Habitability of low-lying socio-ecological systems under a changing climate
International audience Climate change will push the planet worryingly close to its boundaries, across all latitudes and levels of development. One question therefore is the extent to which climate change does (and will) severely affect societies’ livelihoods, health, well-being, and cultures. This p...
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Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-04682839 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03675-1 |
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ftanrparis:oai:HAL:hal-04682839v1 2024-09-15T18:02:13+00:00 Habitability of low-lying socio-ecological systems under a changing climate Spencer, Tom Magnan, Alexandre Donner, Simon Garschagen, Matthias Ford, James Duvat, Virginie Wabnitz, Colette LIttoral ENvironnement et Sociétés (LIENSs) La Rochelle Université (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Prince Albert II of Monaco Foundation International Atomic Energy Agency ANR-15-CE03-0003,STORISK,Les petites îles face au changement climatique: vers des trajectoires de risque et d'adaptation(2015) 2024-01-04 https://hal.science/hal-04682839 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03675-1 en eng HAL CCSD Springer Verlag info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s10584-023-03675-1 hal-04682839 https://hal.science/hal-04682839 doi:10.1007/s10584-023-03675-1 ISSN: 0165-0009 EISSN: 1573-1480 Climatic Change https://hal.science/hal-04682839 Climatic Change, 2024, 177 (1), pp.14. ⟨10.1007/s10584-023-03675-1⟩ Severe climate risks Coastal adaptation Social-ecological systems Settlement archetypes (arctic atoll cities) [SDE]Environmental Sciences [SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2024 ftanrparis https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03675-1 2024-09-05T00:06:57Z International audience Climate change will push the planet worryingly close to its boundaries, across all latitudes and levels of development. One question therefore is the extent to which climate change does (and will) severely affect societies’ livelihoods, health, well-being, and cultures. This paper discusses the “severe climate risks” concept developed under Working Group II’s contribution to the Fifth and Sixth Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, AR5, and AR6). Focusing on low-lying coastal socio-ecological systems (LCS) and acknowledging that attempts to define “severe” climate risk have been problematic at the level of global syntheses, we argue for a more place- and people-based framing relating to “habitability under a changing climate.” We summarize habitability in terms of five habitability pillars: land, freshwater, food, settlement and infrastructure, and economic and subsistence activities; we acknowledge social and cultural factors (including perceptions, values, governance arrangements, human agency, power structures) as critical underlying factors rather than as separate pillars. We further develop the habitability framing and examine climate risk to future human health and habitability for three climate “hotspot” archetypes (arctic coasts, atoll islands, densely populated urban areas). Building on the IPCC AR6 framing of severe climate risks, we discuss three key parameters describing severe climate risks in LCS: the point of irreversibility of changes, physical and socio-ecological thresholds , and cascading effects across various habitability dimensions. We also highlight the variability of severe risk conditions both between coastal archetypes and within each of them. Further work should consist of refining the case study framing to find the right balance between capturing context-specificities through real-world local case studies and commonalities derived from more generic archetypes. In addition, there is a need to identify appropriate methods to ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Climate change Human health Portail HAL-ANR (Agence Nationale de la Recherche) Climatic Change 177 1 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Portail HAL-ANR (Agence Nationale de la Recherche) |
op_collection_id |
ftanrparis |
language |
English |
topic |
Severe climate risks Coastal adaptation Social-ecological systems Settlement archetypes (arctic atoll cities) [SDE]Environmental Sciences [SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences |
spellingShingle |
Severe climate risks Coastal adaptation Social-ecological systems Settlement archetypes (arctic atoll cities) [SDE]Environmental Sciences [SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences Spencer, Tom Magnan, Alexandre Donner, Simon Garschagen, Matthias Ford, James Duvat, Virginie Wabnitz, Colette Habitability of low-lying socio-ecological systems under a changing climate |
topic_facet |
Severe climate risks Coastal adaptation Social-ecological systems Settlement archetypes (arctic atoll cities) [SDE]Environmental Sciences [SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences |
description |
International audience Climate change will push the planet worryingly close to its boundaries, across all latitudes and levels of development. One question therefore is the extent to which climate change does (and will) severely affect societies’ livelihoods, health, well-being, and cultures. This paper discusses the “severe climate risks” concept developed under Working Group II’s contribution to the Fifth and Sixth Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, AR5, and AR6). Focusing on low-lying coastal socio-ecological systems (LCS) and acknowledging that attempts to define “severe” climate risk have been problematic at the level of global syntheses, we argue for a more place- and people-based framing relating to “habitability under a changing climate.” We summarize habitability in terms of five habitability pillars: land, freshwater, food, settlement and infrastructure, and economic and subsistence activities; we acknowledge social and cultural factors (including perceptions, values, governance arrangements, human agency, power structures) as critical underlying factors rather than as separate pillars. We further develop the habitability framing and examine climate risk to future human health and habitability for three climate “hotspot” archetypes (arctic coasts, atoll islands, densely populated urban areas). Building on the IPCC AR6 framing of severe climate risks, we discuss three key parameters describing severe climate risks in LCS: the point of irreversibility of changes, physical and socio-ecological thresholds , and cascading effects across various habitability dimensions. We also highlight the variability of severe risk conditions both between coastal archetypes and within each of them. Further work should consist of refining the case study framing to find the right balance between capturing context-specificities through real-world local case studies and commonalities derived from more generic archetypes. In addition, there is a need to identify appropriate methods to ... |
author2 |
LIttoral ENvironnement et Sociétés (LIENSs) La Rochelle Université (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Prince Albert II of Monaco Foundation International Atomic Energy Agency ANR-15-CE03-0003,STORISK,Les petites îles face au changement climatique: vers des trajectoires de risque et d'adaptation(2015) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Spencer, Tom Magnan, Alexandre Donner, Simon Garschagen, Matthias Ford, James Duvat, Virginie Wabnitz, Colette |
author_facet |
Spencer, Tom Magnan, Alexandre Donner, Simon Garschagen, Matthias Ford, James Duvat, Virginie Wabnitz, Colette |
author_sort |
Spencer, Tom |
title |
Habitability of low-lying socio-ecological systems under a changing climate |
title_short |
Habitability of low-lying socio-ecological systems under a changing climate |
title_full |
Habitability of low-lying socio-ecological systems under a changing climate |
title_fullStr |
Habitability of low-lying socio-ecological systems under a changing climate |
title_full_unstemmed |
Habitability of low-lying socio-ecological systems under a changing climate |
title_sort |
habitability of low-lying socio-ecological systems under a changing climate |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2024 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-04682839 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03675-1 |
genre |
Climate change Human health |
genre_facet |
Climate change Human health |
op_source |
ISSN: 0165-0009 EISSN: 1573-1480 Climatic Change https://hal.science/hal-04682839 Climatic Change, 2024, 177 (1), pp.14. ⟨10.1007/s10584-023-03675-1⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s10584-023-03675-1 hal-04682839 https://hal.science/hal-04682839 doi:10.1007/s10584-023-03675-1 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03675-1 |
container_title |
Climatic Change |
container_volume |
177 |
container_issue |
1 |
_version_ |
1810439663343632384 |