Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia

Past global climate changes had strong regional expression. To elucidate their spatio-temporal pattern, we reconstructed past temperatures for seven continental-scale regions during the past one to two millennia. The most coherent feature in nearly all of the regional temperature reconstructions is...

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Published in:Nature Geoscience
Main Authors: PAGES-2k-Network, Ahmed, Moinuddin, Anchukaitis, Kevin J., Asrat, Asfawossen, Borgaonkar, Hemant, Braida, Martina, Buckley, Brendan M., Büntgen, Ulf, Chase, Brian M., Christie, Duncan A., Cook, Edward R., Curran, Mark A. J., Diaz, Henry F., Esper, Jan, Fan, Ze-Xin, Gaire, Narayan P., Ge, Quansheng, Gergis, Joëlle, González-Rouco, J Fidel, Goosse, Hueghes, Grab, Stefan W., Graham, Nicholas, Graham, Rochelle, Grosjean, Martin, Hanhijärvi, Sami T., Kaufman, Darrell S., Kiefer, Thorsten, Kimura, Katsuhiko, Korhola, Atte A., Krusic, Paul J., Lara, Antonio, Lézine, Anne-Marie, Ljungqvist, Fredrik C., Lorrey, Andrew M., Luterbacher, Jürg, Masson-Delmotte, Valerie, McCarroll, Danny, McConnell, Joseph R., McKay, Nicholas P., Morales, Mariano S., Moy, Andrew D., Mulvaney, Robert, Mundo, Ignacio A., Nakatsuka, Takeshi, Nash, David J., Neukom, Raphael, Nicholson, Sharon E., Oerter, Hans, Palmer, Jonathan G., Phipps, Steven J., Prieto, Maria R., Rivera, Andres, Sano, Masaki, Severi, Mirko, Shanahan, Timothy M., Shao, Xuemei, Shi, Feng, Sigl, Michael, Smerdon, Jason E., Solomina, Olga N., Steig, Eric J., Stenni, Barbara, Thamban, Meloth, Trouet, Valerie, Turney, Chris S.M., Umer, Mohammed, Van Ommen, Tas, Verschuren, Dirk, Viau, Andre E., Villalba, Ricardo, Vinther, Bo M., von Gunten, Lucien, Wagner, Sebastian, Wahl, Eugene R., Wanner, Heinz, Werner, Johannes P., White, James W.C., Yasue, Koh, Zorita, Eduardo
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:unknown
Published: NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/32886/
https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/32886/1/PAGES2k_NGEO_inpress.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.41650
https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.41650.d001
id ftawi:oai:epic.awi.de:32886
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collection Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center)
op_collection_id ftawi
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description Past global climate changes had strong regional expression. To elucidate their spatio-temporal pattern, we reconstructed past temperatures for seven continental-scale regions during the past one to two millennia. The most coherent feature in nearly all of the regional temperature reconstructions is a long-term cooling trend, which ended late in the nineteenth century. At multi-decadal to centennial scales, temperature variability shows distinctly different regional patterns, with more similarity within each hemisphere than between them. There were no globally synchronous multi-decadal warm or cold intervals that define a worldwide Medieval Warm Period or Little Ice Age, but all reconstructions show generally cold conditions between ad 1580 and 1880, punctuated in some regions by warm decades during the eighteenth century. The transition to these colder conditions occurred earlier in the Arctic, Europe and Asia than in North America or the Southern Hemisphere regions. Recent warming reversed the long-term cooling; during the period ad 1971–2000, the area-weighted average reconstructed temperature was higher than any other time in nearly 1,400 years.
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
author PAGES-2k-Network
Ahmed, Moinuddin
Anchukaitis, Kevin J.
Asrat, Asfawossen
Borgaonkar, Hemant
Braida, Martina
Buckley, Brendan M.
Büntgen, Ulf
Chase, Brian M.
Christie, Duncan A.
Cook, Edward R.
Curran, Mark A. J.
Diaz, Henry F.
Esper, Jan
Fan, Ze-Xin
Gaire, Narayan P.
Ge, Quansheng
Gergis, Joëlle
González-Rouco, J Fidel
Goosse, Hueghes
Grab, Stefan W.
Graham, Nicholas
Graham, Rochelle
Grosjean, Martin
Hanhijärvi, Sami T.
Kaufman, Darrell S.
Kiefer, Thorsten
Kimura, Katsuhiko
Korhola, Atte A.
Krusic, Paul J.
Lara, Antonio
Lézine, Anne-Marie
Ljungqvist, Fredrik C.
Lorrey, Andrew M.
Luterbacher, Jürg
Masson-Delmotte, Valerie
McCarroll, Danny
McConnell, Joseph R.
