Spatial and temporal characteristics of drought and its correlation with climate indices in Northeast China
The spatial and temporal characteristics of drought in Northeast China are investigated, using monthly meteorological data from 140 stations over the period 1970–2014. The study area was divided into three regions using hierarchical cluster analysis based on the precipitation and potential evapotran...
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crplos:10.1371/journal.pone.0259774 2024-09-09T19:24:11+00:00 Spatial and temporal characteristics of drought and its correlation with climate indices in Northeast China Yue, Yuan Liu, HaiFeng Mu, XiuXiang Qin, MengSheng Wang, TingTing Wang, Qi Yan, YaQiong Shahid, Shamsuddin Jiangsu Meteorological Bureau Science Foundation Drought Meteorological Science Research Fund Jiangsu Meteorological Bureau Science Foundation 2021 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0259774 https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0259774 en eng Public Library of Science (PLoS) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ PLOS ONE volume 16, issue 11, page e0259774 ISSN 1932-6203 journal-article 2021 crplos https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0259774 2024-08-20T04:09:56Z The spatial and temporal characteristics of drought in Northeast China are investigated, using monthly meteorological data from 140 stations over the period 1970–2014. The study area was divided into three regions using hierarchical cluster analysis based on the precipitation and potential evapotranspiration data. The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) was calculated for each station on 3-month and 12-month time scales. The Mann-Kendall (MK) trend test and Sen’s slope method were applied to determine the trends for annual and seasonal SPEI time series. Periodic features of drought conditions in each sub-region and possible relationship with large-scale climate patterns were respectively identified using the continuous wavelet transform (CWT) and cross wavelet transform. The results show mitigations in spring and winter droughts and a significant increasing trend in autumn drought. On the annual scale, droughts became more severe and more intense in the western regions but were mitigated in the eastern region. CWT analysis showed that droughts in Northeast China occur predominantly in 14- to 42-month or 15- to 60-month cycles. Annual and seasonal droughts have 2- to 6-year cycles over the three defined regions. Cross wavelet analysis also shows that the statistically significant influence of large-scale climate patterns (the Southern Oscillation, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, the Arctic Oscillation, and the Polar–Eurasian Pattern) on drought in Northeast China is concentrated in a 16- to 50-month period, possibly causing drought variability in the different regions. The Southern Oscillation, Polar–Eurasia pattern, and Arctic Oscillation are significantly correlated with drought on decadal scales (around 120-month period). The findings of this study will provide valuable reference for regional drought mitigation and drought prediction. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic PLOS Arctic Kendall ENVELOPE(-59.828,-59.828,-63.497,-63.497) PLOS ONE 16 11 e0259774 |
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crplos |
language |
English |
description |
The spatial and temporal characteristics of drought in Northeast China are investigated, using monthly meteorological data from 140 stations over the period 1970–2014. The study area was divided into three regions using hierarchical cluster analysis based on the precipitation and potential evapotranspiration data. The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) was calculated for each station on 3-month and 12-month time scales. The Mann-Kendall (MK) trend test and Sen’s slope method were applied to determine the trends for annual and seasonal SPEI time series. Periodic features of drought conditions in each sub-region and possible relationship with large-scale climate patterns were respectively identified using the continuous wavelet transform (CWT) and cross wavelet transform. The results show mitigations in spring and winter droughts and a significant increasing trend in autumn drought. On the annual scale, droughts became more severe and more intense in the western regions but were mitigated in the eastern region. CWT analysis showed that droughts in Northeast China occur predominantly in 14- to 42-month or 15- to 60-month cycles. Annual and seasonal droughts have 2- to 6-year cycles over the three defined regions. Cross wavelet analysis also shows that the statistically significant influence of large-scale climate patterns (the Southern Oscillation, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, the Arctic Oscillation, and the Polar–Eurasian Pattern) on drought in Northeast China is concentrated in a 16- to 50-month period, possibly causing drought variability in the different regions. The Southern Oscillation, Polar–Eurasia pattern, and Arctic Oscillation are significantly correlated with drought on decadal scales (around 120-month period). The findings of this study will provide valuable reference for regional drought mitigation and drought prediction. |
author2 |
Shahid, Shamsuddin Jiangsu Meteorological Bureau Science Foundation Drought Meteorological Science Research Fund Jiangsu Meteorological Bureau Science Foundation |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Yue, Yuan Liu, HaiFeng Mu, XiuXiang Qin, MengSheng Wang, TingTing Wang, Qi Yan, YaQiong |
spellingShingle |
Yue, Yuan Liu, HaiFeng Mu, XiuXiang Qin, MengSheng Wang, TingTing Wang, Qi Yan, YaQiong Spatial and temporal characteristics of drought and its correlation with climate indices in Northeast China |
author_facet |
Yue, Yuan Liu, HaiFeng Mu, XiuXiang Qin, MengSheng Wang, TingTing Wang, Qi Yan, YaQiong |
author_sort |
Yue, Yuan |
title |
Spatial and temporal characteristics of drought and its correlation with climate indices in Northeast China |
title_short |
Spatial and temporal characteristics of drought and its correlation with climate indices in Northeast China |
title_full |
Spatial and temporal characteristics of drought and its correlation with climate indices in Northeast China |
title_fullStr |
Spatial and temporal characteristics of drought and its correlation with climate indices in Northeast China |
title_full_unstemmed |
Spatial and temporal characteristics of drought and its correlation with climate indices in Northeast China |
title_sort |
spatial and temporal characteristics of drought and its correlation with climate indices in northeast china |
publisher |
Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0259774 https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0259774 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-59.828,-59.828,-63.497,-63.497) |
geographic |
Arctic Kendall |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Kendall |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
PLOS ONE volume 16, issue 11, page e0259774 ISSN 1932-6203 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0259774 |
container_title |
PLOS ONE |
container_volume |
16 |
container_issue |
11 |
container_start_page |
e0259774 |
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1809894108491153408 |