Circumpolar dynamics of a marine top‐predator track ocean warming rates
Abstract Global warming is a nonlinear process, and temperature may increase in a stepwise manner. Periods of abrupt warming can trigger persistent changes in the state of ecosystems, also called regime shifts. The responses of organisms to abrupt warming and associated regime shifts can be unlike r...
Published in: | Global Change Biology |
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13715 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fgcb.13715 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/gcb.13715 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1111/gcb.13715 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/am-pdf/10.1111/gcb.13715 |
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crwiley:10.1111/gcb.13715 2024-06-09T07:49:16+00:00 Circumpolar dynamics of a marine top‐predator track ocean warming rates Descamps, Sébastien Anker‐Nilssen, Tycho Barrett, Robert T. Irons, David B. Merkel, Flemming Robertson, Gregory J. Yoccoz, Nigel G. Mallory, Mark L. Montevecchi, William A. Boertmann, David Artukhin, Yuri Christensen‐Dalsgaard, Signe Erikstad, Kjell‐Einar Gilchrist, H. Grant Labansen, Aili L. Lorentsen, Svein‐Håkon Mosbech, Anders Olsen, Bergur Petersen, Aevar Rail, Jean‐Francois Renner, Heather M. Strøm, Hallvard Systad, Geir H. Wilhelm, Sabina I. Zelenskaya, Larisa U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service U.S. Geological Survey Alaska Department of Fish and Game Miljøstyrelsen Pinngortitaleriffik Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Environment Canada 2017 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13715 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fgcb.13715 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/gcb.13715 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1111/gcb.13715 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/am-pdf/10.1111/gcb.13715 en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#am http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor Global Change Biology volume 23, issue 9, page 3770-3780 ISSN 1354-1013 1365-2486 journal-article 2017 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13715 2024-05-16T14:28:55Z Abstract Global warming is a nonlinear process, and temperature may increase in a stepwise manner. Periods of abrupt warming can trigger persistent changes in the state of ecosystems, also called regime shifts. The responses of organisms to abrupt warming and associated regime shifts can be unlike responses to periods of slow or moderate change. Understanding of nonlinearity in the biological responses to climate warming is needed to assess the consequences of ongoing climate change. Here, we demonstrate that the population dynamics of a long‐lived, wide‐ranging marine predator are associated with changes in the rate of ocean warming. Data from 556 colonies of black‐legged kittiwakes Rissa tridactyla distributed throughout its breeding range revealed that an abrupt warming of sea‐surface temperature in the 1990s coincided with steep kittiwake population decline. Periods of moderate warming in sea temperatures did not seem to affect kittiwake dynamics. The rapid warming observed in the 1990s may have driven large‐scale, circumpolar marine ecosystem shifts that strongly affected kittiwakes through bottom‐up effects. Our study sheds light on the nonlinear response of a circumpolar seabird to large‐scale changes in oceanographic conditions and indicates that marine top predators may be more sensitive to the rate of ocean warming rather than to warming itself. Article in Journal/Newspaper rissa tridactyla Wiley Online Library Global Change Biology 23 9 3770 3780 |
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Open Polar |
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Wiley Online Library |
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crwiley |
language |
English |
description |
