Fuzzy cognitive mapping as a tool to assess the relative cumulative effects of environmental stressors on an Arctic seabird population to identify conservation action and research priorities
Abstract In the Arctic, chemical contaminants, shipping, oil pollution, plastic pollution, changing habitats in relation to climate change and fisheries have been identified as environmental stressors to seabirds such as Fulmarus glacialis (northern fulmar; qaqulluk; ᖃᖁᓪᓗᖅ), but rarely have these st...
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crwiley:10.1002/2688-8319.12241 2024-09-15T18:02:29+00:00 Fuzzy cognitive mapping as a tool to assess the relative cumulative effects of environmental stressors on an Arctic seabird population to identify conservation action and research priorities Rooney, Rebecca C. Daniel, Jody Mallory, Mark Hedd, April Ives, Jess Gilchrist, Grant Gjerdrum, Carina Robertson, Greg Ronconi, Rob Wilcox, Kirsten Wong, Sarah Provencher, Jennifer 2023 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12241 https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/2688-8319.12241 en eng Wiley http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Ecological Solutions and Evidence volume 4, issue 2 ISSN 2688-8319 2688-8319 journal-article 2023 crwiley https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12241 2024-08-15T04:21:20Z Abstract In the Arctic, chemical contaminants, shipping, oil pollution, plastic pollution, changing habitats in relation to climate change and fisheries have been identified as environmental stressors to seabirds such as Fulmarus glacialis (northern fulmar; qaqulluk; ᖃᖁᓪᓗᖅ), but rarely have these stressors been considered within a cumulative effects framework in this species which is currently showing a declining populations trend. As a novel tool to understand cumulative effects within a conservation context, we applied a fuzzy cognitive mapping (FCM) approach that allows experts to arrange key factors and their interrelationships, organizing their understanding of the components of a complex issue into a graphical representation; a ‘cognitive map’. This process was grounded in local environment concerns as documented in several Nunavut‐specific reports and discussions, and worked with western‐trained seabird experts with knowledge of northern fulmar populations to assess the inter‐related environmental threats to fulmars as a way to combine these stressors in a cumulative effects framework and identify conservation actions and knowledge gaps. We found strong agreement that the main stressors affecting northern fulmar populations in Canada include pollution (11% total influence (TI)), shipping activities (16% TI), hunting and fishing (18% TI) and mining/oil and gas exploitation activities (22% TI). The indirect influence of threats on northern fulmar population size (57% TI) exceeded the total direct influence (43% TI), emphasizing the value of cognitive mapping in cumulative effects assessment for a more holistic understanding of interacting stressors. Participants expressed substantial uncertainty regarding the strong relationships leading from the concepts, commercial fishing activity in the BBDS and the North Atlantic fisheries activity, indicating that these potential stressors require more research. Similarly, uncertainty was expressed about the potential effects of zodiac traffic, ship strikes of ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Climate change Fulmarus glacialis North Atlantic Northern Fulmar Nunavut Wiley Online Library Ecological Solutions and Evidence 4 2 |
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Wiley Online Library |
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English |
description |
Abstract In the Arctic, chemical contaminants, shipping, oil pollution, plastic pollution, changing habitats in relation to climate change and fisheries have been identified as environmental stressors to seabirds such as Fulmarus glacialis (northern fulmar; qaqulluk; ᖃᖁᓪᓗᖅ), but rarely have these stressors been considered within a cumulative effects framework in this species which is currently showing a declining populations trend. As a novel tool to understand cumulative effects within a conservation context, we applied a fuzzy cognitive mapping (FCM) approach that allows experts to arrange key factors and their interrelationships, organizing their understanding of the components of a complex issue into a graphical representation; a ‘cognitive map’. This process was grounded in local environment concerns as documented in several Nunavut‐specific reports and discussions, and worked with western‐trained seabird experts with knowledge of northern fulmar populations to assess the inter‐related environmental threats to fulmars as a way to combine these stressors in a cumulative effects framework and identify conservation actions and knowledge gaps. We found strong agreement that the main stressors affecting northern fulmar populations in Canada include pollution (11% total influence (TI)), shipping activities (16% TI), hunting and fishing (18% TI) and mining/oil and gas exploitation activities (22% TI). The indirect influence of threats on northern fulmar population size (57% TI) exceeded the total direct influence (43% TI), emphasizing the value of cognitive mapping in cumulative effects assessment for a more holistic understanding of interacting stressors. Participants expressed substantial uncertainty regarding the strong relationships leading from the concepts, commercial fishing activity in the BBDS and the North Atlantic fisheries activity, indicating that these potential stressors require more research. Similarly, uncertainty was expressed about the potential effects of zodiac traffic, ship strikes of ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Rooney, Rebecca C. Daniel, Jody Mallory, Mark Hedd, April Ives, Jess Gilchrist, Grant Gjerdrum, Carina Robertson, Greg Ronconi, Rob Wilcox, Kirsten Wong, Sarah Provencher, Jennifer |
spellingShingle |
Rooney, Rebecca C. Daniel, Jody Mallory, Mark Hedd, April Ives, Jess Gilchrist, Grant Gjerdrum, Carina Robertson, Greg Ronconi, Rob Wilcox, Kirsten Wong, Sarah Provencher, Jennifer Fuzzy cognitive mapping as a tool to assess the relative cumulative effects of environmental stressors on an Arctic seabird population to identify conservation action and research priorities |
author_facet |
Rooney, Rebecca C. Daniel, Jody Mallory, Mark Hedd, April Ives, Jess Gilchrist, Grant Gjerdrum, Carina Robertson, Greg Ronconi, Rob Wilcox, Kirsten Wong, Sarah Provencher, Jennifer |
author_sort |
Rooney, Rebecca C. |
title |
Fuzzy cognitive mapping as a tool to assess the relative cumulative effects of environmental stressors on an Arctic seabird population to identify conservation action and research priorities |
title_short |
Fuzzy cognitive mapping as a tool to assess the relative cumulative effects of environmental stressors on an Arctic seabird population to identify conservation action and research priorities |
title_full |
Fuzzy cognitive mapping as a tool to assess the relative cumulative effects of environmental stressors on an Arctic seabird population to identify conservation action and research priorities |
title_fullStr |
Fuzzy cognitive mapping as a tool to assess the relative cumulative effects of environmental stressors on an Arctic seabird population to identify conservation action and research priorities |
title_full_unstemmed |
Fuzzy cognitive mapping as a tool to assess the relative cumulative effects of environmental stressors on an Arctic seabird population to identify conservation action and research priorities |
title_sort |
fuzzy cognitive mapping as a tool to assess the relative cumulative effects of environmental stressors on an arctic seabird population to identify conservation action and research priorities |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12241 https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/2688-8319.12241 |
genre |
Climate change Fulmarus glacialis North Atlantic Northern Fulmar Nunavut |
genre_facet |
Climate change Fulmarus glacialis North Atlantic Northern Fulmar Nunavut |
op_source |
Ecological Solutions and Evidence volume 4, issue 2 ISSN 2688-8319 2688-8319 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12241 |
container_title |
Ecological Solutions and Evidence |
container_volume |
4 |
container_issue |
2 |
_version_ |
1810439942614024192 |