Risk Informed Structural Systems Integrity Management:A Decision Analytical Perspective

• Published in: Volume 9: Offshore Geotechnics; Torgeir Moan Honoring Symposium
• Main Author: Nielsen, Michael Havbro Faber
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: American Society of Mechanical Engineers 2017
• Subjects: Risk; Structural systems; Arctic
• Online Access: https://vbn.aau.dk/da/publications/a8e5e125-cabd-4014-8d36-ae592dbe496e; https://doi.org/10.1115/OMAE2017-62715

The present paper is predominantly a conceptual contribution with an appraisal of major developments in risk informed structural integrity management for offshore installations together with a discussion of their merits and the challenges which still lie ahead. Starting point is taken in a selected overview of research and development contributions which have formed the basis for Risk Based Inspection Planning (RBI) as we know it today. Thereafter an outline of the methodical basis for risk informed structural systems integrity management, i.e. the Bayesian decision analysis is provided in summary. The main focus is here directed on RBI for offshore facilities subject to fatigue damages. New ideas and methodical frameworks in the area of robustness and resilience modeling of structural systems are then introduced, and it is outlined how these may adequately be utilized to enhance Structural Integrity Management (SIM). Finally, the concept of Value of Information analysis (VoI) from the Bayesian pre-posterior decision analysis is proposed, as an overarching methodical platform for the planning and optimization of structural Health Monitoring (SHM) activities in the context of SIM at both operational and strategic levels. Copyright © 2017 by ASME