More robust changes in the East Asian winter monsoon from 1.5 to 2.0°C global warming targets
Abstract This study investigates changes in the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) under 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming (1.5 and 2.0GW) targets using multi‐model results from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5). It is found that the surface air temperature increases over the Asian...
Published in: | International Journal of Climatology |
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crwiley:10.1002/joc.6485 2024-06-23T07:45:14+00:00 More robust changes in the East Asian winter monsoon from 1.5 to 2.0°C global warming targets Miao, Jiapeng Wang, Tao Chen, Dong 2020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.6485 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fjoc.6485 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6485 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/joc.6485 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6485 en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor International Journal of Climatology volume 40, issue 11, page 4731-4749 ISSN 0899-8418 1097-0088 journal-article 2020 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6485 2024-06-06T04:22:13Z Abstract This study investigates changes in the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) under 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming (1.5 and 2.0GW) targets using multi‐model results from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5). It is found that the surface air temperature increases over the Asian continent and Pacific, and the precipitation increases over the northern Asian continent in winter during the 1.5 and 2.0GW periods. For the 1.5GW period, large uncertainties can be found in the projection of EAWM system members (i.e., Siberian high, Aleutian low, low‐level winds over eastern Asia, East Asian trough [EAT] and East Asian jet stream [EAJS]). For the 2.0GW period, more than two‐thirds of the models show that the Siberian high, the EAT and the meridional shear of the EAJS are weakened, but the Aleutian low is intensified. In addition, the intensified Aleutian low enhances low‐level northwesterly wind along the coast of northeastern Asia. Compared to those in the 1.5GW period, the EAWM system members show more robust changes during the 2.0GW period, except for the low‐level winds at mid‐latitude eastern Asia. These conclusions are suitable for both the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Article in Journal/Newspaper aleutian low Wiley Online Library Pacific International Journal of Climatology 40 11 4731 4749 |
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crwiley |
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English |
description |
Abstract This study investigates changes in the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) under 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming (1.5 and 2.0GW) targets using multi‐model results from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5). It is found that the surface air temperature increases over the Asian continent and Pacific, and the precipitation increases over the northern Asian continent in winter during the 1.5 and 2.0GW periods. For the 1.5GW period, large uncertainties can be found in the projection of EAWM system members (i.e., Siberian high, Aleutian low, low‐level winds over eastern Asia, East Asian trough [EAT] and East Asian jet stream [EAJS]). For the 2.0GW period, more than two‐thirds of the models show that the Siberian high, the EAT and the meridional shear of the EAJS are weakened, but the Aleutian low is intensified. In addition, the intensified Aleutian low enhances low‐level northwesterly wind along the coast of northeastern Asia. Compared to those in the 1.5GW period, the EAWM system members show more robust changes during the 2.0GW period, except for the low‐level winds at mid‐latitude eastern Asia. These conclusions are suitable for both the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Miao, Jiapeng Wang, Tao Chen, Dong |
spellingShingle |
Miao, Jiapeng Wang, Tao Chen, Dong More robust changes in the East Asian winter monsoon from 1.5 to 2.0°C global warming targets |
author_facet |
Miao, Jiapeng Wang, Tao Chen, Dong |
author_sort |
Miao, Jiapeng |
title |
More robust changes in the East Asian winter monsoon from 1.5 to 2.0°C global warming targets |
title_short |
More robust changes in the East Asian winter monsoon from 1.5 to 2.0°C global warming targets |
title_full |
More robust changes in the East Asian winter monsoon from 1.5 to 2.0°C global warming targets |
title_fullStr |
More robust changes in the East Asian winter monsoon from 1.5 to 2.0°C global warming targets |
title_full_unstemmed |
More robust changes in the East Asian winter monsoon from 1.5 to 2.0°C global warming targets |
title_sort |
more robust changes in the east asian winter monsoon from 1.5 to 2.0°c global warming targets |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.6485 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fjoc.6485 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6485 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/joc.6485 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6485 |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
aleutian low |
genre_facet |
aleutian low |
op_source |
International Journal of Climatology volume 40, issue 11, page 4731-4749 ISSN 0899-8418 1097-0088 |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6485 |
container_title |
International Journal of Climatology |
container_volume |
40 |
container_issue |
11 |
container_start_page |
4731 |
op_container_end_page |
4749 |
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1802638410778673152 |