Estimation of metapopulation colonization rates from disturbance history and occurrence‐pattern data
Abstract Occurrence patterns of many sessile species in dynamic landscapes are not in equilibrium due to their slow rates of metapopulation colonization and extinction. Colonization–extinction data enable the estimation of colonization rates for such species, but collecting the necessary data may re...
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crwiley:10.1002/ecy.2814 2024-06-02T08:06:32+00:00 Estimation of metapopulation colonization rates from disturbance history and occurrence‐pattern data Fabritius, H. Singer, A. Pennanen, J. Snäll, T. 2019 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2814 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ecy.2814 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/ecy.2814 https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ecy.2814 en eng Wiley http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor Ecology volume 100, issue 10 ISSN 0012-9658 1939-9170 journal-article 2019 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2814 2024-05-03T11:52:42Z Abstract Occurrence patterns of many sessile species in dynamic landscapes are not in equilibrium due to their slow rates of metapopulation colonization and extinction. Colonization–extinction data enable the estimation of colonization rates for such species, but collecting the necessary data may require long waiting times between sampling years. Methods for estimating colonization rates of nonequilibrium metapopulations from single occurrence‐pattern data have so far relied on additional data on patch ages and on past patch connectivities. We present an approach where metapopulation colonization rates are estimated from occurrence‐pattern data and from disturbance history data that inform of past patch dynamics and that can be collected together with occurrence‐pattern data. We estimated parameter values regulating patch and metapopulation dynamics by simulating patch network and metapopulation histories that result in present‐like patch network configurations and metapopulation occurrence patterns. We tested our approach using occurrence‐pattern data of the epiphytic lichen Lobaria pulmonaria in Fennoscandian forests, and fire‐scar data that inform of the 400‐yr history of fires and host tree dynamics in the same landscapes. The estimated model parameters were similar to estimates obtained using colonization–extinction data. The projected L. pulmonaria occupancy into the future also agreed with the respective projections that were made using the model estimated from colonization–extinction data. Our approach accelerates the estimation of metapopulation colonization rates for sessile species that are not in metapopulation equilibrium with the current landscape structure. Article in Journal/Newspaper Fennoscandian Wiley Online Library Ecology 100 10 |
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Wiley Online Library |
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English |
description |
Abstract Occurrence patterns of many sessile species in dynamic landscapes are not in equilibrium due to their slow rates of metapopulation colonization and extinction. Colonization–extinction data enable the estimation of colonization rates for such species, but collecting the necessary data may require long waiting times between sampling years. Methods for estimating colonization rates of nonequilibrium metapopulations from single occurrence‐pattern data have so far relied on additional data on patch ages and on past patch connectivities. We present an approach where metapopulation colonization rates are estimated from occurrence‐pattern data and from disturbance history data that inform of past patch dynamics and that can be collected together with occurrence‐pattern data. We estimated parameter values regulating patch and metapopulation dynamics by simulating patch network and metapopulation histories that result in present‐like patch network configurations and metapopulation occurrence patterns. We tested our approach using occurrence‐pattern data of the epiphytic lichen Lobaria pulmonaria in Fennoscandian forests, and fire‐scar data that inform of the 400‐yr history of fires and host tree dynamics in the same landscapes. The estimated model parameters were similar to estimates obtained using colonization–extinction data. The projected L. pulmonaria occupancy into the future also agreed with the respective projections that were made using the model estimated from colonization–extinction data. Our approach accelerates the estimation of metapopulation colonization rates for sessile species that are not in metapopulation equilibrium with the current landscape structure. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Fabritius, H. Singer, A. Pennanen, J. Snäll, T. |
spellingShingle |
Fabritius, H. Singer, A. Pennanen, J. Snäll, T. Estimation of metapopulation colonization rates from disturbance history and occurrence‐pattern data |
author_facet |
Fabritius, H. Singer, A. Pennanen, J. Snäll, T. |
author_sort |
Fabritius, H. |
title |
Estimation of metapopulation colonization rates from disturbance history and occurrence‐pattern data |
title_short |
Estimation of metapopulation colonization rates from disturbance history and occurrence‐pattern data |
title_full |
Estimation of metapopulation colonization rates from disturbance history and occurrence‐pattern data |
title_fullStr |
Estimation of metapopulation colonization rates from disturbance history and occurrence‐pattern data |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimation of metapopulation colonization rates from disturbance history and occurrence‐pattern data |
title_sort |
estimation of metapopulation colonization rates from disturbance history and occurrence‐pattern data |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2814 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ecy.2814 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/ecy.2814 https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ecy.2814 |
genre |
Fennoscandian |
genre_facet |
Fennoscandian |
op_source |
Ecology volume 100, issue 10 ISSN 0012-9658 1939-9170 |
op_rights |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2814 |
container_title |
Ecology |
container_volume |
100 |
container_issue |
10 |
_version_ |
1800751493014355968 |