Sea-level rise projections for Sweden based on the new IPCC special report: The ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate
Abstract New sea-level rise projections for Sweden are presented. Compared to earlier projections, we have here, more carefully, taken regional variations in sea-level rise into consideration. The better treatment of regional variations leads to lower sea-level rise projections for Sweden. However,...
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Springer Science and Business Media LLC
2020
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crspringernat:10.1007/s13280-019-01313-8 2023-05-15T14:13:05+02:00 Sea-level rise projections for Sweden based on the new IPCC special report: The ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate Hieronymus, Magnus Kalén, Ola 2020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-019-01313-8 http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s13280-019-01313-8.pdf http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13280-019-01313-8/fulltext.html en eng Springer Science and Business Media LLC https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 CC-BY Ambio volume 49, issue 10, page 1587-1600 ISSN 0044-7447 1654-7209 Ecology Environmental Chemistry Geography, Planning and Development General Medicine journal-article 2020 crspringernat https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-019-01313-8 2022-01-04T09:52:40Z Abstract New sea-level rise projections for Sweden are presented. Compared to earlier projections, we have here, more carefully, taken regional variations in sea-level rise into consideration. The better treatment of regional variations leads to lower sea-level rise projections for Sweden. However, recent research has also shown that Antarctic ice loss, in high emission scenarios, could be greater than what was believed earlier. Taking also this into account, we find a near cancellation between the increased Antarctic contribution and the decrease owing to the better treatment of spatial inhomogeneities. Sweden’s sensitivity to melt from Antarctica and Greenland is also estimated using a new set of sea-level fingerprint kernels, and the sensitivity to melt from Greenland is found to be weak. To illustrate the influence mean sea-level rise has on extreme sea levels, it is also shown how the return period of sea-level extremes changes as a function of time owing to mean sea-level rise in the different projections. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Greenland Springer Nature (via Crossref) Antarctic Greenland Ambio 49 10 1587 1600 |
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Springer Nature (via Crossref) |
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English |
topic |
Ecology Environmental Chemistry Geography, Planning and Development General Medicine |
spellingShingle |
Ecology Environmental Chemistry Geography, Planning and Development General Medicine Hieronymus, Magnus Kalén, Ola Sea-level rise projections for Sweden based on the new IPCC special report: The ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate |
topic_facet |
Ecology Environmental Chemistry Geography, Planning and Development General Medicine |
description |
Abstract New sea-level rise projections for Sweden are presented. Compared to earlier projections, we have here, more carefully, taken regional variations in sea-level rise into consideration. The better treatment of regional variations leads to lower sea-level rise projections for Sweden. However, recent research has also shown that Antarctic ice loss, in high emission scenarios, could be greater than what was believed earlier. Taking also this into account, we find a near cancellation between the increased Antarctic contribution and the decrease owing to the better treatment of spatial inhomogeneities. Sweden’s sensitivity to melt from Antarctica and Greenland is also estimated using a new set of sea-level fingerprint kernels, and the sensitivity to melt from Greenland is found to be weak. To illustrate the influence mean sea-level rise has on extreme sea levels, it is also shown how the return period of sea-level extremes changes as a function of time owing to mean sea-level rise in the different projections. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hieronymus, Magnus Kalén, Ola |
author_facet |
Hieronymus, Magnus Kalén, Ola |
author_sort |
Hieronymus, Magnus |
title |
Sea-level rise projections for Sweden based on the new IPCC special report: The ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate |
title_short |
Sea-level rise projections for Sweden based on the new IPCC special report: The ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate |
title_full |
Sea-level rise projections for Sweden based on the new IPCC special report: The ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate |
title_fullStr |
Sea-level rise projections for Sweden based on the new IPCC special report: The ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate |
title_full_unstemmed |
Sea-level rise projections for Sweden based on the new IPCC special report: The ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate |
title_sort |
sea-level rise projections for sweden based on the new ipcc special report: the ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate |
publisher |
Springer Science and Business Media LLC |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-019-01313-8 http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s13280-019-01313-8.pdf http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13280-019-01313-8/fulltext.html |
geographic |
Antarctic Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic Greenland |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Greenland |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Greenland |
op_source |
Ambio volume 49, issue 10, page 1587-1600 ISSN 0044-7447 1654-7209 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-019-01313-8 |
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Ambio |
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49 |
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10 |
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1587 |
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1600 |
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