Revisiting the Phillips Curve and the Lucas Critique
Many OECD countries are facing problems of high government debt and high unemployment. Consequently, a monetary stimulus is being increasingly viewed as a solution to curb the rising debt burden and stimulate economic growth. Some OECD countries are setting inflation target at 2% or even higher. In...
Published in: | Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies |
---|---|
Main Author: | |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
AMH International
2013
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs/article/view/397 https://doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v5i4.397 |
id |
ftamhintojs:oai:ojs2.ojs.amhinternational.com:article/397 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftamhintojs:oai:ojs2.ojs.amhinternational.com:article/397 2024-09-30T14:37:19+00:00 Revisiting the Phillips Curve and the Lucas Critique Hossain, Md. Sharif 2013-04-30 application/pdf https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs/article/view/397 https://doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v5i4.397 eng eng AMH International https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs/article/view/397/397 10.22610/jebs.v5i4.397.g397 https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs/article/view/397 doi:10.22610/jebs.v5i4.397 Copyright (c) 2013 Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies; Vol 5 No 4 (2013); pp. 221-225 2220-6140 10.22610/jebs.v5i4 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2013 ftamhintojs https://doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v5i4.39710.22610/jebs.v5i4 2024-09-04T03:07:56Z Many OECD countries are facing problems of high government debt and high unemployment. Consequently, a monetary stimulus is being increasingly viewed as a solution to curb the rising debt burden and stimulate economic growth. Some OECD countries are setting inflation target at 2% or even higher. In this paper we investigate the likely impact of inflation on unemployment for a panel of 10 highincome OECD countries, namely, Australia, Denmark, Iceland, Japan, Korea, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland and the United States. The period of study is 1970-2012. Results indicate a significantly positive long-run impact of inflation on unemployment. Granger causality indicates long-run bi-directional causality between inflation and unemployment. For the 10 OECD countries and the period of this study, the empirical findings support the Lucas critique: inflation and unemployment are positively correlated. A monetary stimulus, therefore, will most likely aggravate the unemployment scenario in the 10 OCED countries under study. Article in Journal/Newspaper Iceland AMH International Norway New Zealand Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies 5 4 221 225 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
AMH International |
op_collection_id |
ftamhintojs |
language |
English |
description |
Many OECD countries are facing problems of high government debt and high unemployment. Consequently, a monetary stimulus is being increasingly viewed as a solution to curb the rising debt burden and stimulate economic growth. Some OECD countries are setting inflation target at 2% or even higher. In this paper we investigate the likely impact of inflation on unemployment for a panel of 10 highincome OECD countries, namely, Australia, Denmark, Iceland, Japan, Korea, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland and the United States. The period of study is 1970-2012. Results indicate a significantly positive long-run impact of inflation on unemployment. Granger causality indicates long-run bi-directional causality between inflation and unemployment. For the 10 OECD countries and the period of this study, the empirical findings support the Lucas critique: inflation and unemployment are positively correlated. A monetary stimulus, therefore, will most likely aggravate the unemployment scenario in the 10 OCED countries under study. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hossain, Md. Sharif |
spellingShingle |
Hossain, Md. Sharif Revisiting the Phillips Curve and the Lucas Critique |
author_facet |
Hossain, Md. Sharif |
author_sort |
Hossain, Md. Sharif |
title |
Revisiting the Phillips Curve and the Lucas Critique |
title_short |
Revisiting the Phillips Curve and the Lucas Critique |
title_full |
Revisiting the Phillips Curve and the Lucas Critique |
title_fullStr |
Revisiting the Phillips Curve and the Lucas Critique |
title_full_unstemmed |
Revisiting the Phillips Curve and the Lucas Critique |
title_sort |
revisiting the phillips curve and the lucas critique |
publisher |
AMH International |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs/article/view/397 https://doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v5i4.397 |
geographic |
Norway New Zealand |
geographic_facet |
Norway New Zealand |
genre |
Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
op_source |
Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies; Vol 5 No 4 (2013); pp. 221-225 2220-6140 10.22610/jebs.v5i4 |
op_relation |
https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs/article/view/397/397 10.22610/jebs.v5i4.397.g397 https://ojs.amhinternational.com/index.php/jebs/article/view/397 doi:10.22610/jebs.v5i4.397 |
op_rights |
Copyright (c) 2013 Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v5i4.39710.22610/jebs.v5i4 |
container_title |
Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies |
container_volume |
5 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
221 |
op_container_end_page |
225 |
_version_ |
1811640188503326720 |