Implementation and evaluation of a spectral cumulus parametrization for simulating tropical cyclones in JMA‐GSM

• Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
• Main Authors: Baba, Yuya, Ujiie, Masashi, Ota, Yukinari, Yonehara, Hitoshi
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: Wiley 2024
• Subjects: Southern Ocean
• Online Access: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.4689; https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/qj.4689

Abstract A spectral cumulus parametrization (spectral scheme) developed using a cloud‐resolving model simulation was implemented in Global Spectral Model of the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA‐GSM, GSM hereafter). The performance of the spectral scheme in terms of mean state, variability, and tropical cyclone (TC) properties was evaluated using atmosphere‐only model experiments by comparing results of the original convection scheme (based on Arakawa–Schubert scheme, AS scheme) and the spectral scheme. Parameter tunings were first conducted for the spectral scheme, through which the climatological errors of the cloud cover in the Southern Ocean and temperature were greatly improved. The spectral scheme showed comparable climatological errors to the AS scheme in the increased resolutions. The spectral scheme greatly improved tropical variability, that is, response to El Niño/Southern Oscillation and Madden–Julian Oscillation. Analyses on TC statistical data revealed that the spectral scheme improved TC properties in terms of genesis frequency, intensity, and the response of TC to tropical variability. Specifically, significant improvements were seen in the Northern Hemisphere. Further analyses on the TC structure revealed that higher TC intensity was sustained for longer times by the spectral scheme than by the AS scheme. The reason for this is that the spectral scheme better simulates convective heating by considering coexistence of different cloud types with parametrized vertically varying entrainment rates, especially from low to mid‐altitudes. The convective heating leads to a sharper vertical‐radial circulation in the TC structure, causing stronger incoming moisture flux toward the TC centre, and resulting in a stronger TC intensity. Consequently, the spectral scheme can simulate a comparable mean state, better variability, and better TC properties compared with the original scheme by simulating a more detailed convective structure. Therefore, it has a potential to increase the TC forecast skill for ...