Simulating last interglacial climate with NorESM: role of insolation and greenhouse gases in the timing of peak warmth

The last interglacial (LIG, similar to 130-116 ka, ka = 1000 yr ago) is characterized by high-latitude warming and is therefore often considered as a possible analogue for future warming. However, in contrast to predicted future greenhouse warming, the LIG climate is largely governed by variations i...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Published in:Climate of the Past
Main Authors: Langebroek, P. M., Nisancioglu, K. H.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/36961.pdf
https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/81217.pdf
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1305-2014
https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/
id ftarchimer:oai:archimer.ifremer.fr:38483
record_format openpolar
spelling ftarchimer:oai:archimer.ifremer.fr:38483 2023-05-15T13:50:50+02:00 Simulating last interglacial climate with NorESM: role of insolation and greenhouse gases in the timing of peak warmth Langebroek, P. M. Nisancioglu, K. H. 2014-07-10 application/pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/36961.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/81217.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1305-2014 https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/ eng eng Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/243908/EU//PAST4FUTURE https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/36961.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/81217.pdf doi:10.5194/cp-10-1305-2014 https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/ Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess restricted use CC-BY Climate Of The Past (1814-9324) (Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh), 2014-07-10 , Vol. 10 , N. 4 , P. 1305-1318 text Publication info:eu-repo/semantics/article 2014 ftarchimer https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1305-2014 2021-09-23T20:26:29Z The last interglacial (LIG, similar to 130-116 ka, ka = 1000 yr ago) is characterized by high-latitude warming and is therefore often considered as a possible analogue for future warming. However, in contrast to predicted future greenhouse warming, the LIG climate is largely governed by variations in insolation. Greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations were relatively stable and similar to pre-industrial values, with the exception of the early LIG when, on average, GHGs were slightly lower. We performed six time-slice simulations with the low-resolution version of the Norwegian Earth System Model covering the LIG. In four simulations only the orbital forcing was changed. In two other simulations, representing the early LIG, additionally the GHG forcing was reduced. With these simulations we investigate (1) the different effects of GHG versus insolation forcing on the temperatures during the LIG; (2) whether reduced GHGs can explain the low temperatures reconstructed for the North Atlantic; and (3) the timing of the observed LIG peak warmth. Our simulations show that the insolation forcing results in seasonal and hemispheric differences in temperature. In contrast, a reduction in the GHG forcing causes a global and seasonal-independent cooling. Furthermore, we compare modelled temperatures with proxy-based LIG sea-surface temperatures along a transect in the North Atlantic. The modelled North Atlantic summer sea-surface temperatures capture the general trend of the reconstructed summer temperatures, with low values in the early LIG, a peak around 125 ka, and a steady decrease towards the end of the LIG. Simulations with reduced GHG forcing improve the model-data fit as they show lower temperatures in the early LIG. Furthermore we show that the timing of maximum summer and winter surface temperatures is in line with the local summer and winter insolation maximum at most latitudes. Two regions where the maximum local insolation and temperature do not occur at the same time are Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. The austral summer insolation has a late maximum at similar to 115 ka. In contrast the austral summer temperatures in Antarctica show maxima at both similar to 130 ka and similar to 115 ka, and the Southern Ocean temperatures peak only at similar to 130 ka. This is probably due to the integrating effect of the ocean, storing heat from other seasons and resulting in relatively warm austral summer temperatures. Reducing the GHG concentrations in the early LIG (125 and 130 ka) results in a similar timing of peak warmth, except over Antarctica. There, the lower austral summer temperatures at 130 ka shift the maximum warmth to a single peak at 115 ka. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctica North Atlantic Southern Ocean Archimer (Archive Institutionnelle de l'Ifremer - Institut français de recherche pour l'exploitation de la mer) Southern Ocean Austral Climate of the Past 10 4 1305 1318
institution Open Polar
collection Archimer (Archive Institutionnelle de l'Ifremer - Institut français de recherche pour l'exploitation de la mer)
op_collection_id ftarchimer
language English
