MULTISPECIES MODELING FOR ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF HORSESHOE CRABS AND RED KNOTS IN THE DELAWARE BAY
Abstract Adaptive management requires that predictive models be explicit and transparent to improve decisions by comparing management actions, directing further research and monitoring, and facilitating learning. The rufa subspecies of red knots ( Calidris canutus rufa ), which has recently exhibite...
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crwiley:10.1111/j.1939-7445.2010.00085.x 2024-05-19T07:38:36+00:00 MULTISPECIES MODELING FOR ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF HORSESHOE CRABS AND RED KNOTS IN THE DELAWARE BAY McGOWAN, CONOR P. SMITH, DAVID R. SWEKA, JOHN A MARTIN, JULIEN NICHOLS, JAMES D WONG, RICHARD LYONS, JAMES E NILES, LAWRENCE J KALASZ, KEVIN BRUST, JEFFREY KLOPFER, MICHELLE SPEAR, BRADDOCK 2011 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1939-7445.2010.00085.x https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fj.1939-7445.2010.00085.x https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1939-7445.2010.00085.x en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor Natural Resource Modeling volume 24, issue 1, page 117-156 ISSN 0890-8575 1939-7445 Environmental Science (miscellaneous) Modeling and Simulation journal-article 2011 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1939-7445.2010.00085.x 2024-04-22T07:31:37Z Abstract Adaptive management requires that predictive models be explicit and transparent to improve decisions by comparing management actions, directing further research and monitoring, and facilitating learning. The rufa subspecies of red knots ( Calidris canutus rufa ), which has recently exhibited steep population declines, relies on horseshoe crab ( Limulus polyphemus ) eggs as their primary food source during stopover in Delaware Bay during spring migration. We present a model with two different parameterizations for use in the adaptive management of horseshoe crab harvests in the Delaware Bay that links red knot mass gain, annual survival, and fecundity to horseshoe crab dynamics. The models reflect prevailing hypotheses regarding ecological links between these two species. When reported crab harvest from 1998 to 2008 was applied, projections corresponded to the observed red knot population abundances depending on strengths of the demographic relationship between these species. We compared different simulated horseshoe crab harvest strategies to evaluate whether, given this model, horseshoe crab harvest management can affect red knot conservation and found that restricting harvest can benefit red knot populations. Our model is the first to explicitly and quantitatively link these two species and will be used within an adaptive management framework to manage the Delaware Bay system and learn more about the specific nature of the linkage between the two species. Article in Journal/Newspaper Calidris canutus Red Knot Wiley Online Library Natural Resource Modeling 24 1 117 156 |
institution |
Open Polar |
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Wiley Online Library |
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crwiley |
language |
English |
topic |
Environmental Science (miscellaneous) Modeling and Simulation |
spellingShingle |
Environmental Science (miscellaneous) Modeling and Simulation McGOWAN, CONOR P. SMITH, DAVID R. SWEKA, JOHN A MARTIN, JULIEN NICHOLS, JAMES D WONG, RICHARD LYONS, JAMES E NILES, LAWRENCE J KALASZ, KEVIN BRUST, JEFFREY KLOPFER, MICHELLE SPEAR, BRADDOCK MULTISPECIES MODELING FOR ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF HORSESHOE CRABS AND RED KNOTS IN THE DELAWARE BAY |
topic_facet |
Environmental Science (miscellaneous) Modeling and Simulation |
description |
Abstract Adaptive management requires that predictive models be explicit and transparent to improve decisions by comparing management actions, directing further research and monitoring, and facilitating learning. The rufa subspecies of red knots ( Calidris canutus rufa ), which has recently exhibited steep population declines, relies on horseshoe crab ( Limulus polyphemus ) eggs as their primary food source during stopover in Delaware Bay during spring migration. We present a model with two different parameterizations for use in the adaptive management of horseshoe crab harvests in the Delaware Bay that links red knot mass gain, annual survival, and fecundity to horseshoe crab dynamics. The models reflect prevailing hypotheses regarding ecological links between these two species. When reported crab harvest from 1998 to 2008 was applied, projections corresponded to the observed red knot population abundances depending on strengths of the demographic relationship between these species. We compared different simulated horseshoe crab harvest strategies to evaluate whether, given this model, horseshoe crab harvest management can affect red knot conservation and found that restricting harvest can benefit red knot populations. Our model is the first to explicitly and quantitatively link these two species and will be used within an adaptive management framework to manage the Delaware Bay system and learn more about the specific nature of the linkage between the two species. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
McGOWAN, CONOR P. SMITH, DAVID R. SWEKA, JOHN A MARTIN, JULIEN NICHOLS, JAMES D WONG, RICHARD LYONS, JAMES E NILES, LAWRENCE J KALASZ, KEVIN BRUST, JEFFREY KLOPFER, MICHELLE SPEAR, BRADDOCK |
author_facet |
McGOWAN, CONOR P. SMITH, DAVID R. SWEKA, JOHN A MARTIN, JULIEN NICHOLS, JAMES D WONG, RICHARD LYONS, JAMES E NILES, LAWRENCE J KALASZ, KEVIN BRUST, JEFFREY KLOPFER, MICHELLE SPEAR, BRADDOCK |
author_sort |
McGOWAN, CONOR P. |
title |
MULTISPECIES MODELING FOR ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF HORSESHOE CRABS AND RED KNOTS IN THE DELAWARE BAY |
title_short |
MULTISPECIES MODELING FOR ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF HORSESHOE CRABS AND RED KNOTS IN THE DELAWARE BAY |
title_full |
MULTISPECIES MODELING FOR ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF HORSESHOE CRABS AND RED KNOTS IN THE DELAWARE BAY |
title_fullStr |
MULTISPECIES MODELING FOR ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF HORSESHOE CRABS AND RED KNOTS IN THE DELAWARE BAY |
title_full_unstemmed |
MULTISPECIES MODELING FOR ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF HORSESHOE CRABS AND RED KNOTS IN THE DELAWARE BAY |
title_sort |
multispecies modeling for adaptive management of horseshoe crabs and red knots in the delaware bay |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2011 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1939-7445.2010.00085.x https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fj.1939-7445.2010.00085.x https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1939-7445.2010.00085.x |
genre |
Calidris canutus Red Knot |
genre_facet |
Calidris canutus Red Knot |
op_source |
Natural Resource Modeling volume 24, issue 1, page 117-156 ISSN 0890-8575 1939-7445 |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1939-7445.2010.00085.x |
container_title |
Natural Resource Modeling |
container_volume |
24 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
117 |
op_container_end_page |
156 |
_version_ |
1799478056317878272 |