Ice age distributions of European small mammals: insights from species distribution modelling
Abstract Aim In addition to the traditionally recognized Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 21 ka) refuge areas in the Mediterranean region, more northerly LGM distributions for temperate and boreal taxa in central and eastern Europe are increasingly being discussed based on palaeoecological and phylogeogra...
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crwiley:10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02089.x 2024-06-02T08:01:58+00:00 Ice age distributions of European small mammals: insights from species distribution modelling Fløjgaard, Camilla Normand, Signe Skov, Flemming Svenning, Jens‐Christian 2009 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02089.x https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fj.1365-2699.2009.02089.x https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02089.x en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor Journal of Biogeography volume 36, issue 6, page 1152-1163 ISSN 0305-0270 1365-2699 journal-article 2009 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02089.x 2024-05-03T11:20:21Z Abstract Aim In addition to the traditionally recognized Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 21 ka) refuge areas in the Mediterranean region, more northerly LGM distributions for temperate and boreal taxa in central and eastern Europe are increasingly being discussed based on palaeoecological and phylogeographical evidence. Our aim was to investigate the potential refuge locations using species distribution modelling to estimate the geographical distribution of suitable climatic conditions for selected rodent species during the LGM. Location Eurasia. Methods Presence/absence data for seven rodent species with range limits corresponding to the limits of temperate or boreal forest or arctic tundra were used in the analysis. We developed predictive distribution models based on the species present‐day European distributions and validated these against their present‐day Siberian ranges. The models with the best predictors of the species distributions across Siberia were projected onto LGM climate simulations to assess the distribution of climatically suitable areas. Results The best distribution models provided good predictions of the present‐day Siberian ranges of the study species. Their LGM projections showed that areas with a suitable LGM climate for the three temperate species ( Apodemus flavicollis , Apodemus sylvaticus and Microtus arvalis ) were largely restricted to the traditionally recognized southern refuge areas, i.e. mainly in the Mediterranean region, but also southernmost France and southern parts of the Russian Plain. In contrast, suitable climatic conditions for the two boreal species ( Clethrionomys glareous and Microtus agrestis ) were predicted as far north as southern England and across southern parts of central and eastern Europe eastwards into the Russian Plain. For the two arctic species ( Lemmus lemmus and Microtus oeconomus ), suitable climate was predicted from the Atlantic coast eastward across central Europe and into Russia. Main conclusions Our results support the idea of more northerly refuge ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Lemmus lemmus Microtus arvalis Tundra Siberia Wiley Online Library Arctic Journal of Biogeography 36 6 1152 1163 |
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Wiley Online Library |
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English |
description |
Abstract Aim In addition to the traditionally recognized Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 21 ka) refuge areas in the Mediterranean region, more northerly LGM distributions for temperate and boreal taxa in central and eastern Europe are increasingly being discussed based on palaeoecological and phylogeographical evidence. Our aim was to investigate the potential refuge locations using species distribution modelling to estimate the geographical distribution of suitable climatic conditions for selected rodent species during the LGM. Location Eurasia. Methods Presence/absence data for seven rodent species with range limits corresponding to the limits of temperate or boreal forest or arctic tundra were used in the analysis. We developed predictive distribution models based on the species present‐day European distributions and validated these against their present‐day Siberian ranges. The models with the best predictors of the species distributions across Siberia were projected onto LGM climate simulations to assess the distribution of climatically suitable areas. Results The best distribution models provided good predictions of the present‐day Siberian ranges of the study species. Their LGM projections showed that areas with a suitable LGM climate for the three temperate species ( Apodemus flavicollis , Apodemus sylvaticus and Microtus arvalis ) were largely restricted to the traditionally recognized southern refuge areas, i.e. mainly in the Mediterranean region, but also southernmost France and southern parts of the Russian Plain. In contrast, suitable climatic conditions for the two boreal species ( Clethrionomys glareous and Microtus agrestis ) were predicted as far north as southern England and across southern parts of central and eastern Europe eastwards into the Russian Plain. For the two arctic species ( Lemmus lemmus and Microtus oeconomus ), suitable climate was predicted from the Atlantic coast eastward across central Europe and into Russia. Main conclusions Our results support the idea of more northerly refuge ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Fløjgaard, Camilla Normand, Signe Skov, Flemming Svenning, Jens‐Christian |
spellingShingle |
Fløjgaard, Camilla Normand, Signe Skov, Flemming Svenning, Jens‐Christian Ice age distributions of European small mammals: insights from species distribution modelling |
author_facet |
Fløjgaard, Camilla Normand, Signe Skov, Flemming Svenning, Jens‐Christian |
author_sort |
Fløjgaard, Camilla |
title |
Ice age distributions of European small mammals: insights from species distribution modelling |
title_short |
Ice age distributions of European small mammals: insights from species distribution modelling |
title_full |
Ice age distributions of European small mammals: insights from species distribution modelling |
title_fullStr |
Ice age distributions of European small mammals: insights from species distribution modelling |
title_full_unstemmed |
Ice age distributions of European small mammals: insights from species distribution modelling |
title_sort |
ice age distributions of european small mammals: insights from species distribution modelling |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2009 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02089.x https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fj.1365-2699.2009.02089.x https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02089.x |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Lemmus lemmus Microtus arvalis Tundra Siberia |
genre_facet |
Arctic Lemmus lemmus Microtus arvalis Tundra Siberia |
op_source |
Journal of Biogeography volume 36, issue 6, page 1152-1163 ISSN 0305-0270 1365-2699 |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02089.x |
container_title |
Journal of Biogeography |
container_volume |
36 |
container_issue |
6 |
container_start_page |
1152 |
op_container_end_page |
1163 |
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1800746460073951232 |