description The last interglacial (LIG, similar to 130-116 ka, ka = 1000 yr ago) is characterized by high-latitude warming and is therefore often considered as a possible analogue for future warming. However, in contrast to predicted future greenhouse warming, the LIG climate is largely governed by variations in insolation. Greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations were relatively stable and similar to pre-industrial values, with the exception of the early LIG when, on average, GHGs were slightly lower. We performed six time-slice simulations with the low-resolution version of the Norwegian Earth System Model covering the LIG. In four simulations only the orbital forcing was changed. In two other simulations, representing the early LIG, additionally the GHG forcing was reduced. With these simulations we investigate (1) the different effects of GHG versus insolation forcing on the temperatures during the LIG; (2) whether reduced GHGs can explain the low temperatures reconstructed for the North Atlantic; and (3) the timing of the observed LIG peak warmth. Our simulations show that the insolation forcing results in seasonal and hemispheric differences in temperature. In contrast, a reduction in the GHG forcing causes a global and seasonal-independent cooling. Furthermore, we compare modelled temperatures with proxy-based LIG sea-surface temperatures along a transect in the North Atlantic. The modelled North Atlantic summer sea-surface temperatures capture the general trend of the reconstructed summer temperatures, with low values in the early LIG, a peak around 125 ka, and a steady decrease towards the end of the LIG. Simulations with reduced GHG forcing improve the model-data fit as they show lower temperatures in the early LIG. Furthermore we show that the timing of maximum summer and winter surface temperatures is in line with the local summer and winter insolation maximum at most latitudes. Two regions where the maximum local insolation and temperature do not occur at the same time are Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. The austral summer insolation has a late maximum at similar to 115 ka. In contrast the austral summer temperatures in Antarctica show maxima at both similar to 130 ka and similar to 115 ka, and the Southern Ocean temperatures peak only at similar to 130 ka. This is probably due to the integrating effect of the ocean, storing heat from other seasons and resulting in relatively warm austral summer temperatures. Reducing the GHG concentrations in the early LIG (125 and 130 ka) results in a similar timing of peak warmth, except over Antarctica. There, the lower austral summer temperatures at 130 ka shift the maximum warmth to a single peak at 115 ka.
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
author Langebroek, P. M.
Nisancioglu, K. H.
spellingShingle Langebroek, P. M.
Nisancioglu, K. H.
Simulating last interglacial climate with NorESM: role of insolation and greenhouse gases in the timing of peak warmth
author_facet Langebroek, P. M.
Nisancioglu, K. H.
author_sort Langebroek, P. M.
title Simulating last interglacial climate with NorESM: role of insolation and greenhouse gases in the timing of peak warmth
title_short Simulating last interglacial climate with NorESM: role of insolation and greenhouse gases in the timing of peak warmth
title_full Simulating last interglacial climate with NorESM: role of insolation and greenhouse gases in the timing of peak warmth
title_fullStr Simulating last interglacial climate with NorESM: role of insolation and greenhouse gases in the timing of peak warmth
title_full_unstemmed Simulating last interglacial climate with NorESM: role of insolation and greenhouse gases in the timing of peak warmth
title_sort simulating last interglacial climate with noresm: role of insolation and greenhouse gases in the timing of peak warmth
publisher Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh
publishDate 2014
url https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/36961.pdf
https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/81217.pdf
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1305-2014
https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/
geographic Southern Ocean
Austral
geographic_facet Southern Ocean
Austral
genre Antarc*
Antarctica
North Atlantic
Southern Ocean
genre_facet Antarc*
Antarctica
North Atlantic
Southern Ocean
op_source Climate Of The Past (1814-9324) (Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh), 2014-07-10 , Vol. 10 , N. 4 , P. 1305-1318
op_relation info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/243908/EU//PAST4FUTURE
https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/36961.pdf
https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/81217.pdf
doi:10.5194/cp-10-1305-2014
https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38483/
op_rights Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
restricted use
op_rightsnorm CC-BY
op_doi https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-1305-2014
container_title Climate of the Past
container_volume 10
container_issue 4
container_start_page 1305
op_container_end_page 1318
_version_ 1766254141505536000