Adaptive Kalman filtering of 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in Iceland
Abstract In this paper, an adaptive Kalman filtering procedure is developed and applied to 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in Iceland. The goal is to reduce the systematic bias and improve the accuracy of the local forecasts derived from a numerical weather prediction model and...
Published in: | Meteorological Applications |
---|---|
Main Author: | |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Wiley
2004
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1350482704001252 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1017%2FS1350482704001252 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1017/S1350482704001252 |
id |
crwiley:10.1017/s1350482704001252 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
crwiley:10.1017/s1350482704001252 2024-09-15T18:13:18+00:00 Adaptive Kalman filtering of 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in Iceland Crochet, Philippe 2004 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1350482704001252 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1017%2FS1350482704001252 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1017/S1350482704001252 en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor Meteorological Applications volume 11, issue 2, page 173-187 ISSN 1350-4827 1469-8080 journal-article 2004 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1017/s1350482704001252 2024-06-27T04:20:29Z Abstract In this paper, an adaptive Kalman filtering procedure is developed and applied to 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in Iceland. The goal is to reduce the systematic bias and improve the accuracy of the local forecasts derived from a numerical weather prediction model and, in addition, to produce reliable prediction intervals. The method consists of adding two algorithms to the traditional Kalman filter procedure that adaptively estimate the noise statistics individually at each forecast location and each time step. The tested data set shows that the method is able to remove the systematic errors and to quantify the prediction uncertainty in a consistent manner. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society. Article in Journal/Newspaper Iceland Wiley Online Library Meteorological Applications 11 2 173 187 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Wiley Online Library |
op_collection_id |
crwiley |
language |
English |
description |
Abstract In this paper, an adaptive Kalman filtering procedure is developed and applied to 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in Iceland. The goal is to reduce the systematic bias and improve the accuracy of the local forecasts derived from a numerical weather prediction model and, in addition, to produce reliable prediction intervals. The method consists of adding two algorithms to the traditional Kalman filter procedure that adaptively estimate the noise statistics individually at each forecast location and each time step. The tested data set shows that the method is able to remove the systematic errors and to quantify the prediction uncertainty in a consistent manner. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Crochet, Philippe |
spellingShingle |
Crochet, Philippe Adaptive Kalman filtering of 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in Iceland |
author_facet |
Crochet, Philippe |
author_sort |
Crochet, Philippe |
title |
Adaptive Kalman filtering of 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in Iceland |
title_short |
Adaptive Kalman filtering of 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in Iceland |
title_full |
Adaptive Kalman filtering of 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in Iceland |
title_fullStr |
Adaptive Kalman filtering of 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in Iceland |
title_full_unstemmed |
Adaptive Kalman filtering of 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in Iceland |
title_sort |
adaptive kalman filtering of 2‐metre temperature and 10‐metre wind‐speed forecasts in iceland |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2004 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1350482704001252 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1017%2FS1350482704001252 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1017/S1350482704001252 |
genre |
Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
op_source |
Meteorological Applications volume 11, issue 2, page 173-187 ISSN 1350-4827 1469-8080 |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1017/s1350482704001252 |
container_title |
Meteorological Applications |
container_volume |
11 |
container_issue |
2 |
container_start_page |
173 |
op_container_end_page |
187 |
_version_ |
1810451006958338048 |