Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology?
Records of ice-on and ice-off dates are available for lakes and rivers across the Northern Hemisphere spanning decades and in some cases centuries. This data provides an opportunity to investigate the climatic processes that may control ice phenology. Previous studies have reported a trend toward sh...
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0294995 https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0294995 |
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crplos:10.1371/journal.pone.0294995 2024-05-19T07:45:07+00:00 Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology? Schmidt, Daniel F. Grise, Kevin M. Pace, Michael L. dos Santos, Rafael Duarte Coelho National Science Foundation 2023 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0294995 https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0294995 en eng Public Library of Science (PLoS) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ PLOS ONE volume 18, issue 12, page e0294995 ISSN 1932-6203 journal-article 2023 crplos https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0294995 2024-05-01T07:03:35Z Records of ice-on and ice-off dates are available for lakes and rivers across the Northern Hemisphere spanning decades and in some cases centuries. This data provides an opportunity to investigate the climatic processes that may control ice phenology. Previous studies have reported a trend toward shorter ice-covered seasons with global warming, as well as links between ice phenology and several modes of natural climate variability such as the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Pacific-North American Pattern, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. The 11-year sunspot cycle has also been proposed as a driver of ice phenology, which is somewhat surprising given that this cycle’s strongest impacts are in the stratosphere. In this study, we use a large data set of lakes and rivers across the Northern Hemisphere to test this potential link. We find little or no connection between the sunspot cycle and either ice-on or ice-off dates. We conclude that while many well-known climate cycles do impact ice phenology, we are able to rule out any strong impact of the solar cycle. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation PLOS PLOS ONE 18 12 e0294995 |
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language |
English |
description |
Records of ice-on and ice-off dates are available for lakes and rivers across the Northern Hemisphere spanning decades and in some cases centuries. This data provides an opportunity to investigate the climatic processes that may control ice phenology. Previous studies have reported a trend toward shorter ice-covered seasons with global warming, as well as links between ice phenology and several modes of natural climate variability such as the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Pacific-North American Pattern, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. The 11-year sunspot cycle has also been proposed as a driver of ice phenology, which is somewhat surprising given that this cycle’s strongest impacts are in the stratosphere. In this study, we use a large data set of lakes and rivers across the Northern Hemisphere to test this potential link. We find little or no connection between the sunspot cycle and either ice-on or ice-off dates. We conclude that while many well-known climate cycles do impact ice phenology, we are able to rule out any strong impact of the solar cycle. |
author2 |
dos Santos, Rafael Duarte Coelho National Science Foundation |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Schmidt, Daniel F. Grise, Kevin M. Pace, Michael L. |
spellingShingle |
Schmidt, Daniel F. Grise, Kevin M. Pace, Michael L. Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology? |
author_facet |
Schmidt, Daniel F. Grise, Kevin M. Pace, Michael L. |
author_sort |
Schmidt, Daniel F. |
title |
Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology? |
title_short |
Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology? |
title_full |
Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology? |
title_fullStr |
Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology? |
title_sort |
does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology? |
publisher |
Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0294995 https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0294995 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
PLOS ONE volume 18, issue 12, page e0294995 ISSN 1932-6203 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0294995 |
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PLOS ONE |
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18 |
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12 |
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e0294995 |
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1799485070790098944 |