Estimating the ecological, economic and social impacts of ocean acidification and warming on UK fisheries
Abstract Assessments of the combined ecological impacts of ocean acidification and warming ( OAW ) and their social and economic consequences can help develop adaptive and responsive management strategies in the most sensitive regions. Here, available observational and experimental data, theoretical...
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crwiley:10.1111/faf.12183 2024-09-15T18:27:52+00:00 Estimating the ecological, economic and social impacts of ocean acidification and warming on UK fisheries Fernandes, Jose A Papathanasopoulou, Eleni Hattam, Caroline Queirós, Ana M Cheung, William W W L Yool, Andrew Artioli, Yuri Pope, Edward C Flynn, Kevin J Merino, Gorka Calosi, Piero Beaumont, Nicola Austen, Melanie C Widdicombe, Stephen Barange, Manuel Natural Environment Research Council Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Department of Energy and Climate Change National Geographic Society Nippon Foundation Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Seventh Framework Programme 2016 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/faf.12183 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Ffaf.12183 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/faf.12183 en eng Wiley http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Fish and Fisheries volume 18, issue 3, page 389-411 ISSN 1467-2960 1467-2979 journal-article 2016 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12183 2024-08-20T04:16:53Z Abstract Assessments of the combined ecological impacts of ocean acidification and warming ( OAW ) and their social and economic consequences can help develop adaptive and responsive management strategies in the most sensitive regions. Here, available observational and experimental data, theoretical, and modelling approaches are combined to project and quantify potential effects of OAW on the future fisheries catches and resulting revenues and employment in the UK under different CO 2 emission scenarios. Across all scenarios, based on the limited available experimental results considered, the bivalve species investigated were more affected by OAW than the fish species considered, compared with ocean warming alone. Projected standing stock biomasses decrease between 10 and 60%. These impacts translate into an overall fish and shellfish catch decrease of between 10 and 30% by 2020 across all areas except for the Scotland >10 m fleet. This latter fleet shows average positive impacts until 2050, declining afterwards. The main driver of the projected decreases is temperature rise (0.5–3.3 °C), which exacerbate the impact of decreases in primary production (10–30%) in UK fishing waters. The inclusion of the effect of ocean acidification on the carbon uptake of primary producers had very little impact on the projections of potential fish and shellfish catches (<1%). The <10 m fleet is likely to be the most impacted by‐catch decreases in the short term (2020–50), whereas the effects will be experienced more strongly by the >10 m fleet by the end of the century in all countries. Overall, losses in revenue are estimated to range between 1 and 21% in the short term (2020–50) with England and Scotland being the most negatively impacted in absolute terms, and Wales and North Ireland in relative terms. Losses in total employment (fisheries and associated industries) may reach approximately 3–20% during 2020–50 with the >10 m fleet and associated industries bearing the majority of the losses. Article in Journal/Newspaper Ocean acidification Wiley Online Library Fish and Fisheries 18 3 389 411 |
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Open Polar |
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Wiley Online Library |
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crwiley |
language |
English |
description |
Abstract Assessments of the combined ecological impacts of ocean acidification and warming ( OAW ) and their social and economic consequences can help develop adaptive and responsive management strategies in the most sensitive regions. Here, available observational and experimental data, theoretical, and modelling approaches are combined to project and quantify potential effects of OAW on the future fisheries catches and resulting revenues and employment in the UK under different CO 2 emission scenarios. Across all scenarios, based on the limited available experimental results considered, the bivalve species investigated were more affected by OAW than the fish species considered, compared with ocean warming alone. Projected standing stock biomasses decrease between 10 and 60%. These impacts translate into an overall fish and shellfish catch decrease of between 10 and 30% by 2020 across all areas except for the Scotland >10 m fleet. This latter fleet shows average positive impacts until 2050, declining afterwards. The main driver of the projected decreases is temperature rise (0.5–3.3 °C), which exacerbate the impact of decreases in primary production (10–30%) in UK fishing waters. The inclusion of the effect of ocean acidification on the carbon uptake of primary producers had very little impact on the projections of potential fish and shellfish catches (<1%). The <10 m fleet is likely to be the most impacted by‐catch decreases in the short term (2020–50), whereas the effects will be experienced more strongly by the >10 m fleet by the end of the century in all countries. Overall, losses in revenue are estimated to range between 1 and 21% in the short term (2020–50) with England and Scotland being the most negatively impacted in absolute terms, and Wales and North Ireland in relative terms. Losses in total employment (fisheries and associated industries) may reach approximately 3–20% during 2020–50 with the >10 m fleet and associated industries bearing the majority of the losses. |
author2 |
Natural Environment Research Council Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Department of Energy and Climate Change National Geographic Society Nippon Foundation Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Seventh Framework Programme |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Fernandes, Jose A Papathanasopoulou, Eleni Hattam, Caroline Queirós, Ana M Cheung, William W W L Yool, Andrew Artioli, Yuri Pope, Edward C Flynn, Kevin J Merino, Gorka Calosi, Piero Beaumont, Nicola Austen, Melanie C Widdicombe, Stephen Barange, Manuel |
spellingShingle |
Fernandes, Jose A Papathanasopoulou, Eleni Hattam, Caroline Queirós, Ana M Cheung, William W W L Yool, Andrew Artioli, Yuri Pope, Edward C Flynn, Kevin J Merino, Gorka Calosi, Piero Beaumont, Nicola Austen, Melanie C Widdicombe, Stephen Barange, Manuel Estimating the ecological, economic and social impacts of ocean acidification and warming on UK fisheries |
author_facet |
Fernandes, Jose A Papathanasopoulou, Eleni Hattam, Caroline Queirós, Ana M Cheung, William W W L Yool, Andrew Artioli, Yuri Pope, Edward C Flynn, Kevin J Merino, Gorka Calosi, Piero Beaumont, Nicola Austen, Melanie C Widdicombe, Stephen Barange, Manuel |
author_sort |
Fernandes, Jose A |
title |
Estimating the ecological, economic and social impacts of ocean acidification and warming on UK fisheries |
title_short |
Estimating the ecological, economic and social impacts of ocean acidification and warming on UK fisheries |
title_full |
Estimating the ecological, economic and social impacts of ocean acidification and warming on UK fisheries |
title_fullStr |
Estimating the ecological, economic and social impacts of ocean acidification and warming on UK fisheries |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimating the ecological, economic and social impacts of ocean acidification and warming on UK fisheries |
title_sort |
estimating the ecological, economic and social impacts of ocean acidification and warming on uk fisheries |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/faf.12183 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Ffaf.12183 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/faf.12183 |
genre |
Ocean acidification |
genre_facet |
Ocean acidification |
op_source |
Fish and Fisheries volume 18, issue 3, page 389-411 ISSN 1467-2960 1467-2979 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12183 |
container_title |
Fish and Fisheries |
container_volume |
18 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
389 |
op_container_end_page |
411 |
_version_ |
1810469141632516096 |