Distribution shifts of marine taxa in the Pacific Arctic under contemporary climate changes
Abstract Aim To investigate the species‐specific exposure and distributional responses of marine fish and invertebrate taxa to rapidly shifting climate in the Pacific Arctic, characterized by warming and cooling episodes, over the last 24 years. Location Pacific Arctic region, eastern Bering Sea and...
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crwiley:10.1111/ddi.12788 2024-06-23T07:49:44+00:00 Distribution shifts of marine taxa in the Pacific Arctic under contemporary climate changes Alabia, Irene D. García Molinos, Jorge Saitoh, Sei‐Ichi Hirawake, Toru Hirata, Takafumi Mueter, Franz J. Serra‐Diaz, Josep Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology 2018 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12788 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fddi.12788 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/ddi.12788 en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor Diversity and Distributions volume 24, issue 11, page 1583-1597 ISSN 1366-9516 1472-4642 journal-article 2018 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12788 2024-06-11T04:50:45Z Abstract Aim To investigate the species‐specific exposure and distributional responses of marine fish and invertebrate taxa to rapidly shifting climate in the Pacific Arctic, characterized by warming and cooling episodes, over the last 24 years. Location Pacific Arctic region, eastern Bering Sea and Chukchi Sea. Methods We examined the variations in the summer (June–July) habitat patterns of 21 marine fish and invertebrate taxa in the eastern Bering Sea using multimodel ensemble predictions of species distribution between 1993 and 2016. Using ensemble model outputs, we examined the rates of predicted (biotic velocities) and expected (bioclimatic velocities) distribution shifts across taxa under four consecutive time periods of distinct climatic regimes. We then compared these species‐specific velocity metrics to the rates of local climatic shifts (climatic velocities) and quantified the potential lags in distributional responses relative to changes in climate across taxa and transitions. Results Our analyses showed that individual taxa responded to climatic fluctuations at different paces and generally exhibited lags in their predicted distributional responses. Subarctic species revealed higher habitat sensitivity and exposure to climatic changes than Arctic taxa, as they expand their habitat ranges into suitable regions emerging in the north under warmer conditions. Importantly, the actual rates of climate shifts (climatic velocities) were poorly correlated with both the expected and observed shifts in species distributions across taxa. Main conclusions Our findings underpin the importance of incorporating species‐specific climatic sensitivity and exposure to changes in climatic conditions when predicting range shift responses and evaluating species vulnerability. These insights are critical for conservation and management of fisheries resources in the region. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Bering Sea Chukchi Chukchi Sea Pacific Arctic Subarctic Wiley Online Library Arctic Bering Sea Chukchi Sea Pacific Diversity and Distributions 24 11 1583 1597 |
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Wiley Online Library |
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crwiley |
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English |
description |
Abstract Aim To investigate the species‐specific exposure and distributional responses of marine fish and invertebrate taxa to rapidly shifting climate in the Pacific Arctic, characterized by warming and cooling episodes, over the last 24 years. Location Pacific Arctic region, eastern Bering Sea and Chukchi Sea. Methods We examined the variations in the summer (June–July) habitat patterns of 21 marine fish and invertebrate taxa in the eastern Bering Sea using multimodel ensemble predictions of species distribution between 1993 and 2016. Using ensemble model outputs, we examined the rates of predicted (biotic velocities) and expected (bioclimatic velocities) distribution shifts across taxa under four consecutive time periods of distinct climatic regimes. We then compared these species‐specific velocity metrics to the rates of local climatic shifts (climatic velocities) and quantified the potential lags in distributional responses relative to changes in climate across taxa and transitions. Results Our analyses showed that individual taxa responded to climatic fluctuations at different paces and generally exhibited lags in their predicted distributional responses. Subarctic species revealed higher habitat sensitivity and exposure to climatic changes than Arctic taxa, as they expand their habitat ranges into suitable regions emerging in the north under warmer conditions. Importantly, the actual rates of climate shifts (climatic velocities) were poorly correlated with both the expected and observed shifts in species distributions across taxa. Main conclusions Our findings underpin the importance of incorporating species‐specific climatic sensitivity and exposure to changes in climatic conditions when predicting range shift responses and evaluating species vulnerability. These insights are critical for conservation and management of fisheries resources in the region. |
author2 |
Serra‐Diaz, Josep Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Alabia, Irene D. García Molinos, Jorge Saitoh, Sei‐Ichi Hirawake, Toru Hirata, Takafumi Mueter, Franz J. |
spellingShingle |
Alabia, Irene D. García Molinos, Jorge Saitoh, Sei‐Ichi Hirawake, Toru Hirata, Takafumi Mueter, Franz J. Distribution shifts of marine taxa in the Pacific Arctic under contemporary climate changes |
author_facet |
Alabia, Irene D. García Molinos, Jorge Saitoh, Sei‐Ichi Hirawake, Toru Hirata, Takafumi Mueter, Franz J. |
author_sort |
Alabia, Irene D. |
title |
Distribution shifts of marine taxa in the Pacific Arctic under contemporary climate changes |
title_short |
Distribution shifts of marine taxa in the Pacific Arctic under contemporary climate changes |
title_full |
Distribution shifts of marine taxa in the Pacific Arctic under contemporary climate changes |
title_fullStr |
Distribution shifts of marine taxa in the Pacific Arctic under contemporary climate changes |
title_full_unstemmed |
Distribution shifts of marine taxa in the Pacific Arctic under contemporary climate changes |
title_sort |
distribution shifts of marine taxa in the pacific arctic under contemporary climate changes |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12788 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1111%2Fddi.12788 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/ddi.12788 |
geographic |
Arctic Bering Sea Chukchi Sea Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Bering Sea Chukchi Sea Pacific |
genre |
Arctic Bering Sea Chukchi Chukchi Sea Pacific Arctic Subarctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic Bering Sea Chukchi Chukchi Sea Pacific Arctic Subarctic |
op_source |
Diversity and Distributions volume 24, issue 11, page 1583-1597 ISSN 1366-9516 1472-4642 |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12788 |
container_title |
Diversity and Distributions |
container_volume |
24 |
container_issue |
11 |
container_start_page |
1583 |
op_container_end_page |
1597 |
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1802640407008378880 |