Success and Failure in the Norse North Atlantic: Origins, Pathway Divergence, Extinction and Survival
Abstract In this chapter, we examine the iconic disappearance of the Medieval Norse Greenlanders and use qualitative scenarios and counterfactual analysis to produce lessons for policymakers. We stress the role that archaeologists and historians have in adding context to contemporary social and envi...
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2022
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crspringernat:10.1007/978-3-030-94137-6_17 2024-03-10T08:35:03+00:00 Success and Failure in the Norse North Atlantic: Origins, Pathway Divergence, Extinction and Survival Jackson, Rowan Arneborg, Jette Dugmore, Andrew Harrison, Ramona Hartman, Steven Madsen, Christian Ogilvie, Astrid Simpson, Ian Smiarowski, Konrad McGovern, Thomas H. 2022 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-94137-6_17 https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/978-3-030-94137-6_17 unknown Springer International Publishing https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 Perspectives on Public Policy in Societal-Environmental Crises Risk, Systems and Decisions page 247-272 ISSN 2626-6717 2626-6725 ISBN 9783030941369 9783030941376 book-chapter 2022 crspringernat https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-94137-6_17 2024-02-13T18:38:40Z Abstract In this chapter, we examine the iconic disappearance of the Medieval Norse Greenlanders and use qualitative scenarios and counterfactual analysis to produce lessons for policymakers. We stress the role that archaeologists and historians have in adding context to contemporary social and environmental challenges and use human-environmental histories as ‘natural experiments’ with which to test scenarios. Rather than drawing direct analogies with discrete historical case studies such as Norse Greenland, such cases form complete experiments with which to ask ‘what if’ questions and learn from a range of real (retrofactual) and alternative (counterfactual) scenarios. By testing a range of scenarios associated with climate impacts and adaptive strategies, evidence from the past might be used to learn from unanticipated changes and build a better understanding of theory and concepts, including adaptation and vulnerability, and their application to the present. The Norse Greenland case study illustrates an important lesson for climate change adaptation scenarios; even a highly adaptive society can, over the course of several centuries, reach limits to adaptation when exposed to unanticipated social and environmental change. Book Part Greenland greenlander* North Atlantic Springer Nature Greenland 247 272 |
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Springer Nature |
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description |
Abstract In this chapter, we examine the iconic disappearance of the Medieval Norse Greenlanders and use qualitative scenarios and counterfactual analysis to produce lessons for policymakers. We stress the role that archaeologists and historians have in adding context to contemporary social and environmental challenges and use human-environmental histories as ‘natural experiments’ with which to test scenarios. Rather than drawing direct analogies with discrete historical case studies such as Norse Greenland, such cases form complete experiments with which to ask ‘what if’ questions and learn from a range of real (retrofactual) and alternative (counterfactual) scenarios. By testing a range of scenarios associated with climate impacts and adaptive strategies, evidence from the past might be used to learn from unanticipated changes and build a better understanding of theory and concepts, including adaptation and vulnerability, and their application to the present. The Norse Greenland case study illustrates an important lesson for climate change adaptation scenarios; even a highly adaptive society can, over the course of several centuries, reach limits to adaptation when exposed to unanticipated social and environmental change. |
format |
Book Part |
author |
Jackson, Rowan Arneborg, Jette Dugmore, Andrew Harrison, Ramona Hartman, Steven Madsen, Christian Ogilvie, Astrid Simpson, Ian Smiarowski, Konrad McGovern, Thomas H. |
spellingShingle |
Jackson, Rowan Arneborg, Jette Dugmore, Andrew Harrison, Ramona Hartman, Steven Madsen, Christian Ogilvie, Astrid Simpson, Ian Smiarowski, Konrad McGovern, Thomas H. Success and Failure in the Norse North Atlantic: Origins, Pathway Divergence, Extinction and Survival |
author_facet |
Jackson, Rowan Arneborg, Jette Dugmore, Andrew Harrison, Ramona Hartman, Steven Madsen, Christian Ogilvie, Astrid Simpson, Ian Smiarowski, Konrad McGovern, Thomas H. |
author_sort |
Jackson, Rowan |
title |
Success and Failure in the Norse North Atlantic: Origins, Pathway Divergence, Extinction and Survival |
title_short |
Success and Failure in the Norse North Atlantic: Origins, Pathway Divergence, Extinction and Survival |
title_full |
Success and Failure in the Norse North Atlantic: Origins, Pathway Divergence, Extinction and Survival |
title_fullStr |
Success and Failure in the Norse North Atlantic: Origins, Pathway Divergence, Extinction and Survival |
title_full_unstemmed |
Success and Failure in the Norse North Atlantic: Origins, Pathway Divergence, Extinction and Survival |
title_sort |
success and failure in the norse north atlantic: origins, pathway divergence, extinction and survival |
publisher |
Springer International Publishing |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-94137-6_17 https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/978-3-030-94137-6_17 |
geographic |
Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Greenland |
genre |
Greenland greenlander* North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Greenland greenlander* North Atlantic |
op_source |
Perspectives on Public Policy in Societal-Environmental Crises Risk, Systems and Decisions page 247-272 ISSN 2626-6717 2626-6725 ISBN 9783030941369 9783030941376 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-94137-6_17 |
container_start_page |
247 |
op_container_end_page |
272 |
_version_ |
1793131339091804160 |