McKay, Nicholas P.
Morales, Mariano S.
Moy, Andrew D.
Mulvaney, Robert
Mundo, Ignacio A.
Nakatsuka, Takeshi
Nash, David J.
Neukom, Raphael
Nicholson, Sharon E.
Oerter, Hans
Palmer, Jonathan G.
Phipps, Steven J.
Prieto, Maria R.
Rivera, Andres
Sano, Masaki
Severi, Mirko
Shanahan, Timothy M.
Shao, Xuemei
Shi, Feng
Sigl, Michael
Smerdon, Jason E.
Solomina, Olga N.
Steig, Eric J.
Stenni, Barbara
Thamban, Meloth
Trouet, Valerie
Turney, Chris S.M.
Umer, Mohammed
Van Ommen, Tas
Verschuren, Dirk
Viau, Andre E.
Villalba, Ricardo
Vinther, Bo M.
von Gunten, Lucien
Wagner, Sebastian
Wahl, Eugene R.
Wanner, Heinz
Werner, Johannes P.
White, James W.C.
Yasue, Koh
Zorita, Eduardo
spellingShingle PAGES-2k-Network
Ahmed, Moinuddin
Anchukaitis, Kevin J.
Asrat, Asfawossen
Borgaonkar, Hemant
Braida, Martina
Buckley, Brendan M.
Büntgen, Ulf
Chase, Brian M.
Christie, Duncan A.
Cook, Edward R.
Curran, Mark A. J.
Diaz, Henry F.
Esper, Jan
Fan, Ze-Xin
Gaire, Narayan P.
Ge, Quansheng
Gergis, Joëlle
González-Rouco, J Fidel
Goosse, Hueghes
Grab, Stefan W.
Graham, Nicholas
Graham, Rochelle
Grosjean, Martin
Hanhijärvi, Sami T.
Kaufman, Darrell S.
Kiefer, Thorsten
Kimura, Katsuhiko
Korhola, Atte A.
Krusic, Paul J.
Lara, Antonio
Lézine, Anne-Marie
Ljungqvist, Fredrik C.
Lorrey, Andrew M.
Luterbacher, Jürg
Masson-Delmotte, Valerie
McCarroll, Danny
McConnell, Joseph R.
McKay, Nicholas P.
Morales, Mariano S.
Moy, Andrew D.
Mulvaney, Robert
Mundo, Ignacio A.
Nakatsuka, Takeshi
Nash, David J.
Neukom, Raphael
Nicholson, Sharon E.
Oerter, Hans
Palmer, Jonathan G.
Phipps, Steven J.
Prieto, Maria R.
Rivera, Andres
Sano, Masaki
Severi, Mirko
Shanahan, Timothy M.
Shao, Xuemei
Shi, Feng
Sigl, Michael
Smerdon, Jason E.
Solomina, Olga N.
Steig, Eric J.
Stenni, Barbara
Thamban, Meloth
Trouet, Valerie
Turney, Chris S.M.
Umer, Mohammed
Van Ommen, Tas
Verschuren, Dirk
Viau, Andre E.
Villalba, Ricardo
Vinther, Bo M.
von Gunten, Lucien
Wagner, Sebastian
Wahl, Eugene R.
Wanner, Heinz
Werner, Johannes P.
White, James W.C.
Yasue, Koh
Zorita, Eduardo
Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia
author_facet PAGES-2k-Network
Ahmed, Moinuddin
Anchukaitis, Kevin J.
Asrat, Asfawossen
Borgaonkar, Hemant
Braida, Martina
Buckley, Brendan M.
Büntgen, Ulf
Chase, Brian M.
Christie, Duncan A.
Cook, Edward R.
Curran, Mark A. J.
Diaz, Henry F.
Esper, Jan
Fan, Ze-Xin
Gaire, Narayan P.
Ge, Quansheng
Gergis, Joëlle
González-Rouco, J Fidel
Goosse, Hueghes
Grab, Stefan W.
Graham, Nicholas
Graham, Rochelle
Grosjean, Martin
Hanhijärvi, Sami T.
Kaufman, Darrell S.
Kiefer, Thorsten
Kimura, Katsuhiko
Korhola, Atte A.
Krusic, Paul J.
Lara, Antonio
Lézine, Anne-Marie
Ljungqvist, Fredrik C.
Lorrey, Andrew M.
Luterbacher, Jürg
Masson-Delmotte, Valerie
McCarroll, Danny
McConnell, Joseph R.
McKay, Nicholas P.
Morales, Mariano S.
Moy, Andrew D.
Mulvaney, Robert
Mundo, Ignacio A.
