Paleodistribution modeling suggests glacial refugia in Scandinavia and out‐of‐Tibet range expansion of the Arctic fox
Abstract Quaternary glacial cycles have shaped the geographic distributions and evolution of numerous species in the Arctic. Ancient DNA suggests that the Arctic fox went extinct in Europe at the end of the Pleistocene and that Scandinavia was subsequently recolonized from Siberia, indicating inabil...
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crwiley:10.1002/ece3.1859 2024-06-02T08:00:09+00:00 Paleodistribution modeling suggests glacial refugia in Scandinavia and out‐of‐Tibet range expansion of the Arctic fox Fuentes‐Hurtado, Marcelo Hof, Anouschka R. Jansson, Roland Seventh Framework Programme 2015 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.1859 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fece3.1859 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ece3.1859 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/ece3.1859 en eng Wiley http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Ecology and Evolution volume 6, issue 1, page 170-180 ISSN 2045-7758 2045-7758 journal-article 2015 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.1859 2024-05-03T11:09:04Z Abstract Quaternary glacial cycles have shaped the geographic distributions and evolution of numerous species in the Arctic. Ancient DNA suggests that the Arctic fox went extinct in Europe at the end of the Pleistocene and that Scandinavia was subsequently recolonized from Siberia, indicating inability to track its habitat through space as climate changed. Using ecological niche modeling, we found that climatically suitable conditions for Arctic fox were found in Scandinavia both during the last glacial maximum ( LGM ) and the mid‐Holocene. Our results are supported by fossil occurrences from the last glacial. Furthermore, the model projection for the LGM , validated with fossil records, suggested an approximate distance of 2000 km between suitable Arctic conditions and the Tibetan Plateau well within the dispersal distance of the species, supporting the recently proposed hypothesis of range expansion from an origin on the Tibetan Plateau to the rest of Eurasia. The fact that the Arctic fox disappeared from Scandinavia despite suitable conditions suggests that extant populations may be more sensitive to climate change than previously thought. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Fox Arctic Climate change Siberia Wiley Online Library Arctic Ecology and Evolution 6 1 170 180 |
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English |
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Abstract Quaternary glacial cycles have shaped the geographic distributions and evolution of numerous species in the Arctic. Ancient DNA suggests that the Arctic fox went extinct in Europe at the end of the Pleistocene and that Scandinavia was subsequently recolonized from Siberia, indicating inability to track its habitat through space as climate changed. Using ecological niche modeling, we found that climatically suitable conditions for Arctic fox were found in Scandinavia both during the last glacial maximum ( LGM ) and the mid‐Holocene. Our results are supported by fossil occurrences from the last glacial. Furthermore, the model projection for the LGM , validated with fossil records, suggested an approximate distance of 2000 km between suitable Arctic conditions and the Tibetan Plateau well within the dispersal distance of the species, supporting the recently proposed hypothesis of range expansion from an origin on the Tibetan Plateau to the rest of Eurasia. The fact that the Arctic fox disappeared from Scandinavia despite suitable conditions suggests that extant populations may be more sensitive to climate change than previously thought. |
author2 |
Seventh Framework Programme |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Fuentes‐Hurtado, Marcelo Hof, Anouschka R. Jansson, Roland |
spellingShingle |
Fuentes‐Hurtado, Marcelo Hof, Anouschka R. Jansson, Roland Paleodistribution modeling suggests glacial refugia in Scandinavia and out‐of‐Tibet range expansion of the Arctic fox |
author_facet |
Fuentes‐Hurtado, Marcelo Hof, Anouschka R. Jansson, Roland |
author_sort |
Fuentes‐Hurtado, Marcelo |
title |
Paleodistribution modeling suggests glacial refugia in Scandinavia and out‐of‐Tibet range expansion of the Arctic fox |
title_short |
Paleodistribution modeling suggests glacial refugia in Scandinavia and out‐of‐Tibet range expansion of the Arctic fox |
title_full |
Paleodistribution modeling suggests glacial refugia in Scandinavia and out‐of‐Tibet range expansion of the Arctic fox |
title_fullStr |
Paleodistribution modeling suggests glacial refugia in Scandinavia and out‐of‐Tibet range expansion of the Arctic fox |
title_full_unstemmed |
Paleodistribution modeling suggests glacial refugia in Scandinavia and out‐of‐Tibet range expansion of the Arctic fox |
title_sort |
paleodistribution modeling suggests glacial refugia in scandinavia and out‐of‐tibet range expansion of the arctic fox |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.1859 https://api.wiley.com/onlinelibrary/tdm/v1/articles/10.1002%2Fece3.1859 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ece3.1859 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full-xml/10.1002/ece3.1859 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Fox Arctic Climate change Siberia |
genre_facet |
Arctic Fox Arctic Climate change Siberia |
op_source |
Ecology and Evolution volume 6, issue 1, page 170-180 ISSN 2045-7758 2045-7758 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.1859 |
container_title |
Ecology and Evolution |
container_volume |
6 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
170 |
op_container_end_page |
180 |
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1800744164492574720 |