Abstract Global warming is a nonlinear process, and temperature may increase in a stepwise manner. Periods of abrupt warming can trigger persistent changes in the state of ecosystems, also called regime shifts. The responses of organisms to abrupt warming and associated regime shifts can be unlike responses to periods of slow or moderate change. Understanding of nonlinearity in the biological responses to climate warming is needed to assess the consequences of ongoing climate change. Here, we demonstrate that the population dynamics of a long‐lived, wide‐ranging marine predator are associated with changes in the rate of ocean warming. Data from 556 colonies of black‐legged kittiwakes Rissa tridactyla distributed throughout its breeding range revealed that an abrupt warming of sea‐surface temperature in the 1990s coincided with steep kittiwake population decline. Periods of moderate warming in sea temperatures did not seem to affect kittiwake dynamics. The rapid warming observed in the 1990s may have driven large‐scale, circumpolar marine ecosystem shifts that strongly affected kittiwakes through bottom‐up effects. Our study sheds light on the nonlinear response of a circumpolar seabird to large‐scale changes in oceanographic conditions and indicates that marine top predators may be more sensitive to the rate of ocean warming rather than to warming itself. |
author2 |
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service U.S. Geological Survey Alaska Department of Fish and Game Miljøstyrelsen Pinngortitaleriffik Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Environment Canada |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Descamps, Sébastien Anker‐Nilssen, Tycho Barrett, Robert T. Irons, David B. Merkel, Flemming Robertson, Gregory J. Yoccoz, Nigel G. Mallory, Mark L. Montevecchi, William A. Boertmann, David Artukhin, Yuri Christensen‐Dalsgaard, Signe Erikstad, Kjell‐Einar Gilchrist, H. Grant Labansen, Aili L. Lorentsen, Svein‐Håkon Mosbech, Anders Olsen, Bergur Petersen, Aevar Rail, Jean‐Francois Renner, Heather M. Strøm, Hallvard Systad, Geir H. Wilhelm, Sabina I. Zelenskaya, Larisa |
spellingShingle |
Descamps, Sébastien Anker‐Nilssen, Tycho Barrett, Robert T. Irons, David B. Merkel, Flemming Robertson, Gregory J. Yoccoz, Nigel G. Mallory, Mark L. Montevecchi, William A. Boertmann, David Artukhin, Yuri Christensen‐Dalsgaard, Signe Erikstad, Kjell‐Einar Gilchrist, H. Grant Labansen, Aili L. Lorentsen, Svein‐Håkon Mosbech, Anders Olsen, Bergur Petersen, Aevar Rail, Jean‐Francois Renner, Heather M. Strøm, Hallvard Systad, Geir H. Wilhelm, Sabina I. Zelenskaya, Larisa Circumpolar dynamics of a marine top‐predator track ocean warming rates |
author_facet |
Descamps, Sébastien Anker‐Nilssen, Tycho Barrett, Robert T. Irons, David B. Merkel, Flemming Robertson, Gregory J. Yoccoz, Nigel G. Mallory, Mark L. Montevecchi, William A. Boertmann, David Artukhin, Yuri Christensen‐Dalsgaard, Signe Erikstad, Kjell‐Einar Gilchrist, H. Grant Labansen, Aili L. Lorentsen, Svein‐Håkon Mosbech, Anders Olsen, Bergur Petersen, Aevar Rail, Jean‐Francois Renner, Heather M. Strøm, Hallvard Systad, Geir H. Wilhelm, Sabina I. Zelenskaya, Larisa |
author_sort |
Descamps, Sébastien |
title |
Circumpolar dynamics of a marine top‐predator track ocean warming rates |
title_short |
Circumpolar dynamics of a marine top‐predator track ocean warming rates |
title_full |
Circumpolar dynamics of a marine top‐predator track ocean warming rates |
title_fullStr |
Circumpolar dynamics of a marine top‐predator track ocean warming rates |
title_full_unstemmed |
Circumpolar dynamics of a marine top‐predator track ocean warming rates |
title_sort |
circumpolar dynamics of a marine top‐predator track ocean warming rates |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13715 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fgcb.13715 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/gcb.13715 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1111/gcb.13715 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/am-pdf/10.1111/gcb.13715 |
genre |
rissa tridactyla |
genre_facet |
rissa tridactyla |
op_source |
Global Change Biology volume 23, issue 9, page 3770-3780 ISSN 1354-1013 1365-2486 |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#am http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13715 |
container_title |
Global Change Biology |
container_volume |
23 |
container_issue |
9 |
container_start_page |
3770 |
op_container_end_page |
3780 |
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1801381660612100096 |