RISK ANALYSIS OF OFFSHORE TRANSPORTATION ACCIDENT IN ARCTIC WATERS
A methodology for risk analysis applicable to shipping in arctic waters is introduced. This methodology uses the Bowtie relationship to represent an accident causes and consequences. It is further used to quantify the probability of a ship accident and also the related accident consequences during n...
Published in: | International Journal of Maritime Engineering |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
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University of Buckingham Press
2021
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.5750/ijme.v159ia3.1025 http://www.intmaritimeengineering.org/index.php/ijme/article/download/1025/239 |
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crunivbuckingpr:10.5750/ijme.v159ia3.1025 2024-09-09T19:18:41+00:00 RISK ANALYSIS OF OFFSHORE TRANSPORTATION ACCIDENT IN ARCTIC WATERS Abbassi, R Khan, F Khakzad, N Veitch, B Ehlers, S 2021 http://dx.doi.org/10.5750/ijme.v159ia3.1025 http://www.intmaritimeengineering.org/index.php/ijme/article/download/1025/239 unknown University of Buckingham Press International Journal of Maritime Engineering volume 159, issue A3 ISSN 1479-8751 1479-8751 journal-article 2021 crunivbuckingpr https://doi.org/10.5750/ijme.v159ia3.1025 2024-06-21T04:01:58Z A methodology for risk analysis applicable to shipping in arctic waters is introduced. This methodology uses the Bowtie relationship to represent an accident causes and consequences. It is further used to quantify the probability of a ship accident and also the related accident consequences during navigation in arctic waters. Detailed fault trees for three possible ship accident scenarios in arctic transits are developed and represented as bowties. Factors related to cold and harsh conditions and their effects on grounding, foundering, and collision are considered as part of this study. To illustrate the application of the methodology, it is applied to a case of an oil-tanker navigating on the Northern Sea Route (NSR). The methodology is implemented in a Markov Chain Monte Carlo framework to assess the uncertainties arisen from historical data and expert judgments involved in the risk analysis. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Northern Sea Route University of Buckingham Press (UBP) Arctic International Journal of Maritime Engineering 159 A3 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
University of Buckingham Press (UBP) |
op_collection_id |
crunivbuckingpr |
language |
unknown |
description |
A methodology for risk analysis applicable to shipping in arctic waters is introduced. This methodology uses the Bowtie relationship to represent an accident causes and consequences. It is further used to quantify the probability of a ship accident and also the related accident consequences during navigation in arctic waters. Detailed fault trees for three possible ship accident scenarios in arctic transits are developed and represented as bowties. Factors related to cold and harsh conditions and their effects on grounding, foundering, and collision are considered as part of this study. To illustrate the application of the methodology, it is applied to a case of an oil-tanker navigating on the Northern Sea Route (NSR). The methodology is implemented in a Markov Chain Monte Carlo framework to assess the uncertainties arisen from historical data and expert judgments involved in the risk analysis. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Abbassi, R Khan, F Khakzad, N Veitch, B Ehlers, S |
spellingShingle |
Abbassi, R Khan, F Khakzad, N Veitch, B Ehlers, S RISK ANALYSIS OF OFFSHORE TRANSPORTATION ACCIDENT IN ARCTIC WATERS |
author_facet |
Abbassi, R Khan, F Khakzad, N Veitch, B Ehlers, S |
author_sort |
Abbassi, R |
title |
RISK ANALYSIS OF OFFSHORE TRANSPORTATION ACCIDENT IN ARCTIC WATERS |
title_short |
RISK ANALYSIS OF OFFSHORE TRANSPORTATION ACCIDENT IN ARCTIC WATERS |
title_full |
RISK ANALYSIS OF OFFSHORE TRANSPORTATION ACCIDENT IN ARCTIC WATERS |
title_fullStr |
RISK ANALYSIS OF OFFSHORE TRANSPORTATION ACCIDENT IN ARCTIC WATERS |
title_full_unstemmed |
RISK ANALYSIS OF OFFSHORE TRANSPORTATION ACCIDENT IN ARCTIC WATERS |
title_sort |
risk analysis of offshore transportation accident in arctic waters |
publisher |
University of Buckingham Press |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.5750/ijme.v159ia3.1025 http://www.intmaritimeengineering.org/index.php/ijme/article/download/1025/239 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Northern Sea Route |
genre_facet |
Arctic Northern Sea Route |
op_source |
International Journal of Maritime Engineering volume 159, issue A3 ISSN 1479-8751 1479-8751 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5750/ijme.v159ia3.1025 |
container_title |
International Journal of Maritime Engineering |
container_volume |
159 |
container_issue |
A3 |
_version_ |
1809758738358206464 |