing System and Its Effect on Environmental Predictions From Hours to a Season , Frontiers in Marine Science, 6 (429) . doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00429 <https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00429> , hdl:10013/epic.bcd2006c-eec0-4f54-85dd-2ad2a995bfa9 EPIC3Frontiers in Marine Science, 6(429), ISSN: 2296-7745 Article isiRev 2019 ftawi https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00429 2024-06-24T04:24:41Z There is a growing need for operational oceanographic predictions in both the Arctic and Antarctic polar regions. In the former, this is driven by a declining ice cover accompanied by an increase in maritime traffic and exploitation of marine resources. Oceanographic predictions in the Antarctic are also important, both to support Antarctic operations and also to help elucidate processes governing sea ice and ice shelf stability. However, a significant gap exists in the ocean observing system in polar regions, compared to most areas of the global ocean, hindering the reliability of ocean and sea ice forecasts. This gap can also be seen from the spread in ocean and sea ice reanalyses for polar regions which provide an estimate of their uncertainty. The reduced reliability of polar predictions may affect the quality of various applications including search and rescue, coupling with numerical weather and seasonal predictions, historical reconstructions (reanalysis), aquaculture and environmental management including environmental emergency response. Here, we outline the status of existing near-real time ocean observational efforts in polar regions, discuss gaps, and explore perspectives for the future. Specific recommendations include a renewed call for open access to data, especially real-time data, as a critical capability for improved sea ice and weather forecasting and other environmental prediction needs. Dedicated efforts are also needed to make use of additional observations made as part of the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP; 2017–2019) to inform optimal observing system design. To provide a polar extension to the Argo network, it is recommended that a network of ice-borne sea ice and upper-ocean observing buoys be deployed and supported operationally in ice-covered areas together with autonomous profiling floats and gliders (potentially with ice detection capability) in seasonally ice covered seas. Finally, additional efforts to better measure and parameterize surface exchanges in polar regions are much ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Ice Shelf Sea ice ice covered areas Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center) Frontiers in Marine Science 6 |