Rethinking Ecosystems Disturbance Recovery: what it was or what it could have been?
The time it takes for an ecosystem to recover is a key aspect of environmental disturbance. Conventionally, recovery is defined as a return to the pre-disturbance state, assuming ecosystem stationarity. However, this view does not account for the impact of external forces like climate change. We pro...
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2024
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.22541/au.171379323.31160696/v1 |
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crwinnower:10.22541/au.171379323.31160696/v1 2024-06-02T08:02:07+00:00 Rethinking Ecosystems Disturbance Recovery: what it was or what it could have been? Dashti, Hamid Chen, Min Smith, Bill Zhao, Kaiguang Moore, David 2024 http://dx.doi.org/10.22541/au.171379323.31160696/v1 unknown Authorea, Inc. posted-content 2024 crwinnower https://doi.org/10.22541/au.171379323.31160696/v1 2024-05-07T14:19:24Z The time it takes for an ecosystem to recover is a key aspect of environmental disturbance. Conventionally, recovery is defined as a return to the pre-disturbance state, assuming ecosystem stationarity. However, this view does not account for the impact of external forces like climate change. We propose a counterfactual approach, viewing recovery as the state the ecosystem would achieve without the disturbance. This redefines recovery time as the period until the ecosystem reaches its counterfactual state. Through a case study on the greening of the Arctic and Boreal regions, we present evidence demonstrating significant disparities between counterfactual and conventional recovery time estimates. The well-documented greening of the region serves as an external force, introducing non-stationary dynamics that result in a counterfactual recovery time twice as long as the conventional view. We advocate for embracing the counterfactual definition of recovery, as it aligns more realistically with informed decision-making. Other/Unknown Material Arctic Climate change The Winnower Arctic |
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description |
The time it takes for an ecosystem to recover is a key aspect of environmental disturbance. Conventionally, recovery is defined as a return to the pre-disturbance state, assuming ecosystem stationarity. However, this view does not account for the impact of external forces like climate change. We propose a counterfactual approach, viewing recovery as the state the ecosystem would achieve without the disturbance. This redefines recovery time as the period until the ecosystem reaches its counterfactual state. Through a case study on the greening of the Arctic and Boreal regions, we present evidence demonstrating significant disparities between counterfactual and conventional recovery time estimates. The well-documented greening of the region serves as an external force, introducing non-stationary dynamics that result in a counterfactual recovery time twice as long as the conventional view. We advocate for embracing the counterfactual definition of recovery, as it aligns more realistically with informed decision-making. |
format |
Other/Unknown Material |
author |
Dashti, Hamid Chen, Min Smith, Bill Zhao, Kaiguang Moore, David |
spellingShingle |
Dashti, Hamid Chen, Min Smith, Bill Zhao, Kaiguang Moore, David Rethinking Ecosystems Disturbance Recovery: what it was or what it could have been? |
author_facet |
Dashti, Hamid Chen, Min Smith, Bill Zhao, Kaiguang Moore, David |
author_sort |
Dashti, Hamid |
title |
Rethinking Ecosystems Disturbance Recovery: what it was or what it could have been? |
title_short |
Rethinking Ecosystems Disturbance Recovery: what it was or what it could have been? |
title_full |
Rethinking Ecosystems Disturbance Recovery: what it was or what it could have been? |
title_fullStr |
Rethinking Ecosystems Disturbance Recovery: what it was or what it could have been? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Rethinking Ecosystems Disturbance Recovery: what it was or what it could have been? |
title_sort |
rethinking ecosystems disturbance recovery: what it was or what it could have been? |
publisher |
Authorea, Inc. |
publishDate |
2024 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.22541/au.171379323.31160696/v1 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Climate change |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.22541/au.171379323.31160696/v1 |
_version_ |
1800746622746886144 |