Forecasting Resilience in Arctic Societies: Creating Tools for Assessing Social–Hydrological Systems 1

Altaweel, Mark R., Lilian N. Alessa, and Andrew D. Kliskey, 2009. Forecasting Resilience in Arctic Societies: Creating Tools for Assessing Social–Hydrological Systems. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 45(6):1379‐1389. Abstract: Arctic communities are increasingly faced wit...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association
Main Authors: Altaweel, Mark R., Alessa, Lilian N., Kliskey, Andrew D.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2009
Subjects:
Earth-Surface Processes
Water Science and Technology
Ecology
Arctic
Seward Peninsula
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2009.00370.x
http://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fj.1752-1688.2009.00370.x
https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fj.1752-1688.2009.00370.x
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2009.00370.x
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Summary:Altaweel, Mark R., Lilian N. Alessa, and Andrew D. Kliskey, 2009. Forecasting Resilience in Arctic Societies: Creating Tools for Assessing Social–Hydrological Systems. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 45(6):1379‐1389. Abstract: Arctic communities are increasingly faced with social–ecological changes that act at variable speeds and spatial scales. Such changes will affect vital resources, particularly water supplies. Currently, there are few computational tools that integrate multiple social and environmental processes in order to aid communities’ adaptation to change through decision support systems. This paper proposes a modeling and simulation approach that can integrate such processes at different spatiotemporal scales in order to address issues affecting community water supplies. In this paper, a modeling and simulation tool is developed and applied to a case study on the Seward Peninsula. Initial results, using both field observations and computation, show projected patterns of water use, perceptions of water availability, and long‐term consumption trends. More broadly, the paper demonstrates the need for developing tools that address issues at the community level for better understanding human and hydrological interactions and policy decisions affecting water supplies.

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