The key role of decadal modulated oscillation in recent cold phase
Abstract Global temperature change is strongly affected by internal climate variability (ICV). The temporal change of the ICV on the decadal to multi‐decadal scales is referred as the decadal modulated oscillation (DMO) that plays a dominated role in the occurrence of enhanced warming and warming hi...
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crwiley:10.1002/joc.6186 2024-06-02T08:02:24+00:00 The key role of decadal modulated oscillation in recent cold phase Luo, Wen Guan, Xiaodan Xie, Yongkun Liu, Jingchen Zhou, Yubin Zhang, Beidou National Natural Science Foundation of China 2019 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.6186 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6186 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/joc.6186 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6186 en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor International Journal of Climatology volume 39, issue 15, page 5761-5770 ISSN 0899-8418 1097-0088 journal-article 2019 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6186 2024-05-03T11:44:22Z Abstract Global temperature change is strongly affected by internal climate variability (ICV). The temporal change of the ICV on the decadal to multi‐decadal scales is referred as the decadal modulated oscillation (DMO) that plays a dominated role in the occurrence of enhanced warming and warming hiatus. However, investigation on the DMO in modern historical period has received limited attention. In this study, the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method was applied to the surface air temperature (SAT) during the boreal cold season to extract the DMO signal in the past century. Two most sensitive areas of DMO trend over northern Eurasia and northwestern North America were identified and used to build a time series of regionally enhanced DMO. It showed an obvious decadal periodic oscillation at 11–23 years and exhibited increasing amplitude. In addition, regression analysis using Niño3.4, Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), Atlantic Multi‐decadal Oscillation (AMO), and Arctic Oscillation (AO) revealed a major role of the AO in DMO over the mid‐to‐high latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere (NH). However, such strong oscillation signal has not been detected in most of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) models, and the extracted regionally enhanced DMO are capable of improving the predictability of SAT over the mid‐to‐high latitudes in the NH. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Wiley Online Library Arctic Pacific International Journal of Climatology 39 15 5761 5770 |
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Open Polar |
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Wiley Online Library |
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crwiley |
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English |
description |
Abstract Global temperature change is strongly affected by internal climate variability (ICV). The temporal change of the ICV on the decadal to multi‐decadal scales is referred as the decadal modulated oscillation (DMO) that plays a dominated role in the occurrence of enhanced warming and warming hiatus. However, investigation on the DMO in modern historical period has received limited attention. In this study, the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method was applied to the surface air temperature (SAT) during the boreal cold season to extract the DMO signal in the past century. Two most sensitive areas of DMO trend over northern Eurasia and northwestern North America were identified and used to build a time series of regionally enhanced DMO. It showed an obvious decadal periodic oscillation at 11–23 years and exhibited increasing amplitude. In addition, regression analysis using Niño3.4, Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), Atlantic Multi‐decadal Oscillation (AMO), and Arctic Oscillation (AO) revealed a major role of the AO in DMO over the mid‐to‐high latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere (NH). However, such strong oscillation signal has not been detected in most of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) models, and the extracted regionally enhanced DMO are capable of improving the predictability of SAT over the mid‐to‐high latitudes in the NH. |
author2 |
National Natural Science Foundation of China |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Luo, Wen Guan, Xiaodan Xie, Yongkun Liu, Jingchen Zhou, Yubin Zhang, Beidou |
spellingShingle |
Luo, Wen Guan, Xiaodan Xie, Yongkun Liu, Jingchen Zhou, Yubin Zhang, Beidou The key role of decadal modulated oscillation in recent cold phase |
author_facet |
Luo, Wen Guan, Xiaodan Xie, Yongkun Liu, Jingchen Zhou, Yubin Zhang, Beidou |
author_sort |
Luo, Wen |
title |
The key role of decadal modulated oscillation in recent cold phase |
title_short |
The key role of decadal modulated oscillation in recent cold phase |
title_full |
The key role of decadal modulated oscillation in recent cold phase |
title_fullStr |
The key role of decadal modulated oscillation in recent cold phase |
title_full_unstemmed |
The key role of decadal modulated oscillation in recent cold phase |
title_sort |
key role of decadal modulated oscillation in recent cold phase |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.6186 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6186 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/joc.6186 https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.6186 |
geographic |
Arctic Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Pacific |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
International Journal of Climatology volume 39, issue 15, page 5761-5770 ISSN 0899-8418 1097-0088 |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6186 |
container_title |
International Journal of Climatology |
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39 |
container_issue |
15 |
container_start_page |
5761 |
op_container_end_page |
5770 |
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1800746898876792832 |