CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FLOOD FREQUENCY ESTIMATION FOR THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER MISSOURI RIVERS 1
ABSTRACT: This paper considers the distribution of flood flows in the Upper Mississippi, Lower Missouri, and Illinois Rivers and their relationship to climatic indices. Global climate patterns including El Niño/Southern Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and the North Atlantic Oscillation...
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crwiley:10.1111/j.1752-1688.1999.tb04234.x 2024-06-23T07:55:06+00:00 CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FLOOD FREQUENCY ESTIMATION FOR THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER MISSOURI RIVERS 1 Olsen, J. Rolf Stedinger, Jery R. Matalas, Nicholas C. Stakhiv, Eugene Z. 1999 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1999.tb04234.x https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fj.1752-1688.1999.tb04234.x https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1999.tb04234.x en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association volume 35, issue 6, page 1509-1523 ISSN 1093-474X 1752-1688 journal-article 1999 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1999.tb04234.x 2024-06-13T04:22:22Z ABSTRACT: This paper considers the distribution of flood flows in the Upper Mississippi, Lower Missouri, and Illinois Rivers and their relationship to climatic indices. Global climate patterns including El Niño/Southern Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and the North Atlantic Oscillation explained very little of the variations in flow peaks. However, large and statistically significant upward trends were found in many gauge records along the Upper Mississippi and Missouri Rivers: at Hermann on the Missouri River above the confluence with the Mississippi (p = 2 percent), at Hannibal on the Mississippi River (p < 0.1 percent), at Meredosia on the Illinois River (p = 0.7 percent), and at St. Louis on the Mississippi below the confluence of all three rivers (p = 1 percent). This challenges the traditional assumption that flood series are independent and identically distributed random variables and suggests that flood risk changes over time. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Wiley Online Library Pacific St. Louis ENVELOPE(-67.496,-67.496,-67.132,-67.132) JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association 35 6 1509 1523 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Wiley Online Library |
op_collection_id |
crwiley |
language |
English |
description |
ABSTRACT: This paper considers the distribution of flood flows in the Upper Mississippi, Lower Missouri, and Illinois Rivers and their relationship to climatic indices. Global climate patterns including El Niño/Southern Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and the North Atlantic Oscillation explained very little of the variations in flow peaks. However, large and statistically significant upward trends were found in many gauge records along the Upper Mississippi and Missouri Rivers: at Hermann on the Missouri River above the confluence with the Mississippi (p = 2 percent), at Hannibal on the Mississippi River (p < 0.1 percent), at Meredosia on the Illinois River (p = 0.7 percent), and at St. Louis on the Mississippi below the confluence of all three rivers (p = 1 percent). This challenges the traditional assumption that flood series are independent and identically distributed random variables and suggests that flood risk changes over time. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Olsen, J. Rolf Stedinger, Jery R. Matalas, Nicholas C. Stakhiv, Eugene Z. |
spellingShingle |
Olsen, J. Rolf Stedinger, Jery R. Matalas, Nicholas C. Stakhiv, Eugene Z. CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FLOOD FREQUENCY ESTIMATION FOR THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER MISSOURI RIVERS 1 |
author_facet |
Olsen, J. Rolf Stedinger, Jery R. Matalas, Nicholas C. Stakhiv, Eugene Z. |
author_sort |
Olsen, J. Rolf |
title |
CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FLOOD FREQUENCY ESTIMATION FOR THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER MISSOURI RIVERS 1 |
title_short |
CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FLOOD FREQUENCY ESTIMATION FOR THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER MISSOURI RIVERS 1 |
title_full |
CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FLOOD FREQUENCY ESTIMATION FOR THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER MISSOURI RIVERS 1 |
title_fullStr |
CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FLOOD FREQUENCY ESTIMATION FOR THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER MISSOURI RIVERS 1 |
title_full_unstemmed |
CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FLOOD FREQUENCY ESTIMATION FOR THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER MISSOURI RIVERS 1 |
title_sort |
climate variability and flood frequency estimation for the upper mississippi and lower missouri rivers 1 |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
1999 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1999.tb04234.x https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fj.1752-1688.1999.tb04234.x https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1999.tb04234.x |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-67.496,-67.496,-67.132,-67.132) |
geographic |
Pacific St. Louis |
geographic_facet |
Pacific St. Louis |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association volume 35, issue 6, page 1509-1523 ISSN 1093-474X 1752-1688 |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1999.tb04234.x |
container_title |
JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association |
container_volume |
35 |
container_issue |
6 |
container_start_page |
1509 |
op_container_end_page |
1523 |
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1802647529920135168 |