Predictability of the wintertime Arctic Oscillation based on autumn circulation

• Published in: International Journal of Climatology
• Main Authors: Kryjov, Vladimir N., Min, Young‐Mi
• Other Authors: APEC Climate Center
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: Wiley 2016
• Subjects: Taymyr; Taymyr Peninsula
• Online Access: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4616; https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fjoc.4616; https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/joc.4616

ABSTRACT A statistical method for 1‐month lead prediction of the wintertime Arctic Oscillation ( AO ) is suggested in the study. Predictors, independently constructed for each forecast based on October geopotential height of the 500 hPa surface ( Z500 ), indicate that the strongest impact of October...