A metric‐based framework for climate‐smart conservation planning
Abstract Climate change is already having profound effects on biodiversity, but climate change adaptation has yet to be fully incorporated into area‐based management tools used to conserve biodiversity, such as protected areas. One main obstacle is the lack of consensus regarding how impacts of clim...
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/eap.2852 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/eap.2852 https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/eap.2852 |
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crwiley:10.1002/eap.2852 2024-06-02T08:12:38+00:00 A metric‐based framework for climate‐smart conservation planning Buenafe, Kristine Camille V. Dunn, Daniel C. Everett, Jason D. Brito‐Morales, Isaac Schoeman, David S. Hanson, Jeffrey O. Dabalà, Alvise Neubert, Sandra Cannicci, Stefano Kaschner, Kristin Richardson, Anthony J. National Science Foundation 2023 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/eap.2852 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/eap.2852 https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/eap.2852 en eng Wiley http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ Ecological Applications volume 33, issue 4 ISSN 1051-0761 1939-5582 journal-article 2023 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2852 2024-05-03T11:04:16Z Abstract Climate change is already having profound effects on biodiversity, but climate change adaptation has yet to be fully incorporated into area‐based management tools used to conserve biodiversity, such as protected areas. One main obstacle is the lack of consensus regarding how impacts of climate change can be included in spatial conservation plans. We propose a climate‐smart framework that prioritizes the protection of climate refugia—areas of low climate exposure and high biodiversity retention—using climate metrics. We explore four aspects of climate‐smart conservation planning: (1) climate model ensembles; (2) multiple emission scenarios; (3) climate metrics; and (4) approaches to identifying climate refugia. We illustrate this framework in the Western Pacific Ocean, but it is equally applicable to terrestrial systems. We found that all aspects of climate‐smart conservation planning considered affected the configuration of spatial plans. The choice of climate metrics and approaches to identifying refugia have large effects in the resulting climate‐smart spatial plans, whereas the choice of climate models and emission scenarios have smaller effects. As the configuration of spatial plans depended on climate metrics used, a spatial plan based on a single measure of climate change (e.g., warming) will not necessarily be robust against other measures of climate change (e.g., ocean acidification). We therefore recommend using climate metrics most relevant for the biodiversity and region considered based on a single or multiple climate drivers. To include the uncertainty associated with different climate futures, we recommend using multiple climate models (i.e., an ensemble) and emission scenarios. Finally, we show that the approaches we used to identify climate refugia feature trade‐offs between: (1) the degree to which they are climate‐smart, and (2) their efficiency in meeting conservation targets. Hence, the choice of approach will depend on the relative value that stakeholders place on climate ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Ocean acidification Wiley Online Library Pacific Ecological Applications 33 4 |
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Wiley Online Library |
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crwiley |
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English |
description |
Abstract Climate change is already having profound effects on biodiversity, but climate change adaptation has yet to be fully incorporated into area‐based management tools used to conserve biodiversity, such as protected areas. One main obstacle is the lack of consensus regarding how impacts of climate change can be included in spatial conservation plans. We propose a climate‐smart framework that prioritizes the protection of climate refugia—areas of low climate exposure and high biodiversity retention—using climate metrics. We explore four aspects of climate‐smart conservation planning: (1) climate model ensembles; (2) multiple emission scenarios; (3) climate metrics; and (4) approaches to identifying climate refugia. We illustrate this framework in the Western Pacific Ocean, but it is equally applicable to terrestrial systems. We found that all aspects of climate‐smart conservation planning considered affected the configuration of spatial plans. The choice of climate metrics and approaches to identifying refugia have large effects in the resulting climate‐smart spatial plans, whereas the choice of climate models and emission scenarios have smaller effects. As the configuration of spatial plans depended on climate metrics used, a spatial plan based on a single measure of climate change (e.g., warming) will not necessarily be robust against other measures of climate change (e.g., ocean acidification). We therefore recommend using climate metrics most relevant for the biodiversity and region considered based on a single or multiple climate drivers. To include the uncertainty associated with different climate futures, we recommend using multiple climate models (i.e., an ensemble) and emission scenarios. Finally, we show that the approaches we used to identify climate refugia feature trade‐offs between: (1) the degree to which they are climate‐smart, and (2) their efficiency in meeting conservation targets. Hence, the choice of approach will depend on the relative value that stakeholders place on climate ... |
author2 |
National Science Foundation |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Buenafe, Kristine Camille V. Dunn, Daniel C. Everett, Jason D. Brito‐Morales, Isaac Schoeman, David S. Hanson, Jeffrey O. Dabalà, Alvise Neubert, Sandra Cannicci, Stefano Kaschner, Kristin Richardson, Anthony J. |
spellingShingle |
Buenafe, Kristine Camille V. Dunn, Daniel C. Everett, Jason D. Brito‐Morales, Isaac Schoeman, David S. Hanson, Jeffrey O. Dabalà, Alvise Neubert, Sandra Cannicci, Stefano Kaschner, Kristin Richardson, Anthony J. A metric‐based framework for climate‐smart conservation planning |
author_facet |
Buenafe, Kristine Camille V. Dunn, Daniel C. Everett, Jason D. Brito‐Morales, Isaac Schoeman, David S. Hanson, Jeffrey O. Dabalà, Alvise Neubert, Sandra Cannicci, Stefano Kaschner, Kristin Richardson, Anthony J. |
author_sort |
Buenafe, Kristine Camille V. |
title |
A metric‐based framework for climate‐smart conservation planning |
title_short |
A metric‐based framework for climate‐smart conservation planning |
title_full |
A metric‐based framework for climate‐smart conservation planning |
title_fullStr |
A metric‐based framework for climate‐smart conservation planning |
title_full_unstemmed |
A metric‐based framework for climate‐smart conservation planning |
title_sort |
metric‐based framework for climate‐smart conservation planning |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/eap.2852 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/eap.2852 https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/eap.2852 |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
Ocean acidification |
genre_facet |
Ocean acidification |
op_source |
Ecological Applications volume 33, issue 4 ISSN 1051-0761 1939-5582 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2852 |
container_title |
Ecological Applications |
container_volume |
33 |
container_issue |
4 |
_version_ |
1800759134168023040 |