Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View
Abstract Purpose of Review Atmospheric circulation exerts a strong control on regional climate and extremes. However, projections of future circulation change remain uncertain, thus affecting the assessment of regional climate change. The purpose of this review is to describe some key cases where re...
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crspringernat:10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7 2023-05-15T18:18:48+02:00 Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View Zappa, Giuseppe University of Reading 2019 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7 http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7.pdf http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7/fulltext.html en eng Springer Science and Business Media LLC https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 CC-BY Current Climate Change Reports volume 5, issue 4, page 358-371 ISSN 2198-6061 Atmospheric Science Global and Planetary Change journal-article 2019 crspringernat https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7 2022-01-04T09:40:48Z Abstract Purpose of Review Atmospheric circulation exerts a strong control on regional climate and extremes. However, projections of future circulation change remain uncertain, thus affecting the assessment of regional climate change. The purpose of this review is to describe some key cases where regional precipitation and windiness strongly depend on the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation response to warming, and summarise this into alternative plausible storylines of regional climate change. Recent Findings Recent research has enabled to better quantify the importance of dynamical aspects of climate change in shaping regional climate. The cold season precipitation response in Mediterranean-like regions is identified as one of the most susceptible impact-relevant aspects of regional climate driven by mid-latitude circulation changes. A circulation-forced drying might already be emerging in the actual Mediterranean, Chile and southwestern Australia. Increasing evidence indicates that distinct regional changes in atmospheric circulation and European windiness might unfold depending on the interplay of different climate drivers, such as surface warming patterns, sea ice loss and stratospheric changes. Summary The multi-model mean circulation response to warming tends to show washed-out signals due to the lack of robustness in the model projections, with implications for regional changes. To better communicate the information contained within these projections, it is useful to discuss regional climate change conditionally on alternative plausible storylines of atmospheric circulation change. As progress continues in understanding the factors driving the response of circulation to global warming, developing such storylines will provide end–to–end and physically self-consistent descriptions of plausible future unfoldings of regional climate change. Article in Journal/Newspaper Sea ice Springer Nature (via Crossref) Current Climate Change Reports 5 4 358 371 |
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Springer Nature (via Crossref) |
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English |
topic |
Atmospheric Science Global and Planetary Change |
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Atmospheric Science Global and Planetary Change Zappa, Giuseppe Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View |
topic_facet |
Atmospheric Science Global and Planetary Change |
description |
Abstract Purpose of Review Atmospheric circulation exerts a strong control on regional climate and extremes. However, projections of future circulation change remain uncertain, thus affecting the assessment of regional climate change. The purpose of this review is to describe some key cases where regional precipitation and windiness strongly depend on the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation response to warming, and summarise this into alternative plausible storylines of regional climate change. Recent Findings Recent research has enabled to better quantify the importance of dynamical aspects of climate change in shaping regional climate. The cold season precipitation response in Mediterranean-like regions is identified as one of the most susceptible impact-relevant aspects of regional climate driven by mid-latitude circulation changes. A circulation-forced drying might already be emerging in the actual Mediterranean, Chile and southwestern Australia. Increasing evidence indicates that distinct regional changes in atmospheric circulation and European windiness might unfold depending on the interplay of different climate drivers, such as surface warming patterns, sea ice loss and stratospheric changes. Summary The multi-model mean circulation response to warming tends to show washed-out signals due to the lack of robustness in the model projections, with implications for regional changes. To better communicate the information contained within these projections, it is useful to discuss regional climate change conditionally on alternative plausible storylines of atmospheric circulation change. As progress continues in understanding the factors driving the response of circulation to global warming, developing such storylines will provide end–to–end and physically self-consistent descriptions of plausible future unfoldings of regional climate change. |
author2 |
University of Reading |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Zappa, Giuseppe |
author_facet |
Zappa, Giuseppe |
author_sort |
Zappa, Giuseppe |
title |
Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View |
title_short |
Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View |
title_full |
Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View |
title_fullStr |
Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View |
title_full_unstemmed |
Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View |
title_sort |
regional climate impacts of future changes in the mid–latitude atmospheric circulation: a storyline view |
publisher |
Springer Science and Business Media LLC |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7 http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7.pdf http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7/fulltext.html |
genre |
Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Sea ice |
op_source |
Current Climate Change Reports volume 5, issue 4, page 358-371 ISSN 2198-6061 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7 |
container_title |
Current Climate Change Reports |
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5 |
container_issue |
4 |
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358 |
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371 |
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1766195501870350336 |