Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska
Abstract Arctic lakes located in permafrost regions are susceptible to catastrophic drainage. In this study, we reconstructed historical lake drainage events on the western Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska between 1955 and 2017 using USGS topographic maps, historical aerial photography (1955), and Lan...
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crwiley:10.1002/ppp.2038 2024-06-23T07:49:42+00:00 Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska Jones, Benjamin M. Arp, Christopher D. Grosse, Guido Nitze, Ingmar Lara, Mark J. Whitman, Matthew S. Farquharson, Louise M. Kanevskiy, Mikhail Parsekian, Andrew D. Breen, Amy L. Ohara, Nori Rangel, Rodrigo Correa Hinkel, Kenneth M. West Virginia Space Grant Consortium Arctic Landscape Conservation Cooperative European Space Agency H2020 European Research Council National Fish and Wildlife Foundation Office of Polar Programs 2020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2038 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fppp.2038 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ppp.2038 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/ppp.2038 en eng Wiley http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Permafrost and Periglacial Processes volume 31, issue 1, page 110-127 ISSN 1045-6740 1099-1530 journal-article 2020 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2038 2024-06-13T04:22:33Z Abstract Arctic lakes located in permafrost regions are susceptible to catastrophic drainage. In this study, we reconstructed historical lake drainage events on the western Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska between 1955 and 2017 using USGS topographic maps, historical aerial photography (1955), and Landsat Imagery (ca. 1975, ca. 2000, and annually since 2000). We identified 98 lakes larger than 10 ha that partially (>25% of area) or completely drained during the 62‐year period. Decadal‐scale lake drainage rates progressively declined from 2.0 lakes/yr (1955–1975), to 1.6 lakes/yr (1975–2000), and to 1.2 lakes/yr (2000–2017) in the ~30,000‐km 2 study area. Detailed Landsat trend analysis between 2000 and 2017 identified two years, 2004 and 2006, with a cluster (five or more) of lake drainages probably associated with bank overtopping or headward erosion. To identify future potential lake drainages, we combined the historical lake drainage observations with a geospatial dataset describing lake elevation, hydrologic connectivity, and adjacent lake margin topographic gradients developed with a 5‐m‐resolution digital surface model. We identified ~1900 lakes likely to be prone to drainage in the future. Of the 20 lakes that drained in the most recent study period, 85% were identified in this future lake drainage potential dataset. Our assessment of historical lake drainage magnitude, mechanisms and pathways, and identification of potential future lake drainages provides insights into how arctic lowland landscapes may change and evolve in the coming decades to centuries. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic permafrost Permafrost and Periglacial Processes Alaska Wiley Online Library Arctic Scale Lake ENVELOPE(78.174,78.174,-68.584,-68.584) Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 31 1 110 127 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Wiley Online Library |
op_collection_id |
crwiley |
language |
English |
description |
Abstract Arctic lakes located in permafrost regions are susceptible to catastrophic drainage. In this study, we reconstructed historical lake drainage events on the western Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska between 1955 and 2017 using USGS topographic maps, historical aerial photography (1955), and Landsat Imagery (ca. 1975, ca. 2000, and annually since 2000). We identified 98 lakes larger than 10 ha that partially (>25% of area) or completely drained during the 62‐year period. Decadal‐scale lake drainage rates progressively declined from 2.0 lakes/yr (1955–1975), to 1.6 lakes/yr (1975–2000), and to 1.2 lakes/yr (2000–2017) in the ~30,000‐km 2 study area. Detailed Landsat trend analysis between 2000 and 2017 identified two years, 2004 and 2006, with a cluster (five or more) of lake drainages probably associated with bank overtopping or headward erosion. To identify future potential lake drainages, we combined the historical lake drainage observations with a geospatial dataset describing lake elevation, hydrologic connectivity, and adjacent lake margin topographic gradients developed with a 5‐m‐resolution digital surface model. We identified ~1900 lakes likely to be prone to drainage in the future. Of the 20 lakes that drained in the most recent study period, 85% were identified in this future lake drainage potential dataset. Our assessment of historical lake drainage magnitude, mechanisms and pathways, and identification of potential future lake drainages provides insights into how arctic lowland landscapes may change and evolve in the coming decades to centuries. |
author2 |
West Virginia Space Grant Consortium Arctic Landscape Conservation Cooperative European Space Agency H2020 European Research Council National Fish and Wildlife Foundation Office of Polar Programs |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Jones, Benjamin M. Arp, Christopher D. Grosse, Guido Nitze, Ingmar Lara, Mark J. Whitman, Matthew S. Farquharson, Louise M. Kanevskiy, Mikhail Parsekian, Andrew D. Breen, Amy L. Ohara, Nori Rangel, Rodrigo Correa Hinkel, Kenneth M. |
spellingShingle |
Jones, Benjamin M. Arp, Christopher D. Grosse, Guido Nitze, Ingmar Lara, Mark J. Whitman, Matthew S. Farquharson, Louise M. Kanevskiy, Mikhail Parsekian, Andrew D. Breen, Amy L. Ohara, Nori Rangel, Rodrigo Correa Hinkel, Kenneth M. Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
author_facet |
Jones, Benjamin M. Arp, Christopher D. Grosse, Guido Nitze, Ingmar Lara, Mark J. Whitman, Matthew S. Farquharson, Louise M. Kanevskiy, Mikhail Parsekian, Andrew D. Breen, Amy L. Ohara, Nori Rangel, Rodrigo Correa Hinkel, Kenneth M. |
author_sort |
Jones, Benjamin M. |
title |
Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
title_short |
Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
title_full |
Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
title_fullStr |
Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
title_full_unstemmed |
Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska |
title_sort |
identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western arctic coastal plain of alaska |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2038 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fppp.2038 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ppp.2038 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/ppp.2038 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(78.174,78.174,-68.584,-68.584) |
geographic |
Arctic Scale Lake |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Scale Lake |
genre |
Arctic permafrost Permafrost and Periglacial Processes Alaska |
genre_facet |
Arctic permafrost Permafrost and Periglacial Processes Alaska |
op_source |
Permafrost and Periglacial Processes volume 31, issue 1, page 110-127 ISSN 1045-6740 1099-1530 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2038 |
container_title |
Permafrost and Periglacial Processes |
container_volume |
31 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
110 |
op_container_end_page |
127 |
_version_ |
1802640297356689408 |