The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study
Abstract Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these...
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Springer Science and Business Media LLC
2020
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1.pdf https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1/fulltext.html |
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crspringernat:10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 2023-05-15T14:59:26+02:00 The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Rączkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Ström, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta Lunds Universitet Göran Gustafssons Stiftelse för Naturvetenskaplig och Medicinsk Forskning Horizon 2020 Framework Programme 2020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1.pdf https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1/fulltext.html en eng Springer Science and Business Media LLC https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 CC-BY Ambio volume 50, issue 2, page 375-392 ISSN 0044-7447 1654-7209 Ecology Environmental Chemistry Geography, Planning and Development General Medicine journal-article 2020 crspringernat https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 2022-01-04T16:10:57Z Abstract Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these changes results from multiple interactions among these drivers. Field measurements can address the overall responses to different changing drivers, but are less capable of quantifying the interactions among them. Currently, a comprehensive assessment of the drivers of ecosystem changes, and the magnitude of their direct and indirect impacts on subarctic ecosystems, is missing. The Torneträsk area, in the Swedish subarctic, has an unrivalled history of environmental observation over 100 years, and is one of the most studied sites in the Arctic. In this study, we summarize and rank the drivers of ecosystem change in the Torneträsk area, and propose research priorities identified, by expert assessment, to improve predictions of ecosystem changes. The research priorities identified include understanding impacts on ecosystems brought on by altered frequency and intensity of winter warming events, evapotranspiration rates, rainfall, duration of snow cover and lake-ice, changed soil moisture, and droughts. This case study can help us understand the ongoing ecosystem changes occurring in the Torneträsk area, and contribute to improve predictions of future ecosystem changes at a larger scale. This understanding will provide the basis for the future mitigation and adaptation plans needed in a changing climate. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic Springer Nature (via Crossref) Arctic Torneträsk ENVELOPE(18.861,18.861,68.392,68.392) Ambio 50 2 375 392 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Springer Nature (via Crossref) |
op_collection_id |
crspringernat |
language |
English |
topic |
Ecology Environmental Chemistry Geography, Planning and Development General Medicine |
spellingShingle |
Ecology Environmental Chemistry Geography, Planning and Development General Medicine Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Rączkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Ström, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
topic_facet |
Ecology Environmental Chemistry Geography, Planning and Development General Medicine |
description |
Abstract Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these changes results from multiple interactions among these drivers. Field measurements can address the overall responses to different changing drivers, but are less capable of quantifying the interactions among them. Currently, a comprehensive assessment of the drivers of ecosystem changes, and the magnitude of their direct and indirect impacts on subarctic ecosystems, is missing. The Torneträsk area, in the Swedish subarctic, has an unrivalled history of environmental observation over 100 years, and is one of the most studied sites in the Arctic. In this study, we summarize and rank the drivers of ecosystem change in the Torneträsk area, and propose research priorities identified, by expert assessment, to improve predictions of ecosystem changes. The research priorities identified include understanding impacts on ecosystems brought on by altered frequency and intensity of winter warming events, evapotranspiration rates, rainfall, duration of snow cover and lake-ice, changed soil moisture, and droughts. This case study can help us understand the ongoing ecosystem changes occurring in the Torneträsk area, and contribute to improve predictions of future ecosystem changes at a larger scale. This understanding will provide the basis for the future mitigation and adaptation plans needed in a changing climate. |
author2 |
Lunds Universitet Göran Gustafssons Stiftelse för Naturvetenskaplig och Medicinsk Forskning Horizon 2020 Framework Programme |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Rączkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Ström, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta |
author_facet |
Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Rączkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Ström, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta |
author_sort |
Pascual, Didac |
title |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
title_short |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
title_full |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
title_fullStr |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
title_full_unstemmed |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: A Torneträsk case study |
title_sort |
missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems: a torneträsk case study |
publisher |
Springer Science and Business Media LLC |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1.pdf https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1/fulltext.html |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(18.861,18.861,68.392,68.392) |
geographic |
Arctic Torneträsk |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Torneträsk |
genre |
Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic |
op_source |
Ambio volume 50, issue 2, page 375-392 ISSN 0044-7447 1654-7209 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 |
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392 |
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