Stochastic representation of spatial variability in thaw depth in permafrost boreal forests
Abstract A simple stochastic representation of the spatial variability in thaw depth is proposed. Thaw depth distribution measured in the two larch‐type forests in eastern Siberia, Spasskaya Pad and Elgeeii, showed different spatial, seasonal, and interannual variability, respectively. Year‐to‐year...
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2204 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ppp.2204 |
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crwiley:10.1002/ppp.2204 2024-06-23T07:44:56+00:00 Stochastic representation of spatial variability in thaw depth in permafrost boreal forests Nakai, Taro Hiyama, Tetsuya Kotani, Ayumi Iijima, Yoshihiro Ohta, Takeshi Maximov, Trofim C. Japan Society for the Promotion of Science Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology Japan Society for the Promotion of Science 2023 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2204 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ppp.2204 en eng Wiley http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Permafrost and Periglacial Processes volume 34, issue 4, page 481-493 ISSN 1045-6740 1099-1530 journal-article 2023 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2204 2024-06-11T04:40:46Z Abstract A simple stochastic representation of the spatial variability in thaw depth is proposed. Thaw depth distribution measured in the two larch‐type forests in eastern Siberia, Spasskaya Pad and Elgeeii, showed different spatial, seasonal, and interannual variability, respectively. Year‐to‐year variation in active‐layer thickness was minor in Spasskaya Pad compared to Elgeeii. A gamma distribution adequately represented both sites' thaw depth spatial variability as the cumulative probability. Thus, we developed a simple model using the gamma distribution that illustrates the spatial variability in thaw depth at any thawing stage as a function of a given mean thaw depth. A hierarchy of models was introduced that sequentially considered the constant state, linearity, and nonlinearity in the dependence of the rate parameter of the gamma distribution on the mean thaw depth. Although the requirements of the model levels differed between Spasskaya Pad and Elgeeii, the proposed model successfully represented the spatial variability in thaw depth at both sites during different thaw seasons. Article in Journal/Newspaper Active layer thickness permafrost Permafrost and Periglacial Processes Siberia Wiley Online Library Spasskaya ENVELOPE(41.440,41.440,64.287,64.287) Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 34 4 481 493 |
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Open Polar |
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Wiley Online Library |
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crwiley |
language |
English |
description |
Abstract A simple stochastic representation of the spatial variability in thaw depth is proposed. Thaw depth distribution measured in the two larch‐type forests in eastern Siberia, Spasskaya Pad and Elgeeii, showed different spatial, seasonal, and interannual variability, respectively. Year‐to‐year variation in active‐layer thickness was minor in Spasskaya Pad compared to Elgeeii. A gamma distribution adequately represented both sites' thaw depth spatial variability as the cumulative probability. Thus, we developed a simple model using the gamma distribution that illustrates the spatial variability in thaw depth at any thawing stage as a function of a given mean thaw depth. A hierarchy of models was introduced that sequentially considered the constant state, linearity, and nonlinearity in the dependence of the rate parameter of the gamma distribution on the mean thaw depth. Although the requirements of the model levels differed between Spasskaya Pad and Elgeeii, the proposed model successfully represented the spatial variability in thaw depth at both sites during different thaw seasons. |
author2 |
Japan Society for the Promotion of Science Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology Japan Society for the Promotion of Science |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Nakai, Taro Hiyama, Tetsuya Kotani, Ayumi Iijima, Yoshihiro Ohta, Takeshi Maximov, Trofim C. |
spellingShingle |
Nakai, Taro Hiyama, Tetsuya Kotani, Ayumi Iijima, Yoshihiro Ohta, Takeshi Maximov, Trofim C. Stochastic representation of spatial variability in thaw depth in permafrost boreal forests |
author_facet |
Nakai, Taro Hiyama, Tetsuya Kotani, Ayumi Iijima, Yoshihiro Ohta, Takeshi Maximov, Trofim C. |
author_sort |
Nakai, Taro |
title |
Stochastic representation of spatial variability in thaw depth in permafrost boreal forests |
title_short |
Stochastic representation of spatial variability in thaw depth in permafrost boreal forests |
title_full |
Stochastic representation of spatial variability in thaw depth in permafrost boreal forests |
title_fullStr |
Stochastic representation of spatial variability in thaw depth in permafrost boreal forests |
title_full_unstemmed |
Stochastic representation of spatial variability in thaw depth in permafrost boreal forests |
title_sort |
stochastic representation of spatial variability in thaw depth in permafrost boreal forests |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2204 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ppp.2204 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(41.440,41.440,64.287,64.287) |
geographic |
Spasskaya |
geographic_facet |
Spasskaya |
genre |
Active layer thickness permafrost Permafrost and Periglacial Processes Siberia |
genre_facet |
Active layer thickness permafrost Permafrost and Periglacial Processes Siberia |
op_source |
Permafrost and Periglacial Processes volume 34, issue 4, page 481-493 ISSN 1045-6740 1099-1530 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2204 |
container_title |
Permafrost and Periglacial Processes |
container_volume |
34 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
481 |
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493 |
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1802641700524392448 |