Recursive Bayesian computation facilitates adaptive optimal design in ecological studies
Abstract Optimal design procedures provide a framework to leverage the learning generated by ecological models to flexibly and efficiently deploy future monitoring efforts. At the same time, Bayesian hierarchical models have become widespread in ecology and offer a rich set of tools for ecological l...
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/am-pdf/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ecy.3573 |
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crwiley:10.1002/ecy.3573 2024-09-15T18:07:34+00:00 Recursive Bayesian computation facilitates adaptive optimal design in ecological studies Leach, Clinton B. Williams, Perry J. Eisaguirre, Joseph M. Womble, Jamie N. Bower, Michael R. Hooten, Mevin B. National Science Foundation 2021 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/am-pdf/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ecy.3573 en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#am http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor Ecology volume 103, issue 2 ISSN 0012-9658 1939-9170 journal-article 2021 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3573 2024-07-04T04:29:18Z Abstract Optimal design procedures provide a framework to leverage the learning generated by ecological models to flexibly and efficiently deploy future monitoring efforts. At the same time, Bayesian hierarchical models have become widespread in ecology and offer a rich set of tools for ecological learning and inference. However, coupling these methods with an optimal design framework can become computationally intractable. Recursive Bayesian computation offers a way to substantially reduce this computational burden, making optimal design accessible for modern Bayesian ecological models. We demonstrate the application of so‐called prior‐proposal recursive Bayes to optimal design using a simulated data binary regression and the real‐world example of monitoring and modeling sea otters in Glacier Bay, Alaska. These examples highlight the computational gains offered by recursive Bayesian methods and the tighter fusion of monitoring and science that those computational gains enable. Article in Journal/Newspaper glacier Alaska Wiley Online Library Ecology 103 2 |
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Wiley Online Library |
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English |
description |
Abstract Optimal design procedures provide a framework to leverage the learning generated by ecological models to flexibly and efficiently deploy future monitoring efforts. At the same time, Bayesian hierarchical models have become widespread in ecology and offer a rich set of tools for ecological learning and inference. However, coupling these methods with an optimal design framework can become computationally intractable. Recursive Bayesian computation offers a way to substantially reduce this computational burden, making optimal design accessible for modern Bayesian ecological models. We demonstrate the application of so‐called prior‐proposal recursive Bayes to optimal design using a simulated data binary regression and the real‐world example of monitoring and modeling sea otters in Glacier Bay, Alaska. These examples highlight the computational gains offered by recursive Bayesian methods and the tighter fusion of monitoring and science that those computational gains enable. |
author2 |
National Science Foundation |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Leach, Clinton B. Williams, Perry J. Eisaguirre, Joseph M. Womble, Jamie N. Bower, Michael R. Hooten, Mevin B. |
spellingShingle |
Leach, Clinton B. Williams, Perry J. Eisaguirre, Joseph M. Womble, Jamie N. Bower, Michael R. Hooten, Mevin B. Recursive Bayesian computation facilitates adaptive optimal design in ecological studies |
author_facet |
Leach, Clinton B. Williams, Perry J. Eisaguirre, Joseph M. Womble, Jamie N. Bower, Michael R. Hooten, Mevin B. |
author_sort |
Leach, Clinton B. |
title |
Recursive Bayesian computation facilitates adaptive optimal design in ecological studies |
title_short |
Recursive Bayesian computation facilitates adaptive optimal design in ecological studies |
title_full |
Recursive Bayesian computation facilitates adaptive optimal design in ecological studies |
title_fullStr |
Recursive Bayesian computation facilitates adaptive optimal design in ecological studies |
title_full_unstemmed |
Recursive Bayesian computation facilitates adaptive optimal design in ecological studies |
title_sort |
recursive bayesian computation facilitates adaptive optimal design in ecological studies |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/am-pdf/10.1002/ecy.3573 https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ecy.3573 |
genre |
glacier Alaska |
genre_facet |
glacier Alaska |
op_source |
Ecology volume 103, issue 2 ISSN 0012-9658 1939-9170 |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#am http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3573 |
container_title |
Ecology |
container_volume |
103 |
container_issue |
2 |
_version_ |
1810444955178500096 |