Gulf Stream forcing of the winter North Atlantic oscillation
Abstract Using observational datasets and coupled model simulations, it is shown that a surface heat flux pattern associated with Gulf Stream variability plays a role in forcing the winter North Atlantic oscillation. It is suggested that by monitoring the Gulf Stream, it may be possible to produce a...
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1016%2Fj.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1016/j.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 |
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crwiley:10.1016/j.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 2024-06-02T08:11:07+00:00 Gulf Stream forcing of the winter North Atlantic oscillation Wu, Peili Rodwell, Mark J. 2004 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1016%2Fj.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1016/j.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor Atmospheric Science Letters volume 5, issue 1-4, page 57-64 ISSN 1530-261X 1530-261X journal-article 2004 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 2024-05-03T12:03:30Z Abstract Using observational datasets and coupled model simulations, it is shown that a surface heat flux pattern associated with Gulf Stream variability plays a role in forcing the winter North Atlantic oscillation. It is suggested that by monitoring the Gulf Stream, it may be possible to produce a useful long‐range NAO forecast. By analysing surface heat flux patterns rather than sea‐surface temperatures (as used in previous studies), we find agreement between observational and model‐based results. The results suggest that there may be systematic errors in the modelled surface heat‐flux sensitivity to SST anomalies but that the modelled atmosphere tends to respond correctly to the heat fluxes it is ‘given’. Copyright © 2004 Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of Royal Meteorological Society. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Wiley Online Library Atmospheric Science Letters 5 1-4 57 64 |
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Wiley Online Library |
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crwiley |
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English |
description |
Abstract Using observational datasets and coupled model simulations, it is shown that a surface heat flux pattern associated with Gulf Stream variability plays a role in forcing the winter North Atlantic oscillation. It is suggested that by monitoring the Gulf Stream, it may be possible to produce a useful long‐range NAO forecast. By analysing surface heat flux patterns rather than sea‐surface temperatures (as used in previous studies), we find agreement between observational and model‐based results. The results suggest that there may be systematic errors in the modelled surface heat‐flux sensitivity to SST anomalies but that the modelled atmosphere tends to respond correctly to the heat fluxes it is ‘given’. Copyright © 2004 Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of Royal Meteorological Society. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Wu, Peili Rodwell, Mark J. |
spellingShingle |
Wu, Peili Rodwell, Mark J. Gulf Stream forcing of the winter North Atlantic oscillation |
author_facet |
Wu, Peili Rodwell, Mark J. |
author_sort |
Wu, Peili |
title |
Gulf Stream forcing of the winter North Atlantic oscillation |
title_short |
Gulf Stream forcing of the winter North Atlantic oscillation |
title_full |
Gulf Stream forcing of the winter North Atlantic oscillation |
title_fullStr |
Gulf Stream forcing of the winter North Atlantic oscillation |
title_full_unstemmed |
Gulf Stream forcing of the winter North Atlantic oscillation |
title_sort |
gulf stream forcing of the winter north atlantic oscillation |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2004 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1016%2Fj.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1016/j.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
Atmospheric Science Letters volume 5, issue 1-4, page 57-64 ISSN 1530-261X 1530-261X |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmoscilet.2003.12.002 |
container_title |
Atmospheric Science Letters |
container_volume |
5 |
container_issue |
1-4 |
container_start_page |
57 |
op_container_end_page |
64 |
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1800757152737918976 |