Trends and variability in polar sea ice, global atmospheric circulations, and baroclinicity
Abstract We analyze the polar sea ice distribution and the global sea level pressure (SLP) and baroclinicity distributions over the “satellite” period of 1979–2020. In the Arctic, there are statistically significant sea ice extent (SIE) decreases in all calendar months, and the annual mean has lost...
Published in: | Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences |
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://nyaspubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/am-pdf/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://nyaspubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/nyas.14673 |
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crwiley:10.1111/nyas.14673 2024-10-13T14:02:05+00:00 Trends and variability in polar sea ice, global atmospheric circulations, and baroclinicity Simmonds, Ian Li, Muyuan Australian Research Council National Natural Science Foundation of China 2021 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://nyaspubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/am-pdf/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://nyaspubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/nyas.14673 en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#am http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences volume 1504, issue 1, page 167-186 ISSN 0077-8923 1749-6632 journal-article 2021 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14673 2024-09-19T04:20:12Z Abstract We analyze the polar sea ice distribution and the global sea level pressure (SLP) and baroclinicity distributions over the “satellite” period of 1979–2020. In the Arctic, there are statistically significant sea ice extent (SIE) decreases in all calendar months, and the annual mean has lost 2.22 million km 2 over the four decades. The Antarctic SIE, in marked contrast, increased up to 2014, then commenced a remarkable retreat (the annual mean ice extent decreased by 2.03 million km 2 in the 3 years to 2017), and subsequently increased to near its long‐term average value in 2020. The shifts in seasonal‐mean SLP patterns are consistent with a warming planet. At the synoptic scale, we diagnose the changes in the baroclinicity, the mechanism by which cyclones, fronts, and other weather systems are generated. Through a novel presentation, we give an overview of the relative roles of changes in the vertical shear and static stability in influencing the global trends in baroclinicity. In both the Arctic and Antarctic regions, baroclinicity is shown to have increased in each season (with the sole exception of the Arctic in summer). This increase, coupled with midlatitude decreases in baroclinicity, results in poleward shifts of the storm tracks. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Arctic Sea ice Wiley Online Library Antarctic Arctic The Antarctic Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences |
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Open Polar |
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Wiley Online Library |
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crwiley |
language |
English |
description |
Abstract We analyze the polar sea ice distribution and the global sea level pressure (SLP) and baroclinicity distributions over the “satellite” period of 1979–2020. In the Arctic, there are statistically significant sea ice extent (SIE) decreases in all calendar months, and the annual mean has lost 2.22 million km 2 over the four decades. The Antarctic SIE, in marked contrast, increased up to 2014, then commenced a remarkable retreat (the annual mean ice extent decreased by 2.03 million km 2 in the 3 years to 2017), and subsequently increased to near its long‐term average value in 2020. The shifts in seasonal‐mean SLP patterns are consistent with a warming planet. At the synoptic scale, we diagnose the changes in the baroclinicity, the mechanism by which cyclones, fronts, and other weather systems are generated. Through a novel presentation, we give an overview of the relative roles of changes in the vertical shear and static stability in influencing the global trends in baroclinicity. In both the Arctic and Antarctic regions, baroclinicity is shown to have increased in each season (with the sole exception of the Arctic in summer). This increase, coupled with midlatitude decreases in baroclinicity, results in poleward shifts of the storm tracks. |
author2 |
Australian Research Council National Natural Science Foundation of China |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Simmonds, Ian Li, Muyuan |
spellingShingle |
Simmonds, Ian Li, Muyuan Trends and variability in polar sea ice, global atmospheric circulations, and baroclinicity |
author_facet |
Simmonds, Ian Li, Muyuan |
author_sort |
Simmonds, Ian |
title |
Trends and variability in polar sea ice, global atmospheric circulations, and baroclinicity |
title_short |
Trends and variability in polar sea ice, global atmospheric circulations, and baroclinicity |
title_full |
Trends and variability in polar sea ice, global atmospheric circulations, and baroclinicity |
title_fullStr |
Trends and variability in polar sea ice, global atmospheric circulations, and baroclinicity |
title_full_unstemmed |
Trends and variability in polar sea ice, global atmospheric circulations, and baroclinicity |
title_sort |
trends and variability in polar sea ice, global atmospheric circulations, and baroclinicity |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://nyaspubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/am-pdf/10.1111/nyas.14673 https://nyaspubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/nyas.14673 |
geographic |
Antarctic Arctic The Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic Arctic The Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Arctic Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Arctic Sea ice |
op_source |
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences volume 1504, issue 1, page 167-186 ISSN 0077-8923 1749-6632 |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#am http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14673 |
container_title |
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences |
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1812814767371321344 |