Spatial variability in winter NAO–wind speed relationships in western Europe linked to concomitant states of the East Atlantic and Scandinavian patterns
The 3‐hourly gridded ECMWF ERA‐Interim climate reanalysis dataset, spanning 1979–2013, was used to investigate the spatial stationarity of the previously documented relationships between wind speeds and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) state in Europe. Over much of western Europe, wind speeds we...
Published in: | Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society |
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crwiley:10.1002/qj.2943 2024-06-23T07:55:10+00:00 Spatial variability in winter NAO–wind speed relationships in western Europe linked to concomitant states of the East Atlantic and Scandinavian patterns Zubiate, Laura McDermott, Frank Sweeney, Conor O'Malley, Mark Earth and Natural Science PhD programme Irish Government's Programme for Third Level Infrastructure Investment (PRTLI5) 2016 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2943 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fqj.2943 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/qj.2943 en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society volume 143, issue 702, page 552-562 ISSN 0035-9009 1477-870X journal-article 2016 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2943 2024-06-13T04:24:32Z The 3‐hourly gridded ECMWF ERA‐Interim climate reanalysis dataset, spanning 1979–2013, was used to investigate the spatial stationarity of the previously documented relationships between wind speeds and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) state in Europe. Over much of western Europe, wind speeds were found to be affected strongly by the concomitant states of the secondary and tertiary atmospheric teleconnections, namely the East Atlantic (EA) and the Scandinavian (SCA) patterns. These modify the geographic positions of the NAO dipole and modulate the influence of the NAO on wind statistics on regional scales, producing non‐stationarities in the NAO–wind speed relationships. The interactions of these teleconnections play an important role in modifying wind speeds within Europe. Finally, systematic north–south changes in the Weibull distribution scale and shape parameters are documented along the western margin of Europe, as a function of different states of the NAO, the EA and the SCA. These effects influence both monthly averaged wind speeds and the statistical distributions of 3‐hourly wind data, implying strong impacts on wind energy resources and expected wind power production. The results have implications for regional to continent‐scale long‐term planning of wind‐farm siting to minimise the impact of resource intermittency. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Wiley Online Library Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 143 702 552 562 |
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Open Polar |
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Wiley Online Library |
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crwiley |
language |
English |
description |
The 3‐hourly gridded ECMWF ERA‐Interim climate reanalysis dataset, spanning 1979–2013, was used to investigate the spatial stationarity of the previously documented relationships between wind speeds and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) state in Europe. Over much of western Europe, wind speeds were found to be affected strongly by the concomitant states of the secondary and tertiary atmospheric teleconnections, namely the East Atlantic (EA) and the Scandinavian (SCA) patterns. These modify the geographic positions of the NAO dipole and modulate the influence of the NAO on wind statistics on regional scales, producing non‐stationarities in the NAO–wind speed relationships. The interactions of these teleconnections play an important role in modifying wind speeds within Europe. Finally, systematic north–south changes in the Weibull distribution scale and shape parameters are documented along the western margin of Europe, as a function of different states of the NAO, the EA and the SCA. These effects influence both monthly averaged wind speeds and the statistical distributions of 3‐hourly wind data, implying strong impacts on wind energy resources and expected wind power production. The results have implications for regional to continent‐scale long‐term planning of wind‐farm siting to minimise the impact of resource intermittency. |
author2 |
Earth and Natural Science PhD programme Irish Government's Programme for Third Level Infrastructure Investment (PRTLI5) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Zubiate, Laura McDermott, Frank Sweeney, Conor O'Malley, Mark |
spellingShingle |
Zubiate, Laura McDermott, Frank Sweeney, Conor O'Malley, Mark Spatial variability in winter NAO–wind speed relationships in western Europe linked to concomitant states of the East Atlantic and Scandinavian patterns |
author_facet |
Zubiate, Laura McDermott, Frank Sweeney, Conor O'Malley, Mark |
author_sort |
Zubiate, Laura |
title |
Spatial variability in winter NAO–wind speed relationships in western Europe linked to concomitant states of the East Atlantic and Scandinavian patterns |
title_short |
Spatial variability in winter NAO–wind speed relationships in western Europe linked to concomitant states of the East Atlantic and Scandinavian patterns |
title_full |
Spatial variability in winter NAO–wind speed relationships in western Europe linked to concomitant states of the East Atlantic and Scandinavian patterns |
title_fullStr |
Spatial variability in winter NAO–wind speed relationships in western Europe linked to concomitant states of the East Atlantic and Scandinavian patterns |
title_full_unstemmed |
Spatial variability in winter NAO–wind speed relationships in western Europe linked to concomitant states of the East Atlantic and Scandinavian patterns |
title_sort |
spatial variability in winter nao–wind speed relationships in western europe linked to concomitant states of the east atlantic and scandinavian patterns |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2943 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fqj.2943 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/qj.2943 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society volume 143, issue 702, page 552-562 ISSN 0035-9009 1477-870X |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2943 |
container_title |
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society |
container_volume |
143 |
container_issue |
702 |
container_start_page |
552 |
op_container_end_page |
562 |
_version_ |
1802647631272345600 |