Current and Future Tropical Cyclone Wind Risk in the Small Island Developing States

Abstract Tropical cyclones (TCs) are amongst the costliest and deadliest natural hazards and can cause widespread havoc in tropical coastal areas. Small Island Developing States (SIDS) are particularly vulnerable to TCs, as they generally have limited financial resources to overcome past impacts and...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bloemendaal, Nadia, Koks, E. E.
Format: Book Part
Language:unknown
Published: Springer International Publishing 2022
Subjects:
North Atlantic
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08568-0_6
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/978-3-031-08568-0_6
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spelling crspringernat:10.1007/978-3-031-08568-0_6 2024-03-10T08:36:15+00:00 Current and Future Tropical Cyclone Wind Risk in the Small Island Developing States Bloemendaal, Nadia Koks, E. E. 2022 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08568-0_6 https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/978-3-031-08568-0_6 unknown Springer International Publishing https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 Hurricane Risk in a Changing Climate Hurricane Risk page 121-142 ISSN 2662-3064 2662-3072 ISBN 9783031085673 9783031085680 book-chapter 2022 crspringernat https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08568-0_6 2024-02-13T21:27:10Z Abstract Tropical cyclones (TCs) are amongst the costliest and deadliest natural hazards and can cause widespread havoc in tropical coastal areas. Small Island Developing States (SIDS) are particularly vulnerable to TCs, as they generally have limited financial resources to overcome past impacts and mitigate future risk. However, risk assessments for SIDS are scarce due to limited meteorological, exposure, and vulnerability data. In this study, we combine recent research advances in these three disciplines to estimate TC wind risk under past (1980–2017) and near-future (2015–2050) climate conditions. Our results show that TC risk strongly differs per region, with 91% of all risk constituted in the North Atlantic. The highest risk estimates are found for the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, with present-climate expected annual damages (EAD) of 1.51 billion and 1.25 billion USD, respectively. This study provides valuable insights in TC risk and its spatial distribution, and can serve as input for future studies on TC risk mitigation in the SIDS. Book Part North Atlantic Springer Nature 121 142
institution Open Polar
collection Springer Nature
op_collection_id crspringernat
language unknown
description Abstract Tropical cyclones (TCs) are amongst the costliest and deadliest natural hazards and can cause widespread havoc in tropical coastal areas. Small Island Developing States (SIDS) are particularly vulnerable to TCs, as they generally have limited financial resources to overcome past impacts and mitigate future risk. However, risk assessments for SIDS are scarce due to limited meteorological, exposure, and vulnerability data. In this study, we combine recent research advances in these three disciplines to estimate TC wind risk under past (1980–2017) and near-future (2015–2050) climate conditions. Our results show that TC risk strongly differs per region, with 91% of all risk constituted in the North Atlantic. The highest risk estimates are found for the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, with present-climate expected annual damages (EAD) of 1.51 billion and 1.25 billion USD, respectively. This study provides valuable insights in TC risk and its spatial distribution, and can serve as input for future studies on TC risk mitigation in the SIDS.
format Book Part
author Bloemendaal, Nadia
Koks, E. E.
spellingShingle Bloemendaal, Nadia
Koks, E. E.
Current and Future Tropical Cyclone Wind Risk in the Small Island Developing States
author_facet Bloemendaal, Nadia
Koks, E. E.
author_sort Bloemendaal, Nadia
title Current and Future Tropical Cyclone Wind Risk in the Small Island Developing States
title_short Current and Future Tropical Cyclone Wind Risk in the Small Island Developing States
title_full Current and Future Tropical Cyclone Wind Risk in the Small Island Developing States
title_fullStr Current and Future Tropical Cyclone Wind Risk in the Small Island Developing States
title_full_unstemmed Current and Future Tropical Cyclone Wind Risk in the Small Island Developing States
title_sort current and future tropical cyclone wind risk in the small island developing states
publisher Springer International Publishing
publishDate 2022
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08568-0_6
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/978-3-031-08568-0_6
genre North Atlantic
genre_facet North Atlantic
op_source Hurricane Risk in a Changing Climate
Hurricane Risk
page 121-142
ISSN 2662-3064 2662-3072
ISBN 9783031085673 9783031085680
op_rights https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
op_doi https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08568-0_6
container_start_page 121
op_container_end_page 142
_version_ 1793132876240257024

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