Barents-Kara sea ice and European winters in EC-Earth
Abstract The potential link between decreasing Barents-Kara sea ice and cold winters in Europe is investigated using the enhanced resolution (horizontal atmospheric resolution of $$\sim 80\,\hbox {km}$$ ∼ 80 km ) global, coupled climate model EC-Earth. Nudging sea ice only in the Barents-Kara Seas,...
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Springer Science and Business Media LLC
2020
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w.pdf http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w/fulltext.html |
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crspringernat:10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w 2023-05-15T16:59:53+02:00 Barents-Kara sea ice and European winters in EC-Earth Ringgaard, Ida Margrethe Yang, Shuting Kaas, Eigil Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg FP7 Ideas: European Research Council 2020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w.pdf http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w/fulltext.html en eng Springer Science and Business Media LLC https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 CC-BY Climate Dynamics volume 54, issue 7-8, page 3323-3338 ISSN 0930-7575 1432-0894 Atmospheric Science journal-article 2020 crspringernat https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w 2022-01-14T15:39:07Z Abstract The potential link between decreasing Barents-Kara sea ice and cold winters in Europe is investigated using the enhanced resolution (horizontal atmospheric resolution of $$\sim 80\,\hbox {km}$$ ∼ 80 km ) global, coupled climate model EC-Earth. Nudging sea ice only in the Barents-Kara Seas, five configurations of sea ice covers are used to assess the importance of the amount of sea ice in this region. Nudging in the coupled model is achieved by modifying the non-solar surface heat flux into the ice/ocean interface. The mean winter temperature response suggests a weak but statistically significant non-linear response with cooling over eastern Europe for moderate sea ice reductions in the Barents-Kara Seas, a weaker but still cold anomaly for minor reductions and warming for major reductions. However, this non-linear response is not reflected in the circulation. Instead, a negative mean sea level pressure anomaly over Barents-Kara Seas intensifies with sea ice reduction. In contrast to this, is the response in the coldest winters over central Europe: the larger the sea ice reduction, the stronger the Scandinavian pattern and the associated easterlies need to be to obtain cold winters over central Europe. The use of a coupled climate model is a potential explanation for the link between the intensified Scandinavian pattern and the cooling over Europe seen in this study, that is not observed in some atmosphere-only model studies. Article in Journal/Newspaper Kara Sea Sea ice Springer Nature (via Crossref) Kara Sea Climate Dynamics 54 7-8 3323 3338 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Springer Nature (via Crossref) |
op_collection_id |
crspringernat |
language |
English |
topic |
Atmospheric Science |
spellingShingle |
Atmospheric Science Ringgaard, Ida Margrethe Yang, Shuting Kaas, Eigil Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg Barents-Kara sea ice and European winters in EC-Earth |
topic_facet |
Atmospheric Science |
description |
Abstract The potential link between decreasing Barents-Kara sea ice and cold winters in Europe is investigated using the enhanced resolution (horizontal atmospheric resolution of $$\sim 80\,\hbox {km}$$ ∼ 80 km ) global, coupled climate model EC-Earth. Nudging sea ice only in the Barents-Kara Seas, five configurations of sea ice covers are used to assess the importance of the amount of sea ice in this region. Nudging in the coupled model is achieved by modifying the non-solar surface heat flux into the ice/ocean interface. The mean winter temperature response suggests a weak but statistically significant non-linear response with cooling over eastern Europe for moderate sea ice reductions in the Barents-Kara Seas, a weaker but still cold anomaly for minor reductions and warming for major reductions. However, this non-linear response is not reflected in the circulation. Instead, a negative mean sea level pressure anomaly over Barents-Kara Seas intensifies with sea ice reduction. In contrast to this, is the response in the coldest winters over central Europe: the larger the sea ice reduction, the stronger the Scandinavian pattern and the associated easterlies need to be to obtain cold winters over central Europe. The use of a coupled climate model is a potential explanation for the link between the intensified Scandinavian pattern and the cooling over Europe seen in this study, that is not observed in some atmosphere-only model studies. |
author2 |
FP7 Ideas: European Research Council |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Ringgaard, Ida Margrethe Yang, Shuting Kaas, Eigil Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg |
author_facet |
Ringgaard, Ida Margrethe Yang, Shuting Kaas, Eigil Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg |
author_sort |
Ringgaard, Ida Margrethe |
title |
Barents-Kara sea ice and European winters in EC-Earth |
title_short |
Barents-Kara sea ice and European winters in EC-Earth |
title_full |
Barents-Kara sea ice and European winters in EC-Earth |
title_fullStr |
Barents-Kara sea ice and European winters in EC-Earth |
title_full_unstemmed |
Barents-Kara sea ice and European winters in EC-Earth |
title_sort |
barents-kara sea ice and european winters in ec-earth |
publisher |
Springer Science and Business Media LLC |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w.pdf http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w/fulltext.html |
geographic |
Kara Sea |
geographic_facet |
Kara Sea |
genre |
Kara Sea Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Kara Sea Sea ice |
op_source |
Climate Dynamics volume 54, issue 7-8, page 3323-3338 ISSN 0930-7575 1432-0894 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05174-w |
container_title |
Climate Dynamics |
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54 |
container_issue |
7-8 |
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3323 |
op_container_end_page |
3338 |
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1766052452049616896 |