Future fire projections for 2010-2099, Alaska

• Main Author: Adam M. Young
• Format: Dataset
• Language: unknown
• Published: Arctic Data Center 2015
• Subjects: EARTH SCIENCE > BIOSPHERE > ECOLOGICAL DYNAMICS > FIRE ECOLOGY > FIRE MODELS; EARTH SCIENCE > AGRICULTURE > FOREST SCIENCE > FOREST FIRE SCIENCE; EARTH SCIENCE > BIOSPHERE > ECOLOGICAL DYNAMICS > FIRE ECOLOGY > FIRE OCCURRENCE; EARTH SCIENCE > BIOSPHERE > TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS > ALPINE/TUNDRA; OTHER; GRID; 1 KILOMETER TO 10 KILOMETERS; DECADAL; biota; climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere; geoscientificInformation; Tundra; Alaska
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.18739/A2XP6V31W

These data provide the projections of future fire activity presented in Young et al. (2017). This nested dataset is comprised of 5 zip files, each containing 300 GeoTiff Files that provide the pixel-level, spatial projections for the 30-yr probability of fire occurrence in Alaska. The naming conventions for the zip files and the GeoTiff Files is as follows: Zip files Example: "CCSM4.zip" “CCSM4” = Global Climate Model (GCM). Five options are CCSM4, GFDL-CM3, GISS-E2-R, IPSL-CM5A-LR, and MRI-CGCM3. GeoTIFF File naming convention: Example: "CCSM4_pred_map_2010_2039_1.tif" “CCSM4” = Global Climate Model (GCM). Five options are CCSM4, GFDL-CM3, GISS-E2-R, IPSL-CM5A-LR, and MRI-CGCM3 “pred_map” = Designates that the GeoTIFF file provides a prediction (or projection) map of the 30-yr probability of fire occurrence. "AnnDEF" = Climate variable. AnnDEF = Mean total P-PET (mm); TempWarm = Mean temperature of the warmest month (°C). “2040_2069” = Beginning (e.g., 2040) and ending (e.g., 2069) years for 30-yr climatology. “1” = Specific GBM (or BRT) model used to make the projection. This values ranges from “1” to “100.” See Young et al. (2017) for further details. Citations: Young, A.M., P. E. Higuera, P. A. Duffy, and F. S. Hu. 2017. Climatic thresholds shape northern high-latitude fire regimes and imply vulnerability to future climate change. Ecography 40:606-617. doi: 10.1111/ecog.02205.