Nakatsuka, Takeshi
Nash, David J.
Neukom, Raphael
Nicholson, Sharon E.
Oerter, Hans
Palmer, Jonathan G.
Phipps, Steven J.
Prieto, Maria R.
Rivera, Andres
Sano, Masaki
Severi, Mirko
Shanahan, Timothy M.
Shao, Xuemei
Shi, Feng
Sigl, Michael
Smerdon, Jason E.
Solomina, Olga N.
Steig, Eric J.
Stenni, Barbara
Thamban, Meloth
Trouet, Valerie
Turney, Chris S.M.
Umer, Mohammed
Van Ommen, Tas
Verschuren, Dirk
Viau, Andre E.
Villalba, Ricardo
Vinther, Bo M.
von Gunten, Lucien
Wagner, Sebastian
Wahl, Eugene R.
Wanner, Heinz
Werner, Johannes P.
White, James W.C.
Yasue, Koh
Zorita, Eduardo
author_sort PAGES-2k-Network
title Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia
title_short Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia
title_full Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia
title_fullStr Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia
title_full_unstemmed Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia
title_sort continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia
publisher NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
publishDate 2013
url https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/32886/
https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/32886/1/PAGES2k_NGEO_inpress.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.41650
https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.41650.d001
geographic Arctic
geographic_facet Arctic
genre Arctic
genre_facet Arctic
op_source EPIC3Nature Geoscience, NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP, 6(5), pp. 339-346, ISSN: 1752-0894
op_relation https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/32886/1/PAGES2k_NGEO_inpress.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.41650.d001
PAGES-2k-Network, Ahmed, M. , Anchukaitis, K. J. , Asrat, A. , Borgaonkar, H. , Braida, M. , Buckley, B. M. , Büntgen, U. , Chase, B. M. , Christie, D. A. , Cook, E. R. , Curran, M. A. J. , Diaz, H. F. , Esper, J. , Fan, Z. X. , Gaire, N. P. , Ge, Q. , Gergis, J. , González-Rouco, J. F. , Goosse, H. , Grab, S. W. , Graham, N. , Graham, R. , Grosjean, M. , Hanhijärvi, S. T. , Kaufman, D. S. , Kiefer, T. , Kimura, K. , Korhola, A. A. , Krusic, P. J. , Lara, A. , Lézine, A. M. , Ljungqvist, F. C. , Lorrey, A. M. , Luterbacher, J. , Masson-Delmotte, V. , McCarroll, D. , McConnell, J. R. , McKay, N. P. , Morales, M. S. , Moy, A. D. , Mulvaney, R. , Mundo, I. A. , Nakatsuka, T. , Nash, D. J. , Neukom, R. , Nicholson, S. E. , Oerter, H. , Palmer, J. G. , Phipps, S. J. , Prieto, M. R. , Rivera, A. , Sano, M. , Severi, M. , Shanahan, T. M. , Shao, X. , Shi, F. , Sigl, M. , Smerdon, J. E. , Solomina, O. N. , Steig, E. J. , Stenni, B. , Thamban, M. , Trouet, V. , Turney, C. S. , Umer, M. , Van Ommen, T. , Verschuren, D. , Viau, A. E. , Villalba, R. , Vinther, B. M. , von Gunten, L. , Wagner, S. , Wahl, E. R. , Wanner, H. , Werner, J. P. , White, J. W. , Yasue, K. and Zorita, E. (2013) Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia , Nature Geoscience, 6 (5), pp. 339-346 . doi:10.1038/ngeo1797 <https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1797> , hdl:10013/epic.41650
op_doi https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1797
container_title Nature Geoscience
container_volume 6
container_issue 5
container_start_page 339
op_container_end_page 346
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spelling ftawi:oai:epic.awi.de:32886 2024-09-09T19:25:15+00:00 Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia PAGES-2k-Network Ahmed, Moinuddin Anchukaitis, Kevin J. Asrat, Asfawossen Borgaonkar, Hemant Braida, Martina Buckley, Brendan M. Büntgen, Ulf Chase, Brian M. Christie, Duncan A. Cook, Edward R. Curran, Mark A. J. Diaz, Henry F. Esper, Jan Fan, Ze-Xin Gaire, Narayan P. Ge, Quansheng Gergis, Joëlle González-Rouco, J Fidel Goosse, Hueghes Grab, Stefan W. Graham, Nicholas Graham, Rochelle Grosjean, Martin Hanhijärvi, Sami T. Kaufman, Darrell S. Kiefer, Thorsten Kimura, Katsuhiko Korhola, Atte A. Krusic, Paul J. Lara, Antonio Lézine, Anne-Marie Ljungqvist, Fredrik C. Lorrey, Andrew M. Luterbacher, Jürg Masson-Delmotte, Valerie