Oceanic forcing of the global warming slowdown in multi‐model simulations
Abstract Concurrent with the slowdown of global warming during 2002–2013, the wintertime land surface air temperatures over Eurasia, North America, Africa, Australia, South America, and Greenland experienced notable cooling trends. The oceanic effects on the continental cooling trends are here inves...
Published in: | International Journal of Climatology |
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crwiley:10.1002/joc.6548 2024-06-02T08:07:30+00:00 Oceanic forcing of the global warming slowdown in multi‐model simulations Xu, Xinping He, Shengping Furevik, Tore Gao, Yongqi Wang, Huijun Li, Fei Ogawa, Fumiaki Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions 2020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.6548 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fjoc.6548 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6548 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/joc.6548 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6548 en eng Wiley http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ International Journal of Climatology volume 40, issue 14, page 5829-5842 ISSN 0899-8418 1097-0088 journal-article 2020 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6548 2024-05-03T11:44:22Z Abstract Concurrent with the slowdown of global warming during 2002–2013, the wintertime land surface air temperatures over Eurasia, North America, Africa, Australia, South America, and Greenland experienced notable cooling trends. The oceanic effects on the continental cooling trends are here investigated using two sets of uncoupled experiments with six different climate models. Daily and annually varying sea ice is prescribed for both sets of experiments, while daily and annually varying SST is used in the first set (EXP1) and daily and annually repeating climatological mean SST in the second set (EXP2). All six models capture the slowdown of global‐mean land surface air temperature during 2002–2013 winters in EXP1 only. The slowdown concurs with a negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), indicating that PDO plays an important role in modulating the global warming signal. Not all ensemble members capture the cooling trends over the continents, suggesting additional contribution from internal atmospheric variability. Article in Journal/Newspaper Greenland Sea ice Wiley Online Library Greenland Pacific International Journal of Climatology 40 14 5829 5842 |
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Wiley Online Library |
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English |
description |
Abstract Concurrent with the slowdown of global warming during 2002–2013, the wintertime land surface air temperatures over Eurasia, North America, Africa, Australia, South America, and Greenland experienced notable cooling trends. The oceanic effects on the continental cooling trends are here investigated using two sets of uncoupled experiments with six different climate models. Daily and annually varying sea ice is prescribed for both sets of experiments, while daily and annually varying SST is used in the first set (EXP1) and daily and annually repeating climatological mean SST in the second set (EXP2). All six models capture the slowdown of global‐mean land surface air temperature during 2002–2013 winters in EXP1 only. The slowdown concurs with a negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), indicating that PDO plays an important role in modulating the global warming signal. Not all ensemble members capture the cooling trends over the continents, suggesting additional contribution from internal atmospheric variability. |
author2 |
Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Xu, Xinping He, Shengping Furevik, Tore Gao, Yongqi Wang, Huijun Li, Fei Ogawa, Fumiaki |
spellingShingle |
Xu, Xinping He, Shengping Furevik, Tore Gao, Yongqi Wang, Huijun Li, Fei Ogawa, Fumiaki Oceanic forcing of the global warming slowdown in multi‐model simulations |
author_facet |
Xu, Xinping He, Shengping Furevik, Tore Gao, Yongqi Wang, Huijun Li, Fei Ogawa, Fumiaki |
author_sort |
Xu, Xinping |
title |
Oceanic forcing of the global warming slowdown in multi‐model simulations |
title_short |
Oceanic forcing of the global warming slowdown in multi‐model simulations |
title_full |
Oceanic forcing of the global warming slowdown in multi‐model simulations |
title_fullStr |
Oceanic forcing of the global warming slowdown in multi‐model simulations |
title_full_unstemmed |
Oceanic forcing of the global warming slowdown in multi‐model simulations |
title_sort |
oceanic forcing of the global warming slowdown in multi‐model simulations |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.6548 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fjoc.6548 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6548 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/joc.6548 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6548 |
geographic |
Greenland Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Greenland Pacific |
genre |
Greenland Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Greenland Sea ice |
op_source |
International Journal of Climatology volume 40, issue 14, page 5829-5842 ISSN 0899-8418 1097-0088 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6548 |
container_title |
International Journal of Climatology |
container_volume |
40 |
container_issue |
14 |
container_start_page |
5829 |
op_container_end_page |
5842 |
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1800752596269400064 |