McCarroll, Danny McConnell, Joseph R. McKay, Nicholas P. Morales, Mariano S. Moy, Andrew D. Mulvaney, Robert Mundo, Ignacio A. Nakatsuka, Takeshi Nash, David J. Neukom, Raphael Nicholson, Sharon E. Oerter, Hans Palmer, Jonathan G. Phipps, Steven J. Prieto, Maria R. Rivera, Andres Sano, Masaki Severi, Mirko Shanahan, Timothy M. Shao, Xuemei Shi, Feng Sigl, Michael Smerdon, Jason E. Solomina, Olga N. Steig, Eric J. Stenni, Barbara Thamban, Meloth Trouet, Valerie Turney, Chris S.M. Umer, Mohammed Van Ommen, Tas Verschuren, Dirk Viau, Andre E. Villalba, Ricardo Vinther, Bo M. von Gunten, Lucien Wagner, Sebastian Wahl, Eugene R. Wanner, Heinz Werner, Johannes P. White, James W.C. Yasue, Koh Zorita, Eduardo 2013-05 application/pdf https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/32886/ https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/32886/1/PAGES2k_NGEO_inpress.pdf https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.41650 https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.41650.d001 unknown NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/32886/1/PAGES2k_NGEO_inpress.pdf https://hdl.handle.net/10013/epic.41650.d001 PAGES-2k-Network, Ahmed, M. , Anchukaitis, K. J. , Asrat, A. , Borgaonkar, H. , Braida, M. , Buckley, B. M. , Büntgen, U. , Chase, B. M. , Christie, D. A. , Cook, E. R. , Curran, M. A. J. , Diaz, H. F. , Esper, J. , Fan, Z. X. , Gaire, N. P. , Ge, Q. , Gergis, J. , González-Rouco, J. F. , Goosse, H. , Grab, S. W. , Graham, N. , Graham, R. , Grosjean, M. , Hanhijärvi, S. T. , Kaufman, D. S. , Kiefer, T. , Kimura, K. , Korhola, A. A. , Krusic, P. J. , Lara, A. , Lézine, A. M. , Ljungqvist, F. C. , Lorrey, A. M. , Luterbacher, J. , Masson-Delmotte, V. , McCarroll, D. , McConnell, J. R. , McKay, N. P. , Morales, M. S. , Moy, A. D. , Mulvaney, R. , Mundo, I. A. , Nakatsuka, T. , Nash, D. J. , Neukom, R. , Nicholson, S. E. , Oerter, H. , Palmer, J. G. , Phipps, S. J. , Prieto, M. R. , Rivera, A. , Sano, M. , Severi, M. , Shanahan, T. M. , Shao, X. , Shi, F. , Sigl, M. , Smerdon, J. E. , Solomina, O. N. , Steig, E. J. , Stenni, B. , Thamban, M. , Trouet, V. , Turney, C. S. , Umer, M. , Van Ommen, T. , Verschuren, D. , Viau, A. E. , Villalba, R. , Vinther, B. M. , von Gunten, L. , Wagner, S. , Wahl, E. R. , Wanner, H. , Werner, J. P. , White, J. W. , Yasue, K. and Zorita, E. (2013) Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia , Nature Geoscience, 6 (5), pp. 339-346 . doi:10.1038/ngeo1797 <https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1797> , hdl:10013/epic.41650 EPIC3Nature Geoscience, NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP, 6(5), pp. 339-346, ISSN: 1752-0894 Article isiRev 2013 ftawi https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1797 2024-06-24T04:07:26Z Past global climate changes had strong regional expression. To elucidate their spatio-temporal pattern, we reconstructed past temperatures for seven continental-scale regions during the past one to two millennia. The most coherent feature in nearly all of the regional temperature reconstructions is a long-term cooling trend, which ended late in the nineteenth century. At multi-decadal to centennial scales, temperature variability shows distinctly different regional patterns, with more similarity within each hemisphere than between them. There were no globally synchronous multi-decadal warm or cold intervals that define a worldwide Medieval Warm Period or Little Ice Age, but all reconstructions show generally cold conditions between ad 1580 and 1880, punctuated in some regions by warm decades during the eighteenth century. The transition to these colder conditions occurred earlier in the Arctic, Europe and Asia than in North America or the Southern Hemisphere regions. Recent warming reversed the long-term cooling; during the period ad 1971–2000, the area-weighted average reconstructed temperature was higher than any other time in nearly 1,400 years. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar- and Marine Research (AWI): ePIC (electronic Publication Information Center) Arctic Nature Geoscience 6 